Minnesota State House District 16B · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.4%
8,855 votes · D+39.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 69.1%
Republican
James A. Garfield1880
84.9%
1,566 votes · R+76.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Rutherford B. Hayes, 1876 · 84.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
9,824votes
46.3% of the vote · R+5.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 9,692 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,534votes
64.4% of the vote · R+30.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,970 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+27.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.2 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · +26.6 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+53.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+72.8 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +29.9 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RDave BakerState House · 16B
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
31.4%6,853
68.6%15,003
21,856
Anchored in rural southwestern Minnesota, District 16B has posted presidential margins exceeding 30 points for the Republican nominee, reflecting a largely agricultural constituency with low population density and limited urban counterweight.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 76.8 points in 1880. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.7 points.
A population of 42,613, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,399 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 16A and State House District 21A.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota State House District 16B. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2716B/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Minnesota State House District 16B vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota State House District 16B voted Republican by 30.7 points (R+30.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 22,574 votes cast, 7,604 went Democratic and 14,534 went Republican.
When did Minnesota State House District 16B last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota State House District 16B voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Minnesota State House District 16B?
Minnesota State House District 16B has a population of 42,613 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota State House District 16B?
Median household income in Minnesota State House District 16B is $76,399 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota State House District 16B?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Minnesota State House District 16B from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.