Page County, Virginia
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 13,251 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -301 - MARKSVILLE301 - MARKSVILLE | 516 | 2,427 | 24 | 2,967 | 17.4% | 81.8% | R+64.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -201 - EAST LURAY201 - EAST LURAY | 773 | 1,911 | 30 | 2,714 | 28.5% | 70.4% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -101 - WEST LURAY101 - WEST LURAY | 835 | 1,794 | 49 | 2,678 | 31.2% | 67.0% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -501 - SHENANDOAH501 - SHENANDOAH | 427 | 2,108 | 28 | 2,563 | 16.7% | 82.2% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -401 - NEWPORT401 - NEWPORT | 425 | 1,883 | 21 | 2,329 | 18.2% | 80.9% | R+62.6 |
| East Luray51139000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Marksville51139000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Newport51139000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Shenandoah51139000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| West Luray51139000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +17.4% |
| 1896 | −10.8% |
| 1900 | −7.6% |
| 1904 | −4.0% |
| 1908 | +0.1% |
| 1912 | +29.8% |
| 1916 | +15.5% |
| 1920 | −14.1% |
| 1924 | +6.3% |
| 1928 | −21.3% |
| 1932 | +18.7% |
| 1936 | +9.8% |
| 1940 | −1.1% |
| 1944 | −21.8% |
| 1948 | −15.4% |
| 1952 | −29.5% |
| 1956 | −26.8% |
| 1960 | −25.4% |
| 1964 | −4.8% |
| 1968 | −22.7% |
| 1972 | −38.3% |
| 1976 | −5.2% |
| 1980 | −23.7% |
| 1984 | −34.4% |
| 1988 | −33.2% |
| 1992 | −14.1% |
| 1996 | −13.5% |
| 2000 | −29.6% |
| 2004 | −30.2% |
| 2008 | −17.4% |
| 2012 | −25.6% |
| 2016 | −49.5% |
| 2020 | −50.6% |
| 2024 | −53.9% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 15,857 |
| 2018 | 15,688 |
| 2020 | 16,642 |
| 2022 | 17,107 |
| 2024 | 17,819 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+195 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,013 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $67,817 in average income, against $61,804 for residents who stayed — 10% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+22.0 on average — 32 points more Democratic-leaning than Page County, VA itself (R+53.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Rockingham County, VA104R+36.8
- Warren County, VA31R+37.4
- Harrisonburg city, VA26D+25.2
- Shenandoah County, VA25R+42.1
- Fairfax County, VA23D+34.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Rockingham County, VA93
- Shenandoah County, VA29
- Harrisonburg city, VA26
- Warren County, VA25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −40 |
| 2012 | −48 |
| 2013 | −63 |
| 2014 | +91 |
| 2015 | −71 |
| 2016 | +15 |
| 2017 | +194 |
| 2018 | +236 |
| 2019 | −14 |
| 2021 | +261 |
| 2022 | +81 |
| 2023 | +61 |
| 2024 | +115 |
| 2025 | +195 |
Page County sits in the Shenandoah Valley and has delivered Republican presidential margins above 50 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural, predominantly white electorate with deep roots in agriculture and small manufacturing.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 53.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.9 points.
A population of 23,727, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,037 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Owen County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Page County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51139/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.