Hawaii 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
71.9%
1,838 votes · D+43.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 62.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
71.0%
2,843 votes · R+41.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 64.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
3,499votes
50.0% of the vote · D+2.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,255 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,461votes
54.1% of the vote · R+10.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,346 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+21.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +19.7 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+18.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.9 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · +17.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RChris MuraokaState House · 45
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
69.9%5,969
30.1%2,574
8,543
2020
D
68.9%6,468
31.1%2,919
9,387
2018
D
76.0%3,675
24.0%1,160
4,835
Despite Hawaii's heavily Democratic statewide lean, this O'ahu district posted a R+10.2 presidential margin in 2024, making it an outlier worth watching for candidates mapping the state's shifting suburban and rural fault lines.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 12.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.2 points.
A population of 27,324, a 12% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,145 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 44 and State House District 42.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hawaii 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/15045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Hawaii 45th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hawaii 45th State House District voted Republican by 10.2 points (R+10.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,392 votes cast, 2,809 went Democratic and 3,461 went Republican.
When did Hawaii 45th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hawaii 45th State House District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Hawaii 45th State House District?
Hawaii 45th State House District has a population of 27,324 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hawaii 45th State House District?
Median household income in Hawaii 45th State House District is $78,145 — below the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Hawaii 45th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hawaii 45th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.