† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
11 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupDaytonUnited States
German23.5%12.5%
English12.5%9.5%
Irish11.9%9.4%
American6.8%5.3%
Italian3.0%4.8%
Scottish2.0%1.3%
French1.9%1.6%
Polish1.1%2.2%
African American†10.0%9.9%
African0.4%0.5%
Mexican1.7%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%1.8%
Salvadoran0.2%0.7%
Asian Indian0.5%1.4%
Chinese0.2%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Dayton
United States
Median age
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Dayton
United States
Median household income
$70,148
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
28.1%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Dayton
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.2%
22.3%
Spanish
2.0%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Dayton
United States
Catholic
11.7%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
51.1%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.9%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Dayton, Ohio
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−2.6%
1896
−5.0%
1900
−8.1%
1904
−22.1%
1908
−3.7%
1912
+10.6%
1916
+4.5%
1920
−14.7%
1924
−29.2%
1928
−33.5%
1932
+3.4%
1936
+16.9%
1940
+5.0%
1944
−2.1%
1948
+1.1%
1952
−17.2%
1956
−24.2%
1960
−14.1%
1964
+23.1%
1968
−3.0%
1972
−27.3%
1976
−3.6%
1980
−8.8%
1984
−29.2%
1988
−23.9%
1992
−5.5%
1996
+0.8%
2000
−10.5%
2004
−13.5%
2008
−9.2%
2012
−12.7%
2016
−22.5%
2020
−22.1%
2024
−24.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
37.2%Harris236,098
61.8%Trump392,917
0.5%Oliver3,289 +4
R+24.7
R+2.5
R+23.2
635,328
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican61.8%392,917
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic37.2%236,098
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.5%3,289
Richard DuncanNonpartisan0.2%1,343
Peter SonskiNonpartisan0.2%1,199
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.0%270
OtherAll other candidates0.0%212
R
38.1%Biden246,961
60.2%Trump390,529
1.7%
R+22.1
D+0.3
R+26.6
648,313
R
35.6%Clinton221,392
58.1%Trump360,903
6.2%
R+22.5
R+9.8
R+24.6
621,036
R
42.4%Obama265,897
55.1%Romney345,431
2.5%
R+12.7
R+3.5
R+16.5
626,919
R
44.5%Obama286,779
53.7%McCain346,089
1.8%
R+9.2
D+4.3
R+16.5
644,347
R
43.0%Kerry276,010
56.5%Bush362,361
0.5%
R+13.5
R+2.9
R+11.0
641,449
R
43.2%Gore231,318
53.8%Bush287,731
3.0%
R+10.5
R+11.4
R+11.1
535,274
D
44.9%Clinton235,784
44.1%Dole231,497
10.9%
D+0.8
D+6.3
R+7.7
524,565
R
36.8%Clinton210,163
42.3%Bush241,401
20.9%
R+5.5
D+18.4
R+11.0
571,231
R
37.7%Dukakis188,943
61.6%Bush308,725
0.8%
R+23.9
D+5.4
R+16.2
501,549
R
35.0%Mondale178,195
64.3%Reagan327,066
0.7%
R+29.2
R+20.5
R+11.0
509,027
R
42.0%Carter203,710
50.8%Reagan246,404
7.3%
R+8.8
R+5.2
D+0.9
485,509
R
47.0%Carter217,814
50.6%Ford234,490
2.3%
R+3.6
D+23.7
R+5.7
463,089
R
35.0%McGovern159,405
62.4%Nixon283,855
2.6%
R+27.3
R+24.3
R+4.2
455,068
R
42.3%Humphrey192,824
45.3%Nixon206,691
12.4%
R+3.0
R+26.1
R+2.3
456,104
D
61.5%Johnson272,546
38.4%Goldwater170,243
0.0%
D+23.1
D+37.2
D+0.5
442,902
R
43.0%Kennedy197,044
57.0%Nixon261,550
0.0%
R+14.1
D+10.1
R+14.2
458,689
R
37.9%Stevenson153,953
62.1%Eisenhower252,258
0.0%
R+24.2
R+7.0
R+8.8
406,355
R
41.4%Stevenson163,897
58.5%Eisenhower231,916
0.1%
R+17.2
R+18.3
R+6.4
396,106
D
50.2%Truman159,927
49.1%Dewey156,402
0.7%
D+1.1
D+3.2
R+3.4
318,615
R
48.9%Roosevelt168,370
51.0%Dewey175,486
0.1%
R+2.1
R+7.1
R+9.6
344,188
D
52.5%Roosevelt185,676
47.5%Willkie167,998
0.0%
D+5.0
R+11.9
R+5.0
353,847
D
56.1%Roosevelt183,609
39.2%Landon128,430
4.7%
D+16.9
D+13.4
R+7.4
327,397
D
50.2%Roosevelt146,326
46.8%Hoover136,334
3.0%
D+3.4
D+36.9
R+14.4
291,306
R
33.0%Smith92,724
66.4%Hoover186,789
0.6%
R+33.5
R+4.3
R+16.0
281,159
R
31.3%Davis72,328
60.5%Coolidge139,716
8.2%
R+29.2
R+14.5
R+4.0
231,065
R
41.2%Cox105,754
55.9%Harding143,475
2.9%
R+14.7
R+19.2
D+11.5
256,612
D
50.0%Wilson70,687
45.6%Hughes64,400
4.4%
D+4.5
R+6.2
D+1.3
141,242
D
40.1%Wilson51,256
29.4%Taft37,633
30.5%
D+10.6
D+14.4
R+8.9
127,964
R
46.2%Bryan64,168
49.9%Taft69,350
3.9%
R+3.7
D+18.4
D+5.8
139,006
R
36.7%Parker45,933
58.8%Roosevelt73,671
4.5%
R+22.1
R+14.1
R+2.5
125,240
R
44.9%Bryan58,018
53.0%McKinley68,436
2.1%
R+8.1
R+3.1
R+0.5
129,144
R
47.0%Bryan59,103
51.9%McKinley65,387
1.1%
R+5.0
R+2.4
D+1.1
125,874
R
45.8%Cleveland49,431
48.4%Harrison52,231
5.7%
R+2.6
—
R+4.3
107,854
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Dayton
Year
Total registered
2016
872,684
2018
889,002
2020
883,943
2022
878,823
2024
893,613
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+3,805 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −24,872 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Dayton in Dayton: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−3,918
2012
−4,986
2013
−5,578
2014
−5,255
2015
−5,853
2016
−3,967
2017
−889
2018
−563
2019
+186
2021
−110
2022
−1,229
2023
+633
2024
+2,852
2025
+3,805
The Dayton media market spans a swath of southwest Ohio where urban, suburban, and rural precincts often split sharply, making aggregate results here a reliable early signal for statewide margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.7 points.
A population of 1,285,300, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,148 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg and Charleston-Huntington.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dayton, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/542/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Dayton, Ohio voted Republican by 24.7 points (R+24.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 635,328 votes cast, 236,098 went Democratic and 392,917 went Republican.
When did Dayton, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dayton, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dayton, Ohio?
Dayton, Ohio has a population of 1,285,300 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dayton, Ohio?
Median household income in Dayton, Ohio is $70,148 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Dayton, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Dayton, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.
