HarrisDemocratic29.6%6,807TrumpRepublican68.4%15,720OtherAll other candidates1.9%447
R+38.8- Lead
- 8,913
- Total
- 22,974
- vs nation
- R+37.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Minnesota State House District 16A
Contests in this Place (45 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic31.2%7,239TrumpRepublican66.6%15,456OtherAll other candidates2.2%500
R+35.4- Lead
- 8,217
- Total
- 23,195
- vs nation
- R+39.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic29.0%6,251TrumpRepublican63.2%13,645OtherAll other candidates7.8%1,689
R+34.3- Lead
- 7,394
- Total
- 21,585
- vs nation
- R+36.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic45.1%9,720RomneyRepublican53.0%11,406OtherAll other candidates1.9%405
R+7.8- Lead
- 1,686
- Total
- 21,531
- vs nation
- R+11.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic48.1%10,749McCainRepublican49.3%11,027OtherAll other candidates2.6%587
R+1.2- Lead
- 278
- Total
- 22,363
- vs nation
- R+8.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic46.9%10,670BushRepublican51.8%11,771OtherAll other candidates1.3%302
R+4.8- Lead
- 1,101
- Total
- 22,743
- vs nation
- R+2.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic44.1%9,330BushRepublican49.3%10,429OtherAll other candidates6.6%1,394
R+5.2- Lead
- 1,099
- Total
- 21,153
- vs nation
- R+5.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic49.3%10,035DoleRepublican35.0%7,118OtherAll other candidates15.7%3,203
D+14.3- Lead
- 2,917
- Total
- 20,356
- vs nation
- D+5.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,6702024 5-year
- Population density
- 20 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,092 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,6492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 21A, MN · twin score 97.7
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 16A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
67.2%
12,754 votes · D+36.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 60.8%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
78.0%
6,098 votes · R+60.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 73.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
13,913votes
60.8% of the vote · D+21.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 13,744 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,720votes
68.4% of the vote · R+38.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15,456 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+18.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+36.3 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +15.7 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+40.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.6 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +39.9 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RScott Van BinsbergenState House · 16A
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.7%6,354 | 72.3%16,586 | 22,940 |
Anchored in rural southwestern Minnesota, District 16A delivered a 38.8-point presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the region's deep agricultural roots and demographic homogeneity that have steadily widened its partisan tilt over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.8 points.
A population of 42,670, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,649 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 21A and State House District 23A.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 21A
Minnesota
97.7twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectoryelasticity
State House District 23A
Minnesota
97.5twin score
12-yr trendelasticityNorwegian ancestry
State House District 4
South Dakota
97.5twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectoryelasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota State House District 16A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2716A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Minnesota State House District 16A
counties it covers4
Frequently asked questions
How did Minnesota State House District 16A vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota State House District 16A voted Republican by 38.8 points (R+38.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,974 votes cast, 6,807 went Democratic and 15,720 went Republican.
When did Minnesota State House District 16A last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota State House District 16A voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Minnesota State House District 16A?
Minnesota State House District 16A has a population of 42,670 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota State House District 16A?
Median household income in Minnesota State House District 16A is $71,649 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota State House District 16A?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota State House District 16A from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.