Arkansas 51st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
77.2%
1,323 votes · D+55.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 77.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
80.8%
7,268 votes · R+61.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 74.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
4,878votes
42.4% of the vote · D+0.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 4,840 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
9,002votes
65.9% of the vote · R+34.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 8,498 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+45.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+19.7 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +45.6 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+41.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.6 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +40.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RCindy CrawfordState House · 51
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
26.9%2,769
73.1%7,521
10,290
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+33.8, this 31,000-person district sits well to the right of the national median, reflecting the broader rural realignment that has reshaped Arkansas legislative politics over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.8 points.
A population of 31,079, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,094 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 11 and State House District 24.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 51st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Arkansas 51st State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 51st State House District voted Republican by 33.8 points (R+33.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,964 votes cast, 4,110 went Democratic and 8,498 went Republican.
When did Arkansas 51st State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 51st State House District voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Arkansas 51st State House District?
Arkansas 51st State House District has a population of 31,079 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 51st State House District?
Median household income in Arkansas 51st State House District is $75,094 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 51st State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 51st State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.