† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
19 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupTri-Cities, TN-VAUnited States
American21.2%5.3%
English16.8%9.5%
Irish10.0%9.4%
German9.3%12.5%
Scottish2.3%1.3%
Scotch-Irish2.3%—
Italian1.7%4.8%
French0.7%1.6%
Mexican1.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.3%1.8%
African American†2.0%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
United States
Median age
44.5
39.1
Age 18–24
8.3%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
22.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
United States
Median household income
$55,341
$84,427
Poverty rate
16.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
22.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
2.9%
22.3%
Spanish
1.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
United States
Catholic
1.6%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
38.4%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
49.5%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
8.2%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+1.7%
1896
−18.2%
1900
−14.2%
1904
−25.2%
1908
−25.6%
1912
+11.1%
1916
−18.8%
1920
−30.1%
1924
−13.1%
1928
−25.6%
1932
+5.5%
1936
+7.2%
1940
+3.5%
1944
−7.1%
1948
−8.4%
1952
−20.9%
1956
−24.3%
1960
−22.6%
1964
+2.4%
1968
−23.3%
1972
−47.2%
1976
+0.6%
1980
−11.2%
1984
−26.9%
1988
−21.0%
1992
−4.2%
1996
−6.6%
2000
−16.0%
2004
−29.7%
2008
−35.0%
2012
−44.3%
2016
−56.4%
2020
−54.9%
2024
−57.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
20.6%Harris76,113
78.4%Trump289,744
1.0%
R+57.8
R+2.9
R+56.3
369,494
R
21.8%Biden78,983
76.7%Trump277,996
1.5%
R+54.9
D+1.5
R+59.4
362,319
R
19.9%Clinton62,701
76.4%Trump240,336
3.7%
R+56.4
R+12.1
R+58.5
314,687
R
27.0%Obama83,607
71.3%Romney220,840
1.7%
R+44.3
R+9.3
R+48.2
309,785
R
31.7%Obama99,177
66.7%McCain208,671
1.6%
R+35.0
R+5.3
R+42.3
312,798
R
34.7%Kerry106,880
64.4%Bush198,359
0.9%
R+29.7
R+13.6
R+27.2
308,125
R
41.0%Gore112,827
57.0%Bush156,976
2.0%
R+16.0
R+9.4
R+16.6
275,228
R
42.0%Clinton108,578
48.6%Dole125,670
9.4%
R+6.6
R+2.4
R+15.1
258,539
R
41.8%Clinton118,163
46.1%Bush130,084
12.1%
R+4.2
D+16.8
R+9.8
282,459
R
39.0%Dukakis97,537
60.0%Bush150,025
1.1%
R+21.0
D+5.9
R+13.2
250,220
R
36.2%Mondale97,735
63.1%Reagan170,402
0.8%
R+26.9
R+15.7
R+8.7
270,192
R
42.7%Carter106,615
53.9%Reagan134,500
3.4%
R+11.2
R+11.8
R+1.4
249,595
D
49.0%Carter117,186
48.4%Ford115,659
2.6%
D+0.6
D+47.8
R+1.4
239,055
R
25.4%McGovern49,451
72.5%Nixon141,390
2.1%
R+47.2
R+23.9
R+24.0
194,941
R
29.2%Humphrey60,783
52.5%Nixon109,221
18.3%
R+23.3
R+25.7
R+22.6
208,157
D
51.1%Johnson91,694
48.8%Goldwater87,419
0.1%
D+2.4
D+25.0
R+20.2
179,318
R
38.4%Kennedy70,584
61.0%Nixon112,222
0.6%
R+22.6
D+1.7
R+22.8
183,912
R
37.5%Stevenson67,706
61.8%Eisenhower111,703
0.7%
R+24.3
R+3.4
R+8.9
180,691
R
39.3%Stevenson61,551
60.2%Eisenhower94,262
0.4%
R+20.9
R+12.5
R+10.2
156,455
R
44.6%Truman51,686
53.0%Dewey61,422
2.4%
R+8.4
R+1.3
R+12.9
115,945
R
46.3%Roosevelt50,000
53.4%Dewey57,711
0.2%
R+7.1
R+10.6
R+14.6
107,974
D
51.5%Roosevelt54,227
48.0%Willkie50,564
0.5%
D+3.5
R+3.8
R+6.5
105,285
D
53.5%Roosevelt53,459
46.2%Landon46,217
0.3%
D+7.2
D+1.8
R+17.0
99,970
D
52.4%Roosevelt47,839
46.9%Hoover42,844
0.8%
D+5.5
D+31.0
R+12.3
91,369
R
37.2%Smith33,561
62.8%Hoover56,634
0.1%
R+25.6
R+12.4
R+8.1
90,242
R
41.9%Davis32,433
55.0%Coolidge42,619
3.1%
R+13.1
D+17.0
D+12.0
77,478
R
34.8%Cox28,189
65.0%Harding52,604
0.2%
R+30.1
R+11.3
R+4.0
80,989
R
40.4%Wilson20,569
59.2%Hughes30,149
0.4%
R+18.8
R+29.9
R+22.0
50,908
D
39.5%Wilson17,778
28.4%Taft12,791
32.2%
D+11.1
D+36.7
R+8.5
45,062
R
37.0%Bryan15,919
62.6%Taft26,926
0.4%
R+25.6
R+0.4
R+16.0
42,998
R
37.1%Parker14,796
62.2%Roosevelt24,846
0.7%
R+25.2
R+11.0
R+5.5
39,930
R
42.6%Bryan22,057
56.8%McKinley29,387
0.6%
R+14.2
D+4.0
R+6.6
51,753
R
40.5%Bryan20,863
58.6%McKinley30,244
0.9%
R+18.2
R+19.9
R+12.1
51,569
D
48.1%Cleveland20,757
46.4%Harrison20,029
5.5%
D+1.7
—
±0.0
43,173
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Tri-Cities, TN-VA
Year
Total registered
2016 (partial)
478,389
2018 (partial)
469,762
2020 (partial)
498,716
2022 (partial)
510,858
2024
557,704
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+6,097 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +39,788 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Tri-Cities, TN-VA in Tri-Cities, TN-VA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+836
2012
+29
2013
−1,333
2014
−1,627
2015
−375
2016
−28
2017
+906
2018
+2,200
2019
+1,562
2021
+5,197
2022
+10,024
2023
+9,668
2024
+6,632
2025
+6,097
The Tri-Cities market straddles a state line, meaning voters in Johnson City, Kingsport, and Bristol are reached by campaigns operating under two different sets of electoral rules and candidate slates simultaneously.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.8 points.
A population of 791,313, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,341 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Knoxville and Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
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Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/531/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia voted Republican by 57.8 points (R+57.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 369,494 votes cast, 76,113 went Democratic and 289,744 went Republican.
When did Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia has a population of 791,313 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Median household income in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia is $55,341 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Tri-Cities, TN-VA, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.
