Orange County, Virginia: Industrial Catholic Metro county. In 2024, voted R+25%. Democratic peak: D+70 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 37,8222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $94,0082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- York County, PA · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Orange CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Orange County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +22.8% |
| 1896 | +15.9% |
| 1900 | +8.3% |
| 1904 | +47.1% |
| 1908 | +49.1% |
| 1912 | +69.5% |
| 1916 | +59.6% |
| 1920 | +47.1% |
| 1924 | +61.1% |
| 1928 | +7.2% |
| 1932 | +60.2% |
| 1936 | +50.4% |
| 1940 | +46.6% |
| 1944 | +26.6% |
| 1948 | +7.0% |
| 1952 | −24.8% |
| 1956 | −21.9% |
| 1960 | −11.7% |
| 1964 | −18.0% |
| 1968 | −23.2% |
| 1972 | −44.4% |
| 1976 | −4.7% |
| 1980 | −15.6% |
| 1984 | −32.2% |
| 1988 | −24.6% |
| 1992 | −8.3% |
| 1996 | −9.5% |
| 2000 | −17.8% |
| 2004 | −21.1% |
| 2008 | −8.9% |
| 2012 | −14.5% |
| 2016 | −26.4% |
| 2020 | −21.4% |
| 2024 | −24.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 8,274 | 13,764 | 22,353 | ||
| R | 7,995 | 12,426 | 20,742 | ||
| R | 5,957 | 10,521 | 17,267 | ||
| R | 6,870 | 9,244 | 16,354 | ||
| R | 7,107 | 8,506 | 15,801 | ||
| R | 5,015 | 7,749 | 12,928 | ||
| R | 4,126 | 5,991 | 10,483 | ||
| R | 3,590 | 4,435 | 8,908 | ||
| R | 3,348 | 4,092 | 8,966 | ||
| R | 2,592 | 4,319 | 7,015 | ||
| R | 2,285 | 4,483 | 6,821 | ||
| R | 2,420 | 3,381 | 6,158 | ||
| R | 2,309 | 2,549 | 5,161 | ||
| R | 884 | 2,332 | 3,258 | ||
| R | 879 | 1,727 | 3,661 | ||
| R | 988 | 1,423 | 2,418 | ||
| R | 1,108 | 1,413 | 2,603 | ||
| R | 794 | 1,344 | 2,510 | ||
| R | 916 | 1,525 | 2,453 | ||
| D | 856 | 726 | 1,852 | ||
| D | 1,199 | 694 | 1,896 | ||
| D | 1,283 | 464 | 1,759 | ||
| D | 1,227 | 402 | 1,636 | ||
| D | 1,253 | 309 | 1,567 | ||
| D | 846 | 732 | 1,578 | ||
| D | 834 | 181 | 1,068 | ||
| D | 718 | 258 | 977 | ||
| D | 608 | 153 | 764 | ||
| D | 619 | 87 | 765 | ||
| D | 587 | 198 | 793 | ||
| D | 568 | 201 | 779 | ||
| D | 1,100 | 929 | 2,048 | ||
| D | 1,324 | 957 | 2,305 | ||
| D | 1,343 | 831 | 2,248 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
15.1%
Irish
15.0%
German
14.6%
American
7.3%
Italian
4.2%
Scottish
2.1%
Polish
2.0%
African American
8.1%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$94,008
Orange County ranks in the top 5% of US counties.
Orange County$94,008
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Orange County ranks in the top 5% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.5%
Working age (18–64)8.6%
Seniors (65+)7.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.4%
speak English only
Spanish3.4%
Other Indo-European2.2%
Other languages0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Orange County sits in Virginia's Piedmont foothills, where a predominantly rural, small-town electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, resisting the suburban shifts reshaping counties closer to Northern Virginia.
Its margins are typically close. The Democratic margin reached seventy points in 1912; the Republican margin reached forty-four points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-five points.
Its demographics sit near national norms: a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $94,008, and a 10% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of York County and Steuben County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Orange County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51137/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
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Frequently asked questions
How did Orange County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Orange County, Virginia voted Republican by 24.6 points (R+25), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,353 votes cast, 8,274 went Democratic and 13,764 went Republican.
What is Orange County, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Orange County, Virginia in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology — Mid-size industrial metros with Catholic ethnic roots — among the most competitive, swing-prone ground in the country. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Orange County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Orange County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Orange County, Virginia?
Orange County, Virginia has a population of 37,822 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orange County, Virginia?
Median household income in Orange County, Virginia is $94,008 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Orange County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Orange County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The county's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.