† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupGainesvilleFloridaUnited States
English12.6%8.2%9.5%
German11.2%8.9%12.5%
Irish10.4%8.2%9.4%
Italian4.5%5.6%4.8%
American4.5%7.7%5.3%
Scottish3.0%1.3%1.3%
Polish1.9%2.1%2.2%
French1.8%1.7%1.6%
African American†14.1%9.5%9.9%
Jamaican0.6%1.5%0.4%
Haitian0.5%2.3%0.3%
African0.5%0.5%0.5%
Ethiopian0.2%——
Puerto Rican2.7%5.6%1.8%
Cuban2.0%7.3%0.7%
Mexican1.7%3.3%11.3%
Colombian0.7%2.1%0.4%
Venezuelan0.6%1.6%—
Spaniard0.4%——
Dominican0.3%1.3%0.7%
Spanish0.3%——
Asian Indian1.8%0.9%1.4%
Chinese0.9%0.5%1.3%
Filipino0.9%0.5%0.9%
Vietnamese0.3%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.3%—0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Gainesville
Florida
United States
Median age
35.3
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
17.9%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.3%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Gainesville
Florida
United States
Median household income
$60,837
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
20.2%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
41.3%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Gainesville
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
14.3%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
7.4%
22.6%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
2.0%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Gainesville
Florida
United States
Catholic
8.1%
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
24.9%
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
56.1%
53.1%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.2%
3.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Gainesville, Florida
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+84.3%
1896
+40.1%
1900
+57.6%
1904
+39.8%
1908
+28.4%
1912
+61.2%
1916
+59.4%
1920
+46.1%
1924
+52.0%
1928
+24.3%
1932
+70.5%
1936
+76.1%
1940
+73.1%
1944
+65.1%
1948
+26.4%
1952
−1.6%
1956
+5.8%
1960
+5.5%
1964
+9.3%
1968
+1.5%
1972
−21.1%
1976
+31.0%
1980
+14.6%
1984
−11.7%
1988
−5.2%
1992
+16.9%
1996
+16.8%
2000
+8.8%
2004
+3.5%
2008
+9.5%
2012
+5.0%
2016
+6.4%
2020
+9.0%
2024
+1.9%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
50.3%Harris90,417
48.4%Trump87,035
0.5%Stein973 +5
D+1.9
R+7.2
D+3.4
179,760
All 8 candidates in 2024 · 6 minor / independent
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic50.3%90,417
Donald J TrumpRepublican48.4%87,035
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%973
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%724
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%328
Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%176
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%106
OtherAll other candidates0.0%1
D
53.9%Biden98,974
44.9%Trump82,375
1.2%
D+9.0
D+2.6
D+4.6
183,601
D
51.1%Clinton83,649
44.7%Trump73,171
4.1%
D+6.4
D+1.4
D+4.3
163,588
D
51.7%Obama79,501
46.7%Romney71,820
1.5%
D+5.0
R+4.5
D+1.1
153,667
D
54.1%Obama86,197
44.6%McCain71,117
1.3%
D+9.5
D+5.9
D+2.2
159,327
D
51.3%Kerry72,555
47.8%Bush67,542
0.9%
D+3.5
R+5.2
D+6.0
141,437
D
52.1%Gore56,515
43.3%Bush46,995
4.6%
D+8.8
R+8.1
D+8.3
108,549
D
51.8%Clinton48,818
35.0%Dole32,953
13.2%
D+16.8
R+0.1
D+8.3
94,176
D
47.6%Clinton45,584
30.7%Bush29,405
21.6%
D+16.9
D+22.2
D+11.3
95,698
R
46.9%Dukakis35,333
52.1%Bush39,292
1.0%
R+5.2
D+6.4
D+2.5
75,413
R
44.1%Mondale31,962
55.8%Reagan40,430
0.1%
R+11.7
R+26.2
D+6.5
72,453
D
53.4%Carter34,656
38.8%Reagan25,208
7.8%
D+14.6
R+16.4
D+24.3
64,926
D
64.3%Carter35,896
33.3%Ford18,597
2.4%
D+31.0
D+52.0
D+28.9
55,850
R
39.4%McGovern18,721
60.4%Nixon28,743
0.2%
R+21.1
R+22.6
D+2.1
47,560
O
31.6%Humphrey11,360
30.1%Nixon10,815
38.4%
Wallace +6.8
R+7.8
D+2.2
35,985
D
54.7%Johnson17,103
