Fresno-Visalia · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Fresno-Visalia, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+1.7
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+10.6
Fresno-Visalia registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 12-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
1,009,594 registered voters · 2024 · up from 975,149 in 2022
Domestic migration in Fresno-Visalia in Fresno-Visalia: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−8,065
2012
−12,182
2013
−11,382
2014
−5,912
2015
−7,883
2016
−10,488
2017
−1,178
2018
−247
2019
−1,373
2021
+2,605
2022
−5,327
2023
−8,441
2024
−10,352
2025
−7,818
Anchored by the San Joaquin Valley's agricultural economy, this media market blends a majority-Hispanic working-class base with conservative rural precincts, producing competitive legislative margins that frequently diverge from statewide trends.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 32.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 12.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.6 points.
A population of 2,116,939, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,259 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bakersfield and San Antonio.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Fresno-Visalia, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/866/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Fresno-Visalia, California voted Republican by 10.6 points (R+10.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 656,291 votes cast, 285,161 went Democratic and 354,776 went Republican.
When did Fresno-Visalia, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fresno-Visalia, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Fresno-Visalia, California?
Fresno-Visalia, California has a population of 2,116,939 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fresno-Visalia, California?
Median household income in Fresno-Visalia, California is $72,259 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Fresno-Visalia, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Fresno-Visalia, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.
