Surry County, Virginia: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+79 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 6,5492024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,0412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 39.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Issaquena County, MS · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −7.9% |
| 1896 | +7.5% |
| 1900 | +27.4% |
| 1904 | +34.6% |
| 1908 | +52.8% |
| 1912 | +65.2% |
| 1916 | +64.5% |
| 1920 | +62.0% |
| 1924 | +62.9% |
| 1928 | +55.0% |
| 1932 | +78.8% |
| 1936 | +78.1% |
| 1940 | +69.2% |
| 1944 | +66.0% |
| 1948 | +42.1% |
| 1952 | +15.7% |
| 1956 | +14.6% |
| 1960 | +42.0% |
| 1964 | +24.8% |
| 1968 | +25.5% |
| 1972 | −33.1% |
| 1976 | +31.8% |
| 1980 | +28.1% |
| 1984 | +12.3% |
| 1988 | +12.3% |
| 1992 | +23.7% |
| 1996 | +27.5% |
| 2000 | +16.5% |
| 2004 | +11.7% |
| 2008 | +22.3% |
| 2012 | +21.0% |
| 2016 | +10.7% |
| 2020 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | −0.7% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,176 | 2,205 | 4,441 | ||
| D | 2,397 | 2,025 | 4,471 | ||
| D | 2,272 | 1,819 | 4,228 | ||
| D | 2,576 | 1,671 | 4,308 | ||
| D | 2,626 | 1,663 | 4,325 | ||
| D | 1,954 | 1,543 | 3,522 | ||
| D | 1,845 | 1,313 | 3,230 | ||
| D | 1,753 | 944 | 2,938 | ||
| D | 1,823 | 1,046 | 3,275 | ||
| D | 1,602 | 1,246 | 2,899 | ||
| D | 1,875 | 1,462 | 3,370 | ||
| D | 1,756 | 962 | 2,821 | ||
| D | 1,829 | 929 | 2,833 | ||
| R | 1,775 | 3,577 | 5,442 | ||
| D | 1,126 | 523 | 2,366 | ||
| D | 2,097 | 1,261 | 3,367 | ||
| D | 1,003 | 397 | 1,443 | ||
| D | 616 | 425 | 1,307 | ||
| D | 572 | 414 | 1,006 | ||
| D | 460 | 134 | 774 | ||
| D | 602 | 123 | 726 | ||
| D | 658 | 120 | 778 | ||
| D | 715 | 87 | 804 | ||
| D | 653 | 73 | 736 | ||
| D | 541 | 157 | 698 | ||
| D | 388 | 72 | 502 | ||
| D | 397 | 92 | 492 | ||
| D | 430 | 90 | 527 | ||
| D | 360 | 57 | 465 | ||
| D | 269 | 82 | 354 | ||
| D | 323 | 154 | 488 | ||
| D | 839 | 473 | 1,335 | ||
| D | 709 | 609 | 1,328 | ||
| R | 562 | 671 | 1,377 | ||
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Demographics
Surry County, tucked along the south bank of the James River, has trended toward razor-thin margins after decades of lopsided Democratic results, reflecting broader rural Virginia realignment in one of the state's least-populous jurisdictions.
The Democratic margin here reached seventy-nine points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved nine points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was one point. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $78,041 and a 11% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Issaquena County and Marlboro County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Surry County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51181/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
