state house districtMissouri 158th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+38.8
2008R+34.9
2012R+45.8
2016R+60.2
2020R+61.8
2024R+64.3
net swing · 2004→2024R+25.5R+38.8 → R+64.3
vs. U.S. · 2024R+62.8R+64.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 61.6% of 29,382 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
3,150
14,797
164
18,111
29,382
61.6%
2020
3,203
13,996
256
17,455
29,741†
58.7%
2016
2,948
12,646
528
16,122
29,173†
55.3%
2012
3,924
10,853
342
15,119
28,983†
52.2%
2008
5,092
10,793
454
16,339
28,416†
57.5%
2004
4,642
10,618
141
15,401
27,848†
55.3%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMO HD 158MissouriUnited States
German16.8%21.3%12.5%
English14.0%11.9%9.5%
Irish8.9%11.8%9.4%
American7.3%6.8%5.3%
French2.2%2.2%1.6%
Scottish1.6%1.8%1.3%
Italian1.4%3.2%4.8%
Polish1.3%1.3%2.2%
Mexican6.3%3.2%11.3%
Guatemalan0.8%0.2%0.5%
Venezuelan0.4%——
Puerto Rican0.3%0.4%1.8%
Panamanian0.2%——
Hmong1.0%——
Burmese0.7%——
Marshallese1.7%——
Aztec1.0%——
Maya0.7%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MO HD 158
Missouri
United States
Median age
43.5
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
7.2%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
21.0%
17.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MO HD 158
Missouri
United States
Median household income
$57,424
$70,702
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.3%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
14.2%
32.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MO HD 158
Missouri
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.4%
6.7%
22.3%
Spanish
7.3%
2.9%
13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.3%
0.5%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
MO HD 158
Missouri
United States
Catholic
—
12.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
24.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
51.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Missouri 158th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−38.8%
2008
−34.9%
2012
−45.8%
2016
−60.2%
2020
−61.8%
2024
−64.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
17.4%Harris3,150
81.7%Trump14,797
0.9%
R+64.3
R+2.5
R+62.8
18,111
R
18.4%Biden3,203
80.2%Trump13,996
1.5%
R+61.8
R+1.7
R+66.3
17,455
R
18.3%Clinton2,948
78.4%Trump12,646
3.3%
R+60.2
R+14.3
R+62.2
16,122
R
26.0%Obama3,924
71.8%Romney10,853
2.3%
R+45.8
R+10.9
R+49.7
15,119
R
31.2%Obama5,092
66.1%McCain10,793
2.8%
R+34.9
D+3.9
R+42.2
16,339
R
30.1%Kerry4,642
68.9%Bush10,618
0.9%
R+38.8
—
R+36.3
15,401
current representation
Current officeholders
RScott CuppsState House · 158
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+64.3, this rural Missouri district ranks among the state's most one-sided, reflecting the deep partisan sorting that has reshaped small-town and agricultural communities over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 64.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.3 points.
A population of 38,876, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,424 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 159 and State House District 86.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Missouri 158th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29158/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Missouri 158th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Missouri 158th State House District voted Republican by 64.3 points (R+64.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,111 votes cast, 3,150 went Democratic and 14,797 went Republican.
How many people live in Missouri 158th State House District?
Missouri 158th State House District has a population of 38,876 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missouri 158th State House District?
Median household income in Missouri 158th State House District is $57,424 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Missouri 158th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Missouri 158th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
