Tri-Cities, TN-VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
53.5%
53,459 votes · D+7.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 52.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.4%
289,744 votes · R+57.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 76.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
118,163votes
41.8% of the vote · R+4.2
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 117,186 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
289,744votes
78.4% of the vote · R+57.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 277,996 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+12.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+13.1 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · 0.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+59.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.9 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +58.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Tri-Cities, TN-VA · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, by party and cycle.
Party
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Democratic
Clinton1958,107 votes · 19 of 19 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Clinton13Sanders628,234 votes · 19 of 19 countiesprimary
Biden17Sanders236,602 votes · 19 of 19 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Republicannot ingested
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Tri-Cities, TN-VA
Year
Total registered
2016 (partial)
478,389
2018 (partial)
469,762
2020 (partial)
498,716
2022 (partial)
510,858
2024
557,704
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+6,097 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +39,788 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Tri-Cities, TN-VA in Tri-Cities, TN-VA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+836
2012
+29
2013
−1,333
2014
−1,627
2015
−375
2016
−28
2017
+906
2018
+2,200
2019
+1,562
2021
+5,197
2022
+10,024
2023
+9,668
2024
+6,632
2025
+6,097
The Tri-Cities market straddles a state line, meaning voters in Johnson City, Kingsport, and Bristol are reached by campaigns operating under two different sets of electoral rules and candidate slates simultaneously.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.8 points.
A population of 791,313, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,341 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Knoxville and Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/531/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia voted Republican by 57.8 points (R+57.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 369,494 votes cast, 76,113 went Democratic and 289,744 went Republican.
When did Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia has a population of 791,313 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia is $55,341 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.
