Massachusetts 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.4%
14,309 votes · D+41.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 57.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
73.2%
2,152 votes · R+52.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 72.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
15,169votes
56.3% of the vote · D+15.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 14,309 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
14,058votes
61.2% of the vote · R+22.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 13,231 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+22.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+21.6 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +18.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+46.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +30.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DBrian AsheState House · 2nd Hampden
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Anchored in Hampden County's urban core, the 2nd Hampden District delivered an 8-point Democratic margin in 2024 — competitive enough that shifts in Springfield's working-class neighborhoods can meaningfully move results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 52.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.3 points.
A population of 43,507, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $113,997 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 12th Hampden District and 4th Hampden District.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Massachusetts 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Massachusetts 45th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Massachusetts 45th State House District voted Democratic by 8.3 points (D+8.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 25,715 votes cast, 13,674 went Democratic and 11,527 went Republican.
When did Massachusetts 45th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Massachusetts 45th State House District voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Massachusetts 45th State House District?
Massachusetts 45th State House District has a population of 43,507 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Massachusetts 45th State House District?
Median household income in Massachusetts 45th State House District is $113,997 — above the national median of $80,734. The Massachusetts state median is $103,960.
What is the political history of Massachusetts 45th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Massachusetts 45th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.