Rockingham County, Virginia: Realigning Affluent Suburb county. In 2024, voted R+37%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
- Population
- 85,6002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,6932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rankin County, MS · similarity 1.00
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +9.1% |
| 1896 | −7.9% |
| 1900 | +5.1% |
| 1904 | +5.2% |
| 1908 | +4.6% |
| 1912 | +25.8% |
| 1916 | +10.9% |
| 1920 | −8.6% |
| 1924 | +1.4% |
| 1928 | −46.3% |
| 1932 | +10.9% |
| 1936 | +1.4% |
| 1940 | −6.4% |
| 1944 | −27.6% |
| 1948 | −29.7% |
| 1952 | −46.4% |
| 1956 | −45.1% |
| 1960 | −40.8% |
| 1964 | −9.8% |
| 1968 | −48.4% |
| 1972 | −56.6% |
| 1976 | −28.0% |
| 1980 | −34.2% |
| 1984 | −52.0% |
| 1988 | −46.7% |
| 1992 | −35.4% |
| 1996 | −37.6% |
| 2000 | −48.5% |
| 2004 | −49.5% |
| 2008 | −36.0% |
| 2012 | −40.5% |
| 2016 | −44.3% |
| 2020 | −40.4% |
| 2024 | −36.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 15,035 | 33,033 | 48,853 | ||
| R | 12,644 | 30,349 | 43,811 | ||
| R | 9,366 | 25,990 | 37,487 | ||
| R | 10,065 | 24,186 | 34,866 | ||
| R | 10,453 | 22,468 | 33,334 | ||
| R | 7,273 | 21,737 | 29,216 | ||
| R | 5,834 | 17,482 | 23,994 | ||
| R | 5,867 | 14,035 | 21,707 | ||
| R | 5,407 | 13,016 | 21,493 | ||
| R | 4,716 | 13,241 | 18,241 | ||
| R | 4,220 | 13,480 | 17,807 | ||
| R | 5,294 | 11,397 | 17,859 | ||
| R | 5,349 | 9,768 | 15,789 | ||
| R | 5,318 | 19,920 | 25,778 | ||
| R | 2,111 | 7,779 | 11,715 | ||
| R | 8,808 | 10,714 | 19,536 | ||
| R | 2,026 | 4,829 | 6,872 | ||
| R | 1,605 | 4,324 | 6,027 | ||
| R | 1,591 | 4,350 | 5,950 | ||
| R | 1,680 | 3,219 | 5,182 | ||
| R | 2,104 | 3,714 | 5,839 | ||
| R | 2,569 | 2,922 | 5,544 | ||
| D | 2,916 | 2,834 | 5,794 | ||
| D | 2,750 | 2,194 | 5,107 | ||
| R | 1,402 | 3,822 | 5,224 | ||
| D | 2,040 | 1,982 | 4,132 | ||
| R | 2,068 | 2,464 | 4,588 | ||
| D | 1,650 | 1,322 | 3,012 | ||
| D | 1,761 | 937 | 3,191 | ||
| D | 1,736 | 1,580 | 3,427 | ||
| D | 1,604 | 1,441 | 3,136 | ||
| D | 2,852 | 2,572 | 5,527 | ||
| R | 2,998 | 3,524 | 6,649 | ||
| D | 3,293 | 2,724 | 6,236 | ||
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Demographics
Rockingham County's heavily rural, agricultural character — anchored by Harrisonburg's edge — produces Republican presidential margins exceeding 37 points, placing it among the most reliably one-sided counties in a otherwise competitive state.
Once reliably Republican — a margin of fifty-seven points in 1972 at its widest — Rockingham County has trended Democratic. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-seven points.
A median household income of $80,693 — among the higher at this geographic scale — and a population of 85,600 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rankin County and Hancock County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Rockingham County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51165/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
