Northumberland County, Virginia: Industrial Catholic Metro county. In 2024, voted R+21%. Democratic peak: D+64 in 1916.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 12,1882024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,4802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Culpeper County, VA · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Northumberland CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Northumberland County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +8.8% |
| 1896 | +2.6% |
| 1900 | +0.1% |
| 1904 | +40.4% |
| 1908 | +37.7% |
| 1912 | +59.0% |
| 1916 | +63.5% |
| 1920 | +41.3% |
| 1924 | +63.0% |
| 1928 | −44.5% |
| 1932 | +43.6% |
| 1936 | +40.8% |
| 1940 | +29.6% |
| 1944 | +13.9% |
| 1948 | −9.2% |
| 1952 | −36.4% |
| 1956 | −40.2% |
| 1960 | −21.8% |
| 1964 | +0.5% |
| 1968 | −10.3% |
| 1972 | −36.3% |
| 1976 | −8.6% |
| 1980 | −24.2% |
| 1984 | −38.0% |
| 1988 | −32.3% |
| 1992 | −15.1% |
| 1996 | −12.9% |
| 2000 | −22.2% |
| 2004 | −20.0% |
| 2008 | −9.8% |
| 2012 | −14.8% |
| 2016 | −19.6% |
| 2020 | −15.8% |
| 2024 | −21.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,202 | 4,938 | 8,232 | ||
| R | 3,252 | 4,485 | 7,815 | ||
| R | 2,852 | 4,302 | 7,397 | ||
| R | 3,191 | 4,310 | 7,558 | ||
| R | 3,312 | 4,041 | 7,406 | ||
| R | 2,548 | 3,832 | 6,409 | ||
| R | 2,118 | 3,362 | 5,605 | ||
| R | 1,957 | 2,605 | 5,028 | ||
| R | 1,862 | 2,667 | 5,334 | ||
| R | 1,506 | 2,984 | 4,581 | ||
| R | 1,407 | 3,166 | 4,628 | ||
| R | 1,551 | 2,598 | 4,330 | ||
| R | 1,814 | 2,167 | 4,126 | ||
| R | 633 | 1,370 | 2,029 | ||
| R | 1,077 | 1,438 | 3,492 | ||
| D | 684 | 677 | 1,365 | ||
| R | 858 | 1,340 | 2,211 | ||
| R | 428 | 1,191 | 1,900 | ||
| R | 573 | 1,230 | 1,806 | ||
| R | 429 | 535 | 1,146 | ||
| D | 695 | 525 | 1,221 | ||
| D | 712 | 386 | 1,102 | ||
| D | 618 | 260 | 878 | ||
| D | 630 | 245 | 884 | ||
| R | 286 | 744 | 1,030 | ||
| D | 589 | 130 | 729 | ||
| D | 536 | 221 | 763 | ||
| D | 503 | 111 | 617 | ||
| D | 470 | 102 | 624 | ||
| D | 410 | 185 | 597 | ||
| D | 532 | 225 | 760 | ||
| D | 809 | 807 | 1,623 | ||
| D | 953 | 904 | 1,873 | ||
| D | 953 | 792 | 1,823 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
22.2%
English
18.0%
Irish
9.1%
German
8.9%
Scottish
2.9%
Italian
2.6%
Polish
1.1%
African American
15.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 59.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$66,480
Northumberland County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Northumberland County$66,480
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Northumberland County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.1%
Working age (18–64)11.0%
Seniors (65+)9.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.1%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander2.7%
Spanish2.1%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Northumberland sits at the tip of Virginia's Northern Neck peninsula, isolated by the Potomac and Rappahannock rivers. Its small, older, majority-white population has shifted steadily rightward over two decades, producing a 21-point Republican margin in 2024.
Its margins are typically close. The Democratic margin reached sixty-four points in 1916; the Republican margin reached forty-four points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-one points.
Its demographics sit near national norms: a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $66,480, and a 12% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Culpeper County and Fairfield County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Northumberland County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
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Frequently asked questions
How did Northumberland County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Northumberland County, Virginia voted Republican by 21.1 points (R+21), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,232 votes cast, 3,202 went Democratic and 4,938 went Republican.
What is Northumberland County, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Northumberland County, Virginia in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology — Mid-size industrial metros with Catholic ethnic roots — among the most competitive, swing-prone ground in the country. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.
When did Northumberland County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Northumberland County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Northumberland County, Virginia?
Northumberland County, Virginia has a population of 12,188 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Northumberland County, Virginia?
Median household income in Northumberland County, Virginia is $66,480 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Northumberland County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Northumberland County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The county's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.