state house districtMinnesota State House District 16A
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+2.8
2008D+0.6
2012R+5.7
2016R+34.3
2020R+35.4
2024R+38.8
net swing · 2004→2024R+36.0R+2.8 → R+38.8
vs. U.S. · 2024R+37.3R+38.8 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 72.8% of 31,560 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
6,806
15,719
447
22,972
31,560
72.8%
2020
7,237
15,455
500
23,192
31,153†
74.4%
2016
6,250
13,645
1,689
21,584
31,688†
68.1%
2012
9,977
11,217
525
21,719
32,185†
67.5%
2008
10,972
10,842
989
22,803
32,365†
70.5%
2004
10,896
11,538
243
22,677
32,544†
69.7%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMN HD 16MinnesotaUnited States
German41.4%29.2%12.5%
Norwegian18.2%12.1%—
Irish7.7%9.9%9.4%
Swedish7.6%6.5%—
English4.7%6.6%9.5%
American3.2%2.3%5.3%
Dutch2.3%——
Polish1.9%3.7%2.2%
Mexican4.7%3.9%11.3%
Honduran0.9%—0.3%
Guatemalan0.3%0.2%0.5%
Salvadoran0.3%0.2%0.7%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
Chuukese1.7%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MN HD 16
Minnesota
United States
Median age
41.7
39
39.1
Age 18–24
7.4%
8.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
21.4%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MN HD 16
Minnesota
United States
Median household income
$71,649
$89,062
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.6%
9.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
20.4%
39.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MN HD 16
Minnesota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
7.7%
12.5%
22.3%
Spanish
5.5%
4.2%
13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.1%
2.3%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
MN HD 16
Minnesota
United States
Catholic
—
19.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
11.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.6%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Minnesota State House District 16A
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−2.8%
2008
+0.6%
2012
−5.7%
2016
−34.3%
2020
−35.4%
2024
−38.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
29.6%Harris6,806
68.4%Trump15,719
1.9%
R+38.8
R+3.4
R+37.3
22,972
R
31.2%Biden7,237
66.6%Trump15,455
2.2%
R+35.4
R+1.2
R+39.9
23,192
R
29.0%Clinton6,250
63.2%Trump13,645
7.8%
R+34.3
R+28.6
R+36.4
21,584
R
45.9%Obama9,977
51.6%Romney11,217
2.4%
R+5.7
R+6.3
R+9.6
21,719
D
48.1%Obama10,972
47.5%McCain10,842
4.3%
D+0.6
D+3.4
R+6.7
22,803
R
48.0%Kerry10,896
50.9%Bush11,538
1.1%
R+2.8
—
R+0.4
22,677
current representation
Current officeholders
RScott Van BinsbergenState House · 16A
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Anchored in rural southwestern Minnesota, District 16A delivered a 38.8-point presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the region's deep agricultural roots and demographic homogeneity that have steadily widened its partisan tilt over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 0.6 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 38.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.8 points.
A population of 42,670, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,649 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 21A and State House District 23A.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota State House District 16A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2716A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Minnesota State House District 16A vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota State House District 16A voted Republican by 38.8 points (R+38.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,972 votes cast, 6,806 went Democratic and 15,719 went Republican.
When did Minnesota State House District 16A last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota State House District 16A voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Minnesota State House District 16A?
Minnesota State House District 16A has a population of 42,670 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota State House District 16A?
Median household income in Minnesota State House District 16A is $71,649 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota State House District 16A?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Minnesota State House District 16A from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