45.3%Goldwater14,179
0.0%
D+9.3
D+3.9
R+13.2
31,282
D
52.7%Kennedy13,092
47.3%Nixon11,737
0.0%
D+5.5
R+0.4
D+5.3
24,829
D
52.9%Stevenson10,539
47.1%Eisenhower9,380
0.0%
D+5.8
D+7.4
D+21.2
19,919
R
49.2%Stevenson9,816
50.8%Eisenhower10,133
0.0%
R+1.6
R+28.0
D+9.2
19,949
D
45.5%Truman6,619
19.2%Dewey2,785
35.3%
D+26.4
R+38.7
D+21.9
14,537
D
82.5%Roosevelt9,828
17.5%Dewey2,080
0.0%
D+65.1
R+8.1
D+57.6
11,908
D
86.6%Roosevelt11,672
13.4%Willkie1,810
0.0%
D+73.1
R+3.0
D+63.2
13,482
D
88.1%Roosevelt8,797
11.9%Landon1,193
0.0%
D+76.1
D+5.6
D+51.9
9,990
D
85.2%Roosevelt7,037
14.8%Hoover1,218
0.0%
D+70.5
D+46.2
D+52.7
8,255
O
41.1%Smith3,496
16.8%Hoover1,431
42.1%
Other +1.0
R+27.7
D+41.7
8,505
D
71.5%Davis2,776
19.5%Coolidge756
9.0%
D+52.0
D+5.9
D+77.2
3,883
D
71.8%Cox4,192
25.6%Harding1,496
2.6%
D+46.1
R+13.2
D+72.3
5,842
D
78.0%Wilson2,742
18.7%Hughes656
3.3%
D+59.4
R+1.8
D+56.2
3,514
D
74.2%Wilson1,679
13.0%Taft295
12.8%
D+61.2
D+32.7
D+41.6
2,263
D
60.6%Bryan1,650
32.1%Taft875
7.3%
D+28.4
R+11.3
D+38.0
2,725
D
67.1%Parker1,703
27.4%Roosevelt694
5.5%
D+39.8
R+17.9
D+59.4
2,537
D
76.7%Bryan1,346
19.0%McKinley334
4.3%
D+57.6
D+17.5
D+65.2
1,756
D
68.8%Bryan1,545
28.7%McKinley645
2.4%
D+40.1
R+44.2
D+46.2
2,245
D
84.3%Cleveland1,447
0.0%Harrison0
15.7%
D+84.3
—
D+82.6
1,717
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+2.6
vs
Presidential vote · 2024D+1.9
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.7 points.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Gainesville
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2017
220,648
99,334
71,349
48,308
1,657
2018
232,893
104,246
74,495
51,813
2,339
2019
231,411
102,734
74,272
51,744
2,661
2020
246,928
109,752
81,095
52,363
3,718
2021
245,307
107,244
80,222
53,708
4,133
2023
204,743
83,617
74,416
42,238
4,472
2024
229,216
89,872
83,972
48,729
6,643
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+514 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +18,471 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Gainesville in Gainesville: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−486
2012
−1,100
2013
−1,325
2014
+857
2015
+2,485
2016
+3,243
2017
+1,195
2018
+1,891
2019
+93
2021
+3,629
2022
+3,449
2023
+2,919
2024
+1,107
2025
+514
The Gainesville media market anchors Alachua County, where University of Florida's roughly 50,000 students create unusually high turnout volatility and a college-educated demographic profile that diverges sharply from surrounding rural North Florida counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.3 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 21.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.9 points.
A population of 366,981, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,837 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville) and Charlottesville.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Gainesville, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/592/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Gainesville, Florida voted Democratic by 1.9 points (D+1.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 179,760 votes cast, 90,417 went Democratic and 87,035 went Republican.
When did Gainesville, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Gainesville, Florida voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Gainesville, Florida?
Gainesville, Florida has a population of 366,981 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Gainesville, Florida?
Median household income in Gainesville, Florida is $60,837 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Gainesville, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Gainesville, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
