state house districtMichigan 45th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+23.6
2008R+9.9
2012R+19.2
2016R+34.2
2020R+32.6
2024R+34.7
net swing · 2004→2024R+11.1R+23.6 → R+34.7
vs. U.S. · 2024R+33.2R+34.7 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 76.0% of 70,040 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
17,037
35,495
665
53,197
70,040
76.0%
2020
16,837
33,559
918
51,314
69,494†
73.8%
2016
13,363
28,582
2,496
44,441
69,244†
64.2%
2012
17,507
25,974
622
44,103
68,345†
64.5%
2008
20,532
25,161
1,022
46,715
68,354†
68.3%
2004
17,385
28,201
236
45,822
68,362†
67.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMI HD 45MichiganUnited States
German22.3%17.7%12.5%
English19.1%10.5%9.5%
Irish13.7%9.9%9.4%
Polish5.8%7.2%2.2%
American5.7%4.2%5.3%
Dutch3.3%3.0%—
French2.8%3.0%1.6%
Italian2.2%4.2%4.8%
Mexican2.3%4.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.5%1.8%
African American†1.2%12.2%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MI HD 45
Michigan
United States
Median age
43.2
40.3
39.1
Age 18–24
10.0%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.1%
18.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MI HD 45
Michigan
United States
Median household income
$79,238
$72,875
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.6%
13.2%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.1%
32.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MI HD 45
Michigan
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.8%
10.4%
22.3%
Spanish
2.5%
3.1%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
MI HD 45
Michigan
United States
Catholic
—
14.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
60.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Michigan 45th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−23.6%
2008
−9.9%
2012
−19.2%
2016
−34.2%
2020
−32.6%
2024
−34.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
32.0%Harris17,037
66.7%Trump35,495
1.3%
R+34.7
R+2.1
R+33.2
53,197
R
32.8%Biden16,837
65.4%Trump33,559
1.8%
R+32.6
D+1.7
R+37.0
51,314
R
30.1%Clinton13,363
64.3%Trump28,582
5.6%
R+34.2
R+15.0
R+36.3
44,441
R
39.7%Obama17,507
58.9%Romney25,974
1.4%
R+19.2
R+9.3
R+23.1
44,103
R
44.0%Obama20,532
53.9%McCain25,161
2.2%
R+9.9
D+13.7
R+17.2
46,715
R
37.9%Kerry17,385
61.5%Bush28,201
0.5%
R+23.6
—
R+21.1
45,822
current representation
Current officeholders
RSarah LightnerState House · 45
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Michigan's 45th House district sits in the competitive suburban ring where presidential margins have tightened in recent cycles, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide suburban shift patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 34.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.7 points.
A population of 90,612, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,238 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 78 and Assembly District 148.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Michigan 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Michigan 45th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Michigan 45th State House District voted Republican by 34.7 points (R+34.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 53,197 votes cast, 17,037 went Democratic and 35,495 went Republican.
How many people live in Michigan 45th State House District?
Michigan 45th State House District has a population of 90,612 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Michigan 45th State House District?
Median household income in Michigan 45th State House District is $79,238 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Michigan 45th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Michigan 45th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
