Surry County, Virginia
Precinct data
Results by precinct
13 precincts · 4,441 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -101 - SURRY101 - SURRY | 357 | 591 | 16 | 964 | 37.0% | 61.3% | R+24.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -401 - CARSLEY401 - CARSLEY | 450 | 450 | 8 | 908 | 49.6% | 49.6% | Even |
| Precinct -301 - DENDRON301 - DENDRON | 442 | 437 | 14 | 893 | 49.5% | 48.9% | D+0.6 |
| Precinct -201 - BACONS CASTLE201 - BACONS CASTLE | 495 | 369 | 13 | 877 | 56.4% | 42.1% | D+14.4 |
| Precinct -501 - CLAREMONT501 - CLAREMONT | 233 | 307 | 6 | 546 | 42.7% | 56.2% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -502 - SPRING GROVE502 - SPRING GROVE | 199 | 51 | 3 | 253 | 78.7% | 20.2% | D+58.5 |
| Bacons Castle51181000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Carsley51181000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Claremont51181000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Dendron51181000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Spring Grove51181000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Surry51181000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Walls Bridge51181000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.9% |
| 1896 | +7.5% |
| 1900 | +27.4% |
| 1904 | +34.6% |
| 1908 | +52.8% |
| 1912 | +65.2% |
| 1916 | +64.5% |
| 1920 | +62.0% |
| 1924 | +62.9% |
| 1928 | +55.0% |
| 1932 | +78.8% |
| 1936 | +78.1% |
| 1940 | +69.2% |
| 1944 | +66.0% |
| 1948 | +42.1% |
| 1952 | +15.7% |
| 1956 | +14.6% |
| 1960 | +42.0% |
| 1964 | +24.8% |
| 1968 | +25.5% |
| 1972 | −33.1% |
| 1976 | +31.8% |
| 1980 | +28.1% |
| 1984 | +12.3% |
| 1988 | +12.3% |
| 1992 | +23.7% |
| 1996 | +27.5% |
| 2000 | +16.5% |
| 2004 | +11.7% |
| 2008 | +22.3% |
| 2012 | +21.0% |
| 2016 | +10.7% |
| 2020 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | −0.7% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 5,515 |
| 2018 | 5,499 |
| 2020 | 5,597 |
| 2022 | 5,669 |
| 2024 | 5,799 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+27 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −332 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,782 in average income, against $67,325 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.6 on average — 7.0 points more Republican-leaning than Surry County, VA itself (R+0.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Isle of Wight County, VA21R+19.7
- Sussex County, VA21D+4.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Newport News city, VA20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −112 |
| 2012 | −75 |
| 2013 | −44 |
| 2014 | −7 |
| 2015 | −89 |
| 2016 | −90 |
| 2017 | −25 |
| 2018 | −42 |
| 2019 | −30 |
| 2021 | +4 |
| 2022 | +30 |
| 2023 | +102 |
| 2024 | +19 |
| 2025 | +27 |
Surry County, tucked along the south bank of the James River, has trended toward razor-thin margins after decades of lopsided Democratic results, reflecting broader rural Virginia realignment in one of the state's least-populous jurisdictions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 33.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.7 points.
A population of 6,549, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,041 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Charles City County and Westmoreland County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Surry County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51181/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.