Aitkin County, Minnesota: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+31%. Republican peak: R+69 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 16,0562024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,8332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pine County, MN · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Aitkin CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Aitkin County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +32.1% |
| 1896 | −41.5% |
| 1900 | −56.8% |
| 1904 | −69.3% |
| 1908 | −45.4% |
| 1912 | +2.4% |
| 1916 | −10.1% |
| 1920 | −55.5% |
| 1924 | −49.5% |
| 1928 | −44.8% |
| 1932 | +10.5% |
| 1936 | +20.3% |
| 1940 | −1.8% |
| 1944 | +0.4% |
| 1948 | +13.5% |
| 1952 | −13.3% |
| 1956 | −0.5% |
| 1960 | −1.9% |
| 1964 | +31.8% |
| 1968 | +14.8% |
| 1972 | −9.2% |
| 1976 | +26.4% |
| 1980 | +3.7% |
| 1984 | +7.0% |
| 1988 | +12.3% |
| 1992 | +16.5% |
| 1996 | +20.0% |
| 2000 | +0.9% |
| 2004 | −2.4% |
| 2008 | +0.1% |
| 2012 | −1.3% |
| 2016 | −25.8% |
| 2020 | −26.4% |
| 2024 | −30.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,524 | 6,741 | 10,446 | ||
| R | 3,607 | 6,258 | 10,025 | ||
| R | 3,134 | 5,516 | 9,231 | ||
| R | 4,412 | 4,533 | 9,142 | ||
| D | 4,595 | 4,589 | 9,410 | ||
| R | 4,539 | 4,768 | 9,452 | ||
| D | 3,830 | 3,755 | 8,260 | ||
| D | 3,810 | 2,327 | 7,404 | ||
| D | 3,400 | 2,151 | 7,559 | ||
| D | 3,863 | 3,011 | 6,942 | ||
| D | 3,943 | 3,422 | 7,416 | ||
| D | 3,677 | 3,396 | 7,670 | ||
| D | 4,308 | 2,476 | 6,949 | ||
| R | 2,687 | 3,241 | 6,032 | ||
| D | 3,094 | 2,254 | 5,657 | ||
| D | 3,874 | 2,000 | 5,890 | ||
| R | 2,980 | 3,097 | 6,113 | ||
| R | 2,733 | 2,762 | 5,504 | ||
| R | 2,577 | 3,384 | 6,050 | ||
| D | 3,277 | 2,466 | 6,007 | ||
| D | 2,743 | 2,720 | 5,509 | ||
| R | 3,610 | 3,744 | 7,470 | ||
| D | 3,806 | 2,466 | 6,611 | ||
| D | 2,945 | 2,341 | 5,743 | ||
| R | 1,428 | 3,951 | 5,636 | ||
| R | 212 | 2,720 | 5,068 | ||
| R | 613 | 2,933 | 4,181 | ||
| R | 877 | 1,122 | 2,427 | ||
| O | 413 | 362 | 2,083 | ||
| R | 389 | 1,205 | 1,798 | ||
| R | 191 | 1,327 | 1,639 | ||
| R | 262 | 988 | 1,278 | ||
| R | 344 | 855 | 1,231 | ||
| D | 445 | 217 | 711 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
32.1%
Irish
10.7%
English
7.3%
American
5.4%
French
3.9%
Polish
3.8%
Italian
1.7%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 56.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,833
Aitkin County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Aitkin County$60,833
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Aitkin County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.1%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.6%
Working age (18–64)12.8%
Seniors (65+)13.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
98.2%
speak English only
Other languages0.6%
Spanish0.5%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Aitkin's economy revolves around tourism, timber, and seasonal residents, and its predominantly white, non-college electorate has shifted the presidential margin from competitive to R+30 territory since the early 2000s.
The Democratic margin here peaked at thirty-two points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-one points.
A population of 16,056, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,833 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pine County and Jefferson County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Aitkin County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Aitkin County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Aitkin County, Minnesota voted Republican by 30.8 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,446 votes cast, 3,524 went Democratic and 6,741 went Republican.
What is Aitkin County, Minnesota's political typology?
Akashic places Aitkin County, Minnesota in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 18 times, and other 1 times.
When did Aitkin County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Aitkin County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Aitkin County, Minnesota?
Aitkin County, Minnesota has a population of 16,056 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Aitkin County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Aitkin County, Minnesota is $60,833 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Aitkin County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Aitkin County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.