HarrisDemocratic28.9%7,615TrumpRepublican69.4%18,298OtherAll other candidates1.7%453
R+40.5- Lead
- 10,683
- Total
- 26,366
- vs nation
- R+39.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Minnesota State House District 10A
Contests in this Place (46 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic30.1%7,624TrumpRepublican68.3%17,290OtherAll other candidates1.6%413
R+38.2- Lead
- 9,666
- Total
- 25,327
- vs nation
- R+42.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic28.1%6,444TrumpRepublican65.7%15,089OtherAll other candidates6.3%1,438
R+37.6- Lead
- 8,645
- Total
- 22,971
- vs nation
- R+39.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic43.8%9,896RomneyRepublican54.2%12,245OtherAll other candidates2.0%447
R+10.4- Lead
- 2,349
- Total
- 22,588
- vs nation
- R+14.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic45.2%10,375McCainRepublican52.5%12,033OtherAll other candidates2.3%523
R+7.2- Lead
- 1,658
- Total
- 22,931
- vs nation
- R+14.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic45.0%10,210BushRepublican53.7%12,169OtherAll other candidates1.3%287
R+8.6- Lead
- 1,959
- Total
- 22,666
- vs nation
- R+6.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic42.3%8,225BushRepublican50.7%9,841OtherAll other candidates7.0%1,357
R+8.3- Lead
- 1,616
- Total
- 19,423
- vs nation
- R+8.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic48.7%8,494DoleRepublican34.6%6,024OtherAll other candidates16.7%2,906
D+14.2- Lead
- 2,470
- Total
- 17,424
- vs nation
- D+5.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,9502024 5-year
- Population density
- 20 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,098 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,5772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 11B, MN · twin score 96.7
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 10A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.5%
9,498 votes · D+37.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 65.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
73.6%
6,325 votes · R+58.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 72.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
10,631votes
63.0% of the vote · D+29.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 10,375 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
18,298votes
69.4% of the vote · R+40.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 17,290 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
+27.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+29.1 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +23.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+42.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +39.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRon KreshaState House · 10A
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.4%6,903 | 72.6%18,290 | 25,193 |
| 2020 | R | 28.3%6,199 | 71.7%15,677 | 21,876 |
Centered in the rural lake country of northwestern Minnesota, District 10A delivered a 40-point presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the sharp rightward shift of sparsely populated, agriculture-dependent communities in the region over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 58.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.5 points.
A population of 42,950, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,577 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 11B and Assembly District 68.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 11B
Minnesota
96.7twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory
Assembly District 68
Wisconsin
94.5twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory
State House District 5B
Minnesota
93.6twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota State House District 10A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2710A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Minnesota State House District 10A
counties it covers5
Frequently asked questions
How did Minnesota State House District 10A vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota State House District 10A voted Republican by 40.5 points (R+40.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 26,366 votes cast, 7,615 went Democratic and 18,298 went Republican.
When did Minnesota State House District 10A last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota State House District 10A voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Minnesota State House District 10A?
Minnesota State House District 10A has a population of 42,950 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota State House District 10A?
Median household income in Minnesota State House District 10A is $64,577 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota State House District 10A?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota State House District 10A from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.