HarrisDemocratic33.9%17,146TrumpRepublican64.5%32,639OtherAll other candidates1.6%798
R+30.6- Lead
- 15,493
- Total
- 50,583
- vs nation
- R+29.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Michigan 78th State House District
Contests in this Place (45 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic34.5%16,413TrumpRepublican63.4%30,172OtherAll other candidates2.1%985
R+28.9- Lead
- 13,759
- Total
- 47,570
- vs nation
- R+33.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic31.0%12,555TrumpRepublican61.3%24,841OtherAll other candidates7.7%3,109
R+30.3- Lead
- 12,286
- Total
- 40,505
- vs nation
- R+32.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic40.1%15,432RomneyRepublican58.2%22,376OtherAll other candidates1.7%655
R+18.1- Lead
- 6,944
- Total
- 38,463
- vs nation
- R+21.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic43.6%17,591McCainRepublican54.4%21,962OtherAll other candidates2.0%817
R+10.8- Lead
- 4,371
- Total
- 40,370
- vs nation
- R+18.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic36.2%14,710BushRepublican62.7%25,471OtherAll other candidates1.1%436
R+26.5- Lead
- 10,761
- Total
- 40,617
- vs nation
- R+24.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic36.6%12,849BushRepublican61.2%21,487OtherAll other candidates2.3%797
R+24.6- Lead
- 8,638
- Total
- 35,133
- vs nation
- R+25.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic39.3%12,326DoleRepublican49.7%15,595OtherAll other candidates10.9%3,427
R+10.4- Lead
- 3,269
- Total
- 31,348
- vs nation
- R+18.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 92,2642024 5-year
- Population density
- 112 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 821 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,6442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.7 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 45, MI · twin score 96.2
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 78th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
59.0%
12,430 votes · D+18.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 53.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
77.6%
11,300 votes · R+55.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 74.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
17,591votes
43.6% of the vote · R+10.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 17,146 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
32,639votes
64.5% of the vote · R+30.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 30,172 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
−4.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.3 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · −4.5 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+44.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.3 · U.S. D+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +42.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RGina JohnsenState House · 78
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 36.2%17,067 | 63.8%30,117 | 47,184 |
| 2020 | R | 38.2%17,849 | 61.8%28,842 | 46,691 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+30.6, this district sits well outside competitive territory, reflecting the rural or exurban character common to Michigan's most one-sided legislative constituencies.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 55.7 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.6 points.
A population of 92,264, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,644 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 45 and State House District 43.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 45
Michigan
96.2twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
State House District 43
Michigan
95.7twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
Assembly District 148
New York
94.5twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Michigan 78th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Michigan at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Michigan 78th State House District
counties it covers4
Frequently asked questions
How did Michigan 78th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Michigan 78th State House District voted Republican by 30.6 points (R+30.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 50,583 votes cast, 17,146 went Democratic and 32,639 went Republican.
When did Michigan 78th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Michigan 78th State House District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Michigan 78th State House District?
Michigan 78th State House District has a population of 92,264 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Michigan 78th State House District?
Median household income in Michigan 78th State House District is $77,644 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Michigan 78th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Michigan 78th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 34 went Republican.