Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
65.5%
221,926 votes · D+32.4
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 65.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.5%
323,896 votes · R+50.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 72.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
230,102votes
55.8% of the vote · D+12.0
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 229,561 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
325,692votes
72.9% of the vote · R+47.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 323,896 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+28.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+3.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +23.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+51.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.4 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +49.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, by party and cycle.
Party
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Democratic
Clinton39Obama4150,861 votes · 43 of 43 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Sanders26Clinton1784,498 votes · 43 of 43 countiesprimary
Biden4369,158 votes · 43 of 43 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Republicannot ingested
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg
Year
Total registered
2016 (partial)
511,409
2018 (partial)
499,168
2020 (partial)
522,787
2022 (partial)
481,532
2024
691,117
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,718 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −24,887 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+317
2012
−4,299
2013
−1,636
2014
−4,079
2015
−3,661
2016
−4,820
2017
−4,512
2018
−3,917
2019
−4,881
2021
+662
2022
+1,340
2023
+1,237
2024
+1,644
2025
+1,718
Spanning corners of Kentucky, Missouri, Illinois, and Tennessee, this mid-Mississippi media market forces campaigns to buy across multiple state lines to reach a relatively small, predominantly rural audience that has shifted decisively toward Republican margins over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.2 points.
A population of 934,160, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,801 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tri-Cities, TN-VA and Springfield, MO.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/632/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois voted Republican by 50.2 points (R+50.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 434,636 votes cast, 105,685 went Democratic and 323,896 went Republican.
When did Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois?
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois has a population of 934,160 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois?
Median household income in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois is $57,801 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.
