† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
43 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupPaducah-Cape Girardeau-HarrisburgUnited States
German15.0%12.5%
English13.4%9.5%
American10.8%5.3%
Irish10.4%9.4%
Italian1.8%4.8%
Scottish1.8%1.3%
French1.5%1.6%
Polish1.0%2.2%
African American†5.8%9.9%
African0.3%0.5%
Mexican2.2%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.3%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg
United States
Median age
40.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.6%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg
United States
Median household income
$57,801
$84,427
Poverty rate
16.9%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
21.9%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.5%
22.3%
Spanish
1.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg
United States
Catholic
5.6%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
39.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
44.7%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.3%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+12.2%
1896
+15.5%
1900
+10.0%
1904
+0.6%
1908
+6.0%
1912
+17.0%
1916
+4.7%
1920
−3.1%
1924
+3.8%
1928
−3.3%
1932
+32.4%
1936
+20.4%
1940
+12.0%
1944
+7.0%
1948
+21.3%
1952
+4.5%
1956
+5.7%
1960
−3.4%
1964
+30.1%
1968
−2.1%
1972
−24.9%
1976
+20.6%
1980
−4.3%
1984
−12.2%
1988
−3.1%
1992
+14.7%
1996
+9.9%
2000
−10.5%
2004
−20.9%
2008
−20.0%
2012
−30.6%
2016
−46.9%
2020
−47.4%
2024
−50.2%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
24.3%Harris105,685
74.5%Trump323,896
1.2%
R+50.2
R+2.8
R+48.7
434,636
R
25.5%Biden113,855
72.9%Trump325,692
1.6%
R+47.4
R+0.5
R+51.9
446,588
R
24.4%Clinton105,073
71.3%Trump307,083
4.3%
R+46.9
R+16.3
R+49.0
430,576
R
33.7%Obama140,175
64.3%Romney267,572
2.0%
R+30.6
R+10.6
R+34.5
416,270
R
39.2%Obama170,914
59.1%McCain258,089
1.7%
R+20.0
D+0.9
R+27.2
436,413
R
39.2%Kerry170,364
60.1%Bush260,882
0.7%
R+20.9
R+10.4
R+18.4
434,127
R
43.6%Gore172,625
54.0%Bush214,094
2.4%
R+10.5
R+20.4
R+11.0
396,243
D
49.4%Clinton185,319
39.5%Dole148,178
11.1%
D+9.9
R+4.8
D+1.4
375,131
D
49.8%Clinton205,659
35.1%Bush144,901
15.2%
D+14.7
D+17.8
D+9.1
413,308
R
48.2%Dukakis177,837
51.3%Bush189,240
0.5%
R+3.1
D+9.1
D+4.6
368,749
R
43.7%Mondale169,789
55.9%Reagan217,138
0.4%
R+12.2
R+7.9
D+6.0
388,402
R
46.2%Carter180,958
50.5%Reagan197,730
3.3%
R+4.3
R+24.9
D+5.5
391,411
D
59.7%Carter221,096
39.1%Ford144,779
1.2%
D+20.6
D+45.5
D+18.5
370,491
R
37.1%McGovern126,334
62.0%Nixon210,929
0.9%
R+24.9
R+22.8
R+1.7
340,351
R
39.2%Humphrey138,278
41.3%Nixon145,586
19.5%
R+2.1
R+32.2
R+1.4
352,519
D
65.0%Johnson229,561
34.9%Goldwater123,155
0.1%
D+30.1
D+33.6
D+7.6
352,996
R
48.2%Kennedy182,073
51.6%Nixon195,003
0.1%
R+3.4
R+9.1
R+3.6
377,570
D
52.8%Stevenson194,995
47.1%Eisenhower174,011
0.2%
D+5.7
D+1.2
D+21.1
369,615
D
52.2%Stevenson194,388
47.7%Eisenhower177,665
0.2%
D+4.5
R+16.8
D+15.2
372,678
D
60.0%Truman189,597
38.8%Dewey122,452
1.2%
D+21.3
D+14.2
D+16.8
315,972
D
53.3%Roosevelt179,246
46.3%Dewey155,565
0.4%
D+7.0
R+5.0
R+0.5
336,305
D
55.8%Roosevelt230,102
43.8%Willkie180,549
0.4%
D+12.0
R+8.4
D+2.1
412,442
D
59.8%Roosevelt228,470
39.4%Landon150,467
0.9%
D+20.4
R+12.0
R+3.9
382,351
D
65.5%Roosevelt221,926
33.1%Hoover112,012
1.4%
D+32.4
D+35.8
D+14.7
338,720
R
48.1%Smith142,092
51.4%Hoover151,865
0.6%
R+3.3
R+7.1
D+14.2
295,629
D
47.0%Davis136,071
43.3%Coolidge125,205
9.7%
D+3.8
D+6.9
D+28.9
289,227
R
46.2%Cox137,434
49.3%Harding146,752
4.5%
R+3.1
R+7.8
D+23.1
297,622
D
50.8%Wilson125,268
46.1%Hughes113,768
3.1%
D+4.7
R+12.4
D+1.5
246,669
D
48.7%Wilson79,507
31.6%Taft51,686
19.7%
D+17.0
D+11.0
R+2.5
163,418
D
51.0%Bryan85,520
45.0%Taft75,461
4.0%
D+6.0
D+5.4
D+15.6
167,717
D
47.5%Parker70,627
46.9%Roosevelt69,749
5.5%
D+0.6
R+9.4
D+20.3
148,566
D
54.0%Bryan84,195
44.0%McKinley68,641
2.0%
D+10.0
R+5.5
D+17.5
155,883
D
57.1%Bryan87,328
41.6%McKinley63,635
1.3%
D+15.5
D+3.3
D+21.6
152,973
D
51.2%Cleveland63,890
38.9%Harrison48,616
9.9%
D+12.2
—
D+10.6
124,879
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg
Year
Total registered
2016 (partial)
511,409
2018 (partial)
499,168
2020 (partial)
522,787
2022 (partial)
481,532
2024
691,117
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,718 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −24,887 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+317
2012
−4,299
2013
−1,636
2014
−4,079
2015
−3,661
2016
−4,820
2017
−4,512
2018
−3,917
2019
−4,881
2021
+662
2022
+1,340
2023
+1,237
2024
+1,644
2025
+1,718
Spanning corners of Kentucky, Missouri, Illinois, and Tennessee, this mid-Mississippi media market forces campaigns to buy across multiple state lines to reach a relatively small, predominantly rural audience that has shifted decisively toward Republican margins over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.2 points.
A population of 934,160, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,801 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tri-Cities, TN-VA and Springfield, MO.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/632/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois voted Republican by 50.2 points (R+50.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 434,636 votes cast, 105,685 went Democratic and 323,896 went Republican.
When did Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois?
Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois has a population of 934,160 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois?
Median household income in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois is $57,801 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Paducah-Cape Girardeau-Harrisburg, Illinois from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.
