HarrisDemocratic29.8%2,231TrumpRepublican69.4%5,197OliverLibertarian0.3%23
R+39.6- Lead
- 2,966
- Total
- 7,490
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Turnout
- 56.5%
Akashiccounty
Bristol city, VA
Contests in this Place (86 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.5% of 13,340 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic29.6%2,313TrumpRepublican68.5%5,347JorgensenLibertarian1.6%125
R+38.9- Lead
- 3,034
- Total
- 7,806
- vs nation
- R+43.3
- Turnout
- 58.0%
ClintonDemocratic26.1%1,835TrumpRepublican69.6%4,892JohnsonLibertarian1.9%136
R+43.5- Lead
- 3,057
- Total
- 7,027
- vs nation
- R+45.6
- Turnout
- 52.3%
ObamaDemocratic33.7%2,492RomneyRepublican64.7%4,780OtherAll other candidates1.6%115
R+31.0- Lead
- 2,288
- Total
- 7,387
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic36.2%2,665McCainRepublican62.2%4,579OtherAll other candidates1.6%115
R+26.0- Lead
- 1,914
- Total
- 7,359
- vs nation
- R+33.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic35.7%2,400BushRepublican63.6%4,275OtherAll other candidates0.7%49
R+27.9- Lead
- 1,875
- Total
- 6,724
- vs nation
- R+25.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic42.1%2,646BushRepublican55.7%3,495NaderGreen1.4%89
R+13.5- Lead
- 849
- Total
- 6,279
- vs nation
- R+14.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.9%2,586DoleRepublican49.5%2,983PerotReform7.1%429
R+6.6- Lead
- 397
- Total
- 6,026
- vs nation
- R+15.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,8492024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,306 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 12.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $50,4042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hickman County, KY · twin score 86.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 56.5%7,538 participants ÷ 13,340 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +0.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 32.0%–38.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,538 | 13,340 ± 243 | 56.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,554 | 13,604 ± 245 | 33.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 7,806 | 13,465 ± 125 | 58.0% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,304 | 13,300 ± 120 | 39.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 7,064 | 13,502 ± 105 | 52.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 7,387 | 13,956 | 52.9% | Derived | — | |
| 7,359 | 13,999 | 52.6% | Derived | — | |
| 6,724 | 14,042 extrapolated | 47.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Bristol city only. The complete district District 9 result is shown below for comparison.
Bristol city result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Adam Grayson Murphy0—
Douglas E. Crockett0—
Joy A. Powers0—
District District 9 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 9 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| First Ward51520000001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fourth Ward51520000004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 1PRECINCT 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 2PRECINCT 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 3PRECINCT 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 4PRECINCT 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 5PRECINCT 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Second Ward51520000002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Third Ward51520000003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Bristol city, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
81.1%
1,364 votes · D+62.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 79.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
74.9%
7,745 votes · R+52.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 69.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
3,385votes
53.0% of the vote · D+6.2
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 3,343 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
7,745votes
74.9% of the vote · R+52.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,347 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+65.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+38.8 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +64.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+45.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.5 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +43.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RTodd PillionState Senate · 6
RIsrael O'QuinnState House · 44
Seats representing Bristol city, VA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 33.2%1,751 | 66.8%3,521 | 5,272 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,760 |
| 2018 | 11,097 |
| 2020 | 11,714 |
| 2022 | 12,300 |
| 2024 | 12,853 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+112 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −324 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,454 in average income, against $64,864 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+52.9 on average — 13 points more Republican-leaning than Bristol city, VA itself (R+39.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sullivan County, TN205R+55.0
- Washington County, VA173R+53.1
- Washington County, TN34R+39.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sullivan County, TN183
- Washington County, VA159
- Washington County, TN23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +32 |
| 2012 | +30 |
| 2013 | −241 |
| 2014 | −85 |
| 2015 | −28 |
| 2016 | −8 |
| 2017 | −57 |
| 2018 | −64 |
| 2019 | +194 |
| 2021 | −74 |
| 2022 | +18 |
| 2023 | −10 |
| 2024 | −143 |
| 2025 | +112 |
Bristol straddles the Virginia-Tennessee state line, with the Virginia side functioning as an independent city despite its county-level classification. Working-class demographics and a manufacturing heritage have tracked closely with regional shifts toward lopsided Republican margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 52.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.6 points.
A population of 16,849, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,404 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hickman County and Boyle County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Hickman County
Kentucky
86.6twin score
% unaffiliatedAmerican ancestry2008 margin≠ 12-yr trend
Boyle County
Kentucky
84.0twin score
% EvangelicalAmerican ancestry2008 margin≠ % unaffiliated
Trigg County
Kentucky
82.4twin score
% Evangelical2008 margin% White≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bristol city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51520/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Bristol city
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Frequently asked questions
How did Bristol city, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bristol city, Virginia voted Republican by 39.6 points (R+39.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,490 votes cast, 2,231 went Democratic and 5,197 went Republican.
When did Bristol city, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bristol city, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Bristol city, Virginia?
Bristol city, Virginia has a population of 16,849 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bristol city, Virginia?
Median household income in Bristol city, Virginia is $50,404 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Bristol city, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bristol city, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.