Sebastian County, Arkansas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
91 precincts · 45,457 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -13-F4-413-F4-4 | 956 | 2,405 | 99 | 3,460 | 27.6% | 69.5% | R+41.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -5-F3-515-F3-51 | 959 | 2,280 | 85 | 3,324 | 28.9% | 68.6% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -6-F3-436-F3-43 | 725 | 2,108 | 71 | 2,904 | 25.0% | 72.6% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -1-LV-1031-LV-103 | 241 | 1,863 | 21 | 2,125 | 11.3% | 87.7% | R+76.3 |
| Precinct -13-F4-613-F4-6 | 567 | 1,504 | 51 | 2,122 | 26.7% | 70.9% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -6-F3-456-F3-45 | 526 | 1,264 | 53 | 1,843 | 28.5% | 68.6% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -6-F4-406-F4-40 | 525 | 1,254 | 28 | 1,807 | 29.1% | 69.4% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -10-F1-3110-F1-31 | 728 | 907 | 43 | 1,678 | 43.4% | 54.1% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct -12-F4-1212-F4-12 | 457 | 1,081 | 36 | 1,574 | 29.0% | 68.7% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -13-F4-213-F4-2 | 441 | 1,075 | 39 | 1,555 | 28.4% | 69.1% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -9-F2-269-F2-26 | 766 | 716 | 44 | 1,526 | 50.2% | 46.9% | D+3.3 |
| Precinct -7-F3-357-F3-35 | 428 | 926 | 46 | 1,400 | 30.6% | 66.1% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -11-F1-1811-F1-18 | 503 | 771 | 37 | 1,311 | 38.4% | 58.8% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct -6-F3-446-F3-44 | 329 | 935 | 41 | 1,305 | 25.2% | 71.6% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -8-F2-308-F2-30 | 487 | 474 | 27 | 988 | 49.3% | 48.0% | D+1.3 |
| Precinct -7-F1-377-F1-37 | 338 | 625 | 23 | 986 | 34.3% | 63.4% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -13-B4-713-B4-7 | 239 | 705 | 25 | 969 | 24.7% | 72.8% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -5-F3-525-F3-52 | 279 | 661 | 21 | 961 | 29.0% | 68.8% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -6-F4-416-F4-41 | 269 | 625 | 18 | 912 | 29.5% | 68.5% | R+39.0 |
| Precinct -8-F2-298-F2-29 | 515 | 338 | 23 | 876 | 58.8% | 38.6% | D+20.2 |
| Precinct -11-F1-2111-F1-21 | 375 | 465 | 20 | 860 | 43.6% | 54.1% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -9-F2-259-F2-25 | 410 | 410 | 20 | 840 | 48.8% | 48.8% | Even |
| Precinct -5-F4-495-F4-49 | 215 | 506 | 9 | 730 | 29.5% | 69.3% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -8-F2-288-F2-28 | 302 | 406 | 12 | 720 | 41.9% | 56.4% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -1-F4-1051-F4-105 | 174 | 393 | 12 | 579 | 30.1% | 67.9% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -3-HC-783-HC-78 | 77 | 474 | 5 | 556 | 13.8% | 85.3% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -4-F3-674-F3-67 | 100 | 404 | 27 | 531 | 18.8% | 76.1% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -13-B2-813-B2-8 | 139 | 372 | 11 | 522 | 26.6% | 71.3% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -3-MN-743-MN-74 | 54 | 448 | 5 | 507 | 10.7% | 88.4% | R+77.7 |
| Precinct -10-F2-2210-F2-22 | 184 | 242 | 14 | 440 | 41.8% | 55.0% | R+13.2 |
| Precinct -5-F3-505-F3-50 | 115 | 306 | 9 | 430 | 26.7% | 71.2% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -4-F3-694-F3-69 | 92 | 285 | 7 | 384 | 24.0% | 74.2% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -3-HF-773-HF-77 | 48 | 321 | 4 | 373 | 12.9% | 86.1% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -4-SC-584-SC-58 | 84 | 253 | 4 | 341 | 24.6% | 74.2% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -4-F3-684-F3-68 | 67 | 249 | 14 | 330 | 20.3% | 75.5% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -10-F2-2310-F2-23 | 180 | 136 | 7 | 323 | 55.7% | 42.1% | D+13.6 |
| Precinct -12-F1-1512-F1-15 | 84 | 223 | 12 | 319 | 26.3% | 69.9% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -4-F4-654-F4-65 | 74 | 223 | 7 | 304 | 24.3% | 73.4% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -3-HG-763-HG-76 | 39 | 253 | 9 | 301 | 13.0% | 84.1% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -7-F4-327-F4-32 | 90 | 206 | 4 | 300 | 30.0% | 68.7% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -1-SC-1001-SC-100 | 31 | 236 | 4 | 271 | 11.4% | 87.1% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -11-F2-1711-F2-17 | 118 | 132 | 7 | 257 | 45.9% | 51.4% | R+5.4 |
| Precinct -3-BZ-793-BZ-79 | 20 | 178 | 2 | 200 | 10.0% | 89.0% | R+79.0 |
| Precinct -2-SC-842-SC-84 | 15 | 174 | 5 | 194 | 7.7% | 89.7% | R+82.0 |
| Precinct -4-SC-574-SC-57 | 43 | 147 | 2 | 192 | 22.4% | 76.6% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -1-C3-1061-C3-106 | 20 | 151 | 5 | 176 | 11.4% | 85.8% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct -1-C2-1071-C2-107 | 30 | 136 | 4 | 170 | 17.6% | 80.0% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -3-MD-753-MD-75 | 16 | 136 | 4 | 156 | 10.3% | 87.2% | R+76.9 |
| Precinct -12-F1-1412-F1-14 | 89 | 47 | 2 | 138 | 64.5% | 34.1% | D+30.4 |
| Precinct -9-F1-279-F1-27 | 15 | 98 | 0 | 113 | 13.3% | 86.7% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -13-B3-113-B3-1 | 39 | 68 | 2 | 109 | 35.8% | 62.4% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -1-C1-1081-C1-108 | 18 | 70 | 2 | 90 | 20.0% | 77.8% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -5-SC-475-SC-47 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 46 | 17.4% | 82.6% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -13-F4-513-F4-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 45.5% | 54.5% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct -6-F3-426-F3-42 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 55.6% | 44.4% | D+11.1 |
