Van Buren County, Arkansas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 7,621 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -24 SOUTH GRIGGS24 SOUTH GRIGGS | 134 | 490 | 18 | 642 | 20.9% | 76.3% | R+55.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -03 BRADLEY03 BRADLEY | 83 | 501 | 11 | 595 | 13.9% | 84.2% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -20 UNION20 UNION | 88 | 423 | 8 | 519 | 17.0% | 81.5% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -07 WEST GRIGGS07 WEST GRIGGS | 92 | 402 | 12 | 506 | 18.2% | 79.4% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -10 DAVIS10 DAVIS | 73 | 409 | 11 | 493 | 14.8% | 83.0% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -12 EAST GRIGGS12 EAST GRIGGS | 91 | 386 | 11 | 488 | 18.6% | 79.1% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -21 WASHINGTON21 WASHINGTON | 67 | 383 | 9 | 459 | 14.6% | 83.4% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -23 MOUNTAIN RANCH23 MOUNTAIN RANCH | 118 | 315 | 9 | 442 | 26.7% | 71.3% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -19 RED RIVER19 RED RIVER | 101 | 288 | 9 | 398 | 25.4% | 72.4% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -25 INDIAN HILLS25 INDIAN HILLS | 88 | 264 | 11 | 363 | 24.2% | 72.7% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -08 CRAIG08 CRAIG | 33 | 299 | 7 | 339 | 9.7% | 88.2% | R+78.5 |
| Precinct -06 CHOCTAW06 CHOCTAW | 87 | 234 | 7 | 328 | 26.5% | 71.3% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -02 BARNETT02 BARNETT | 39 | 280 | 3 | 322 | 12.1% | 87.0% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -17 LINN CREEK17 LINN CREEK | 66 | 205 | 6 | 277 | 23.8% | 74.0% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -05 HOLLY MOUNTAIN05 HOLLY MOUNTAIN | 52 | 214 | 3 | 269 | 19.3% | 79.6% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -26 LAKEWOOD26 LAKEWOOD | 71 | 187 | 5 | 263 | 27.0% | 71.1% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -11 FORMOSA11 FORMOSA | 37 | 208 | 7 | 252 | 14.7% | 82.5% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -09 CARGILE09 CARGILE | 19 | 157 | 5 | 181 | 10.5% | 86.7% | R+76.2 |
| Precinct -04 CULPEPPER04 CULPEPPER | 17 | 155 | 3 | 175 | 9.7% | 88.6% | R+78.9 |
| Precinct -22 WHEELER22 WHEELER | 60 | 105 | 5 | 170 | 35.3% | 61.8% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -15 MOUNTAIN15 MOUNTAIN | 21 | 118 | 1 | 140 | 15.0% | 84.3% | R+69.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +23.3% |
| 1896 | +37.9% |
| 1900 | +14.2% |
| 1904 | +3.1% |
| 1908 | +8.3% |
| 1912 | +33.0% |
| 1916 | +26.3% |
| 1920 | −49.8% |
| 1924 | +33.7% |
| 1928 | +21.5% |
| 1932 | +55.2% |
| 1936 | +44.7% |
| 1940 | +45.3% |
| 1944 | +24.9% |
| 1948 | +34.2% |
| 1952 | +0.9% |
| 1956 | +1.3% |
| 1960 | +6.6% |
| 1964 | +23.4% |
| 1968 | −4.8% |
| 1972 | −24.3% |
| 1976 | +42.3% |
| 1980 | −1.9% |
| 1984 | −23.0% |
| 1988 | −15.4% |
| 1992 | +16.4% |
| 1996 | +17.3% |
| 2000 | −4.1% |
| 2004 | −9.2% |
| 2008 | −31.7% |
| 2012 | −39.4% |
| 2016 | −53.9% |
| 2020 | −56.9% |
| 2024 | −60.2% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 17.8%1,111 | 77.9%4,861 | 6,238 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 80.2%6,135 | 7,654 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 10,556 |
| 2020 | 10,751 |
| 2022 | 11,224 |
| 2024 | 11,790 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+130 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +891 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,906 in average income, against $59,031 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+32.5 on average — 28 points more Democratic-leaning than Van Buren County, AR itself (R+60.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Faulkner County, AR88R+32.3
- Cleburne County, AR33R+67.9
- Pulaski County, AR21D+22.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Faulkner County, AR104
- Cleburne County, AR35
- Pulaski County, AR25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −89 |
| 2012 | −6 |
| 2013 | −81 |
| 2014 | −11 |
| 2015 | −48 |
| 2016 | −69 |
| 2017 | −21 |
| 2018 | +173 |
| 2019 | +9 |
| 2021 | +98 |
| 2022 | +487 |
| 2023 | +175 |
| 2024 | +144 |
| 2025 | +130 |
Van Buren County, nestled in the Arkansas River Valley foothills, recorded an R+60.2 margin in 2024, reflecting the rural, predominantly white demographic shift that has reshaped the Ozark-border counties over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.2 points.
A population of 15,998, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,354 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stone County and Izard County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Van Buren County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05141/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.