Warren County, North Carolina: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted D+19%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+19MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 18,7952024 5-year
- Median household income
- $50,6382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 38.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 47.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+92 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 2000MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bertie County, NC · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −24.0% |
| 1896 | −28.4% |
| 1900 | +8.1% |
| 1904 | +72.1% |
| 1908 | +56.5% |
| 1912 | +76.4% |
| 1916 | +68.6% |
| 1920 | +72.7% |
| 1924 | +80.0% |
| 1928 | +68.6% |
| 1932 | +91.9% |
| 1936 | +91.2% |
| 1940 | +83.1% |
| 1944 | +82.2% |
| 1948 | +78.8% |
| 1952 | +63.4% |
| 1956 | +58.4% |
| 1960 | +61.4% |
| 1964 | +19.8% |
| 1968 | +27.8% |
| 1972 | −20.7% |
| 1976 | +37.9% |
| 1980 | +39.9% |
| 1984 | +19.4% |
| 1988 | +32.4% |
| 1992 | +40.5% |
| 1996 | +36.0% |
| 2000 | −34.9% |
| 2004 | +29.0% |
| 2008 | +39.5% |
| 2012 | +37.8% |
| 2016 | +32.5% |
| 2020 | +25.7% |
| 2024 | +18.9% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 5,872 | 3,976 | 10,013 | ||
| D | 6,400 | 3,752 | 10,293 | ||
| D | 6,413 | 3,214 | 9,842 | ||
| D | 6,978 | 3,140 | 10,162 | ||
| D | 7,086 | 3,063 | 10,195 | ||
| D | 5,171 | 2,840 | 8,027 | ||
| R | 2,202 | 4,576 | 6,795 | ||
| D | 4,141 | 1,861 | 6,339 | ||
| D | 4,656 | 1,767 | 7,125 | ||
| D | 4,249 | 2,163 | 6,429 | ||
| D | 3,946 | 2,664 | 6,618 | ||
| D | 3,750 | 1,582 | 5,430 | ||
| D | 3,185 | 1,427 | 4,635 | ||
| R | 1,698 | 2,603 | 4,366 | ||
| O | 2,293 | 796 | 5,383 | ||
| D | 2,849 | 1,909 | 4,758 | ||
| D | 2,997 | 717 | 3,714 | ||
| D | 2,733 | 718 | 3,451 | ||
| D | 2,960 | 664 | 3,624 | ||
| D | 2,376 | 192 | 2,771 | ||
| D | 2,480 | 242 | 2,722 | ||
| D | 2,676 | 247 | 2,923 | ||
| D | 3,047 | 140 | 3,187 | ||
| D | 2,661 | 110 | 2,777 | ||
| D | 2,037 | 379 | 2,416 | ||
| D | 1,742 | 166 | 1,970 | ||
| D | 1,865 | 295 | 2,160 | ||
| D | 1,217 | 227 | 1,444 | ||
| D | 987 | 112 | 1,145 | ||
| D | 1,066 | 296 | 1,362 | ||
| D | 1,060 | 165 | 1,242 | ||
| D | 1,573 | 1,337 | 2,910 | ||
| R | 1,213 | 2,175 | 3,393 | ||
| R | 737 | 1,474 | 3,072 | ||
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Demographics
Warren County's population is roughly 60% Black, making it one of the most racially distinct rural counties in North Carolina and anchoring its consistent double-digit Democratic margins in statewide and presidential contests.
The Democratic margin here reached ninety-two points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nineteen points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $50,638 and a 21% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bertie County and Northampton County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Warren County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37185/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