| Precinct -6-SC-386-SC-38 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 60.0% | 40.0% | D+20.0 |
| Precinct -5-F4-485-F4-48 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -1-SC-1011-SC-101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -1-SC-1021-SC-102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -10-F1-2410-F1-24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -11-F1-1911-F1-19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -11-F1-2011-F1-20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -12-F1-1612-F1-16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -12-F4-1112-F4-11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -12-F4-1312-F4-13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -13-B2-913-B2-9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -13-F4-313-F4-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -2-GW-852-GW-85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -2-GW-912-GW-91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -2-GW-922-GW-92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -2-GW-932-GW-93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -2-SC-832-SC-83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -2-SC-862-SC-86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -2-SC-872-SC-87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -2-SC-882-SC-88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -2-SC-892-SC-89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -3-BZ-803-BZ-80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -3-BZ-813-BZ-81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -3-SC-713-SC-71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -3-SC-723-SC-72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -3-SC-733-SC-73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -4-F3-664-F3-66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -4-GW-624-GW-62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -4-SC-544-SC-54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -4-SC-554-SC-55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -4-SC-564-SC-56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -4-SC-594-SC-59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -7-F3-347-F3-34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -7-F3-367-F3-36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -7-F4-337-F4-33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -MERGED-1-B1-95+1-B2-97+1-B3-99MERGED-1-B1-95+1-B2-97+1-B3-99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +25.3% |
| 1896 | +44.1% |
| 1900 | +36.6% |
| 1904 | +11.9% |
| 1908 | +17.2% |
| 1912 | +45.9% |
| 1916 | +46.3% |
| 1920 | +4.7% |
| 1924 | +19.4% |
| 1928 | −4.2% |
| 1932 | +58.6% |
| 1936 | +59.1% |
| 1940 | +45.3% |
| 1944 | +27.0% |
| 1948 | +24.3% |
| 1952 | −12.9% |
| 1956 | −15.4% |
| 1960 | −14.6% |
| 1964 | −12.0% |
| 1968 | −21.3% |
| 1972 | −62.6% |
| 1976 | −5.7% |
| 1980 | −36.0% |
| 1984 | −51.4% |
| 1988 | −42.8% |
| 1992 | −0.6% |
| 1996 | −2.7% |
| 2000 | −19.7% |
| 2004 | −24.5% |
| 2008 | −34.6% |
| 2012 | −37.1% |
| 2016 | −39.1% |
| 2020 | −35.4% |
| 2024 | −37.5% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 26.0%8,926 | 70.3%24,097 | 34,269 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 68.4%31,997 | 46,801 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 71,409 |
| 2020 | 73,401 |
| 2022 | 71,223 |
| 2024 | 72,609 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+70 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,048 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,725 in average income, against $76,403 for residents who stayed — 39% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.1 on average — 7.6 points more Republican-leaning than Sebastian County, AR itself (R+37.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Crawford County, AR627R+58.2
- Le Flore County, OK266R+64.8
- Sequoyah County, OK183R+61.5
- Washington County, AR150R+6.7
- Benton County, AR124R+27.0
- Logan County, AR99R+62.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Crawford County, AR704
- Le Flore County, OK243
- Washington County, AR228
- Sequoyah County, OK181
- Benton County, AR176
- Logan County, AR91
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +478 |
| 2012 | −133 |
| 2013 | −827 |
| 2014 | −943 |
| 2015 | +130 |
| 2016 | −467 |
| 2017 | −124 |
| 2018 | −590 |
| 2019 | −194 |
| 2021 | +458 |
| 2022 | +755 |
| 2023 | −222 |
| 2024 | +561 |
| 2025 | +70 |
Sebastian County's population clusters around Fort Smith, the state's second-largest city, yet it still posts presidential margins exceeding 37 points for Republicans — suggesting urban concentration alone doesn't moderate partisan lean in this corner of the Ozark Plateau.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 62.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.5 points.
A population of 128,900, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,790 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pottawatomie County and White County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Sebastian County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05131/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.