HarrisDemocratic16.8%2,100TrumpRepublican81.2%10,186OtherAll other candidates2.0%251
R+64.5- Lead
- 8,086
- Total
- 12,537
- vs nation
- R+63.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Arkansas 44th State House District
Contests in this Place (44 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic17.6%2,208TrumpRepublican80.5%10,095OtherAll other candidates1.9%237
R+62.9- Lead
- 7,887
- Total
- 12,540
- vs nation
- R+67.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic17.3%1,947TrumpRepublican80.5%9,068OtherAll other candidates2.2%252
R+63.2- Lead
- 7,121
- Total
- 11,267
- vs nation
- R+65.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic19.3%2,016RomneyRepublican78.5%8,215OtherAll other candidates2.2%231
R+59.3- Lead
- 6,199
- Total
- 10,462
- vs nation
- R+63.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic20.8%2,328McCainRepublican77.2%8,646OtherAll other candidates2.1%232
R+56.4- Lead
- 6,318
- Total
- 11,206
- vs nation
- R+63.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic26.8%2,811BushRepublican72.4%7,600OtherAll other candidates0.8%85
R+45.6- Lead
- 4,789
- Total
- 10,496
- vs nation
- R+43.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic28.6%2,609BushRepublican68.8%6,278OtherAll other candidates2.5%232
R+40.2- Lead
- 3,669
- Total
- 9,119
- vs nation
- R+40.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic37.7%3,344DoleRepublican52.0%4,617OtherAll other candidates10.3%912
R+14.3- Lead
- 1,273
- Total
- 8,873
- vs nation
- R+22.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,1452024 5-year
- Population density
- 37 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 791 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,1272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 83, KY · twin score 98.3
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 44th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
83.8%
1,119 votes · D+67.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 82.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
81.2%
10,186 votes · R+64.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 80.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
3,344votes
37.7% of the vote · R+14.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 3,333 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,186votes
81.2% of the vote · R+64.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,095 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+58.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +49.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+67.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.9 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +65.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 20.9%2,264 | 79.1%8,586 | 10,850 |
| 2020 | R | 21.7%2,346 | 78.3%8,473 | 10,819 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+64.5, this rural Arkansas district ranks among the most heavily one-sided legislative seats in the state, leaving general-election outcomes largely settled before ballots are cast.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 64.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.5 points.
A population of 29,145, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,127 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 83 and State House District 11.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 83
Kentucky
98.3twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
State House District 11
Alabama
98.1twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State House District 85
Kentucky
98.0twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 44th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05044/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Arkansas 44th State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Arkansas 44th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 44th State House District voted Republican by 64.5 points (R+64.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,537 votes cast, 2,100 went Democratic and 10,186 went Republican.
When did Arkansas 44th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 44th State House District voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Arkansas 44th State House District?
Arkansas 44th State House District has a population of 29,145 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 44th State House District?
Median household income in Arkansas 44th State House District is $58,127 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 44th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 44th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.