Warren County, North Carolina
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 10,013 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -010010 | 870 | 265 | 28 | 1,163 | 74.8% | 22.8% | D+52.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -001001 | 348 | 570 | 16 | 934 | 37.3% | 61.0% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -005005 | 638 | 228 | 15 | 881 | 72.4% | 25.9% | D+46.5 |
| Precinct -014014 | 593 | 245 | 18 | 856 | 69.3% | 28.6% | D+40.7 |
| Precinct -006006 | 536 | 280 | 18 | 834 | 64.3% | 33.6% | D+30.7 |
| Precinct -008008 | 664 | 145 | 17 | 826 | 80.4% | 17.6% | D+62.8 |
| Precinct -012012 | 266 | 541 | 8 | 815 | 32.6% | 66.4% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -002002 | 274 | 466 | 7 | 747 | 36.7% | 62.4% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct -003003 | 407 | 289 | 10 | 706 | 57.6% | 40.9% | D+16.7 |
| Precinct -004004 | 325 | 265 | 5 | 595 | 54.6% | 44.5% | D+10.1 |
| Precinct -007007 | 352 | 209 | 9 | 570 | 61.8% | 36.7% | D+25.1 |
| Precinct -013013 | 252 | 189 | 5 | 446 | 56.5% | 42.4% | D+14.1 |
| Precinct -009009 | 212 | 185 | 9 | 406 | 52.2% | 45.6% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -011011 | 135 | 99 | 0 | 234 | 57.7% | 42.3% | D+15.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −24.0% |
| 1896 | −28.4% |
| 1900 | +8.1% |
| 1904 | +72.1% |
| 1908 | +56.5% |
| 1912 | +76.4% |
| 1916 | +68.6% |
| 1920 | +72.7% |
| 1924 | +80.0% |
| 1928 | +68.6% |
| 1932 | +91.9% |
| 1936 | +91.2% |
| 1940 | +83.1% |
| 1944 | +82.2% |
| 1948 | +78.8% |
| 1952 | +63.4% |
| 1956 | +58.4% |
| 1960 | +61.4% |
| 1964 | +19.8% |
| 1968 | +27.8% |
| 1972 | −20.7% |
| 1976 | +37.9% |
| 1980 | +39.9% |
| 1984 | +19.4% |
| 1988 | +32.4% |
| 1992 | +40.5% |
| 1996 | +36.0% |
| 2000 | +34.9% |
| 2004 | +29.0% |
| 2008 | +39.5% |
| 2012 | +37.8% |
| 2016 | +32.5% |
| 2020 | +25.7% |
| 2024 | +18.9% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | D | 60.5%4,344 | 38.3%2,753 | 7,179 |
| 2020 | D | 62.7%6,437 | 34.3%3,520 | 10,263 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 14,003 | 10,765 | 1,655 | 1,576 | 7 |
| 2012 | 13,738 | 10,112 | 1,668 | 1,931 | 27 |
| 2016 | 13,732 | 9,585 | 1,769 | 2,347 | 31 |
| 2020 | 13,535 | 8,643 | 2,159 | 2,686 | 47 |
| 2022 | 13,218 | 8,101 | 2,211 | 2,865 | 41 |
| 2024 | 13,588 | 7,710 | 2,478 | 3,322 | 78 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−32 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +243 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,786 in average income, against $57,526 for residents who stayed — 14% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+17.3 on average — 1.6 points more Republican-leaning than Warren County, NC itself (D+18.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Vance County, NC109D+13.3
- Wake County, NC59D+25.4
- Halifax County, NC48D+17.7
- Durham County, NC40D+61.7
- Franklin County, NC38R+13.5
- Granville County, NC25R+9.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Vance County, NC93
- Wake County, NC56
- Halifax County, NC37
- Franklin County, NC29
- Granville County, NC25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +6 |
| 2012 | −202 |
| 2013 | −89 |
| 2014 | −170 |
| 2015 | −113 |
| 2016 | −242 |
| 2017 | +76 |
| 2018 | +63 |
| 2019 | +27 |
| 2021 | +387 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | +123 |
| 2024 | +405 |
| 2025 | −32 |
Warren County's population is roughly 60% Black, making it one of the most racially distinct rural counties in North Carolina and anchoring its consistent double-digit Democratic margins in statewide and presidential contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 28.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.9 points.
A population of 18,795, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,638 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hancock County and Bertie County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Warren County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37185/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.