Orange County, Virginia
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Five North51137000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Five South51137000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Four East51137000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Four West51137000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| One East51137000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| One West51137000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -101 - 1 WEST101 - 1 WEST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -102 - 1 EAST102 - 1 EAST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -103 - 1 TOWN103 - 1 TOWN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -201 - 2 WEST201 - 2 WEST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -202 - 2 EAST202 - 2 EAST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -301 - 3 WEST301 - 3 WEST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -302 - 3 EAST302 - 3 EAST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -303 - 3 TOWN303 - 3 TOWN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -401 - 4 WEST401 - 4 WEST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -402 - 4 EAST402 - 4 EAST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -501 - 5 SOUTH501 - 5 SOUTH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -502 - 5 NORTH502 - 5 NORTH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Three East51137000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Three West51137000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Two East51137000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Two West51137000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +22.8% |
| 1896 | +15.9% |
| 1900 | +8.3% |
| 1904 | +47.1% |
| 1908 | +49.1% |
| 1912 | +69.5% |
| 1916 | +59.6% |
| 1920 | +47.1% |
| 1924 | +61.1% |
| 1928 | +7.2% |
| 1932 | +60.2% |
| 1936 | +50.4% |
| 1940 | +46.6% |
| 1944 | +26.6% |
| 1948 | +7.0% |
| 1952 | −24.8% |
| 1956 | −21.9% |
| 1960 | −11.7% |
| 1964 | −18.0% |
| 1968 | −23.2% |
| 1972 | −44.4% |
| 1976 | −4.7% |
| 1980 | −15.6% |
| 1984 | −32.2% |
| 1988 | −24.6% |
| 1992 | −8.3% |
| 1996 | −9.5% |
| 2000 | −17.8% |
| 2004 | −21.1% |
| 2008 | −8.9% |
| 2012 | −14.5% |
| 2016 | −26.4% |
| 2020 | −21.4% |
| 2024 | −24.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 24,025 |
| 2018 | 24,709 |
| 2020 | 26,753 |
| 2022 | 28,284 |
| 2024 | 30,055 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+841 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +6,461 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $72,433 in average income, against $82,928 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.5 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Orange County, VA itself (R+24.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Spotsylvania County, VA181R+8.5
- Culpeper County, VA127R+24.9
- Stafford County, VA97D+0.8
- Albemarle County, VA88D+33.9
- Prince William County, VA86D+17.9
- Louisa County, VA79R+26.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Spotsylvania County, VA147
- Louisa County, VA98
- Culpeper County, VA86
- Albemarle County, VA75
- Greene County, VA65
- Fredericksburg city, VA43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +313 |
| 2012 | +177 |
| 2013 | +287 |
| 2014 | +269 |
| 2015 | +230 |
| 2016 | +187 |
| 2017 | +480 |
| 2018 | +621 |
| 2019 | +331 |
| 2021 | +895 |
| 2022 | +812 |
| 2023 | +503 |
| 2024 | +515 |
| 2025 | +841 |
Orange County sits in Virginia's Piedmont foothills, where a predominantly rural, small-town electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, resisting the suburban shifts reshaping counties closer to Northern Virginia.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 44.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.6 points.
A population of 37,822, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,008 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Spotsylvania County and King George County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Orange County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51137/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.