Warren County, Virginia: Industrial Catholic Metro county. In 2024, voted R+37%. Democratic peak: D+62 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 41,5312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,6822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cameron County, PA · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Warren CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Warren County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +52.2% |
| 1896 | +33.3% |
| 1900 | +39.1% |
| 1904 | +55.1% |
| 1908 | +45.0% |
| 1912 | +60.7% |
| 1916 | +45.7% |
| 1920 | +41.3% |
| 1924 | +61.8% |
| 1928 | +11.5% |
| 1932 | +49.5% |
| 1936 | +46.6% |
| 1940 | +46.2% |
| 1944 | +15.2% |
| 1948 | +11.1% |
| 1952 | −16.1% |
| 1956 | −20.0% |
| 1960 | +0.2% |
| 1964 | −10.9% |
| 1968 | −14.8% |
| 1972 | −12.3% |
| 1976 | +3.6% |
| 1980 | −18.3% |
| 1984 | −32.3% |
| 1988 | −25.4% |
| 1992 | −7.9% |
| 1996 | −8.7% |
| 2000 | −18.1% |
| 2004 | −23.9% |
| 2008 | −11.7% |
| 2012 | −20.5% |
| 2016 | −36.8% |
| 2020 | −35.3% |
| 2024 | −37.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 6,910 | 15,400 | 22,679 | ||
| R | 6,603 | 14,069 | 21,147 | ||
| R | 5,169 | 11,773 | 17,951 | ||
| R | 6,452 | 9,869 | 16,698 | ||
| R | 6,997 | 8,879 | 16,126 | ||
| R | 5,241 | 8,600 | 14,068 | ||
| R | 4,313 | 6,335 | 11,166 | ||
| R | 3,814 | 4,657 | 9,652 | ||
| R | 3,554 | 4,319 | 9,676 | ||
| R | 2,769 | 4,700 | 7,598 | ||
| R | 2,551 | 5,016 | 7,631 | ||
| R | 2,597 | 3,861 | 6,920 | ||
| D | 3,221 | 2,985 | 6,517 | ||
| R | 1,645 | 2,120 | 3,855 | ||
| R | 1,513 | 2,297 | 5,296 | ||
| R | 1,234 | 1,537 | 2,775 | ||
| D | 1,850 | 1,842 | 3,720 | ||
| R | 1,322 | 2,003 | 3,405 | ||
| R | 1,362 | 1,888 | 3,261 | ||
| D | 1,291 | 1,016 | 2,483 | ||
| D | 1,034 | 761 | 1,798 | ||
| D | 1,338 | 491 | 1,833 | ||
| D | 1,174 | 426 | 1,604 | ||
| D | 1,096 | 367 | 1,472 | ||
| D | 710 | 564 | 1,274 | ||
| D | 699 | 150 | 888 | ||
| D | 720 | 293 | 1,034 | ||
| D | 583 | 214 | 807 | ||
| D | 571 | 122 | 740 | ||
| D | 562 | 209 | 784 | ||
| D | 540 | 151 | 706 | ||
| D | 1,068 | 462 | 1,549 | ||
| D | 1,172 | 575 | 1,792 | ||
| D | 1,286 | 389 | 1,717 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
15.1%
Irish
13.7%
English
13.4%
American
7.5%
Scottish
3.3%
Italian
3.2%
Polish
1.6%
African American
4.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$84,682
Warren County ranks in the top 25% of US counties.
Warren County$84,682
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Warren County ranks in the top 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.4%
Working age (18–64)10.8%
Seniors (65+)8.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.1%
speak English only
Spanish4.7%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Warren County sits at the northern end of the Shenandoah Valley, and its rural, small-town electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in each of the last three cycles.
Its margins are typically close. The Democratic margin reached sixty-two points in 1924; the Republican margin reached thirty-seven points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-seven points.
Its demographics sit near national norms: a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $84,682, and a 12% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cameron County and Page County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warren County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51187/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
More industrial catholic metro counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Warren County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warren County, Virginia voted Republican by 37.4 points (R+37), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,679 votes cast, 6,910 went Democratic and 15,400 went Republican.
What is Warren County, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Warren County, Virginia in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology — Mid-size industrial metros with Catholic ethnic roots — among the most competitive, swing-prone ground in the country. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Warren County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warren County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Warren County, Virginia?
Warren County, Virginia has a population of 41,531 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warren County, Virginia?
Median household income in Warren County, Virginia is $84,682 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Warren County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warren County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The county's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.