McDonald County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 9,337 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ANDERSON EAST/WESTANDERSON EAST/WEST | 229 | 1,228 | 12 | 1,469 | 15.6% | 83.6% | R+68.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ERIE GOODMAN/ERIE MCNATTERIE GOODMAN/ERIE MCNATT | 226 | 1,108 | 12 | 1,346 | 16.8% | 82.3% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -CENTER/ELKHORN/RICHWOODCENTER/ELKHORN/RICHWOOD | 158 | 1,021 | 6 | 1,185 | 13.3% | 86.2% | R+72.8 |
| Precinct -PINEVILLE NORTH/SOUTHPINEVILLE NORTH/SOUTH | 161 | 971 | 13 | 1,145 | 14.1% | 84.8% | R+70.7 |
| Precinct -ELKRIVER EAST & WESTELKRIVER EAST & WEST | 159 | 638 | 12 | 809 | 19.7% | 78.9% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -WHITE ROCKWHITE ROCK | 114 | 692 | 3 | 809 | 14.1% | 85.5% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -MOUNTAINMOUNTAIN | 103 | 517 | 5 | 625 | 16.5% | 82.7% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct -MCMILLAN COYMCMILLAN COY | 66 | 536 | 3 | 605 | 10.9% | 88.6% | R+77.7 |
| Precinct -PRAIRIEPRAIRIE | 100 | 388 | 0 | 488 | 20.5% | 79.5% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -BUFFALO HARTBUFFALO HART | 47 | 310 | 2 | 359 | 13.1% | 86.4% | R+73.3 |
| Precinct -MCMILLAN TIFFMCMILLAN TIFF | 18 | 230 | 1 | 249 | 7.2% | 92.4% | R+85.1 |
| Precinct -PNVL-LANAGANPNVL-LANAGAN | 42 | 204 | 2 | 248 | 16.9% | 82.3% | R+65.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +8.7% |
| 1896 | +25.2% |
| 1900 | +12.3% |
| 1904 | +0.1% |
| 1908 | −1.0% |
| 1912 | +14.2% |
| 1916 | +6.8% |
| 1920 | −12.8% |
| 1924 | −1.5% |
| 1928 | −29.9% |
| 1932 | +22.9% |
| 1936 | +2.8% |
| 1940 | −10.2% |
| 1944 | −16.5% |
| 1948 | −0.9% |
| 1952 | −24.0% |
| 1956 | −13.9% |
| 1960 | −22.6% |
| 1964 | +6.6% |
| 1968 | −14.2% |
| 1972 | −41.7% |
| 1976 | +2.7% |
| 1980 | −24.0% |
| 1984 | −36.4% |
| 1988 | −24.6% |
| 1992 | −10.6% |
| 1996 | −17.2% |
| 2000 | −39.7% |
| 2004 | −41.8% |
| 2008 | −37.4% |
| 2012 | −48.3% |
| 2016 | −63.5% |
| 2020 | −66.5% |
| 2024 | −68.8% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,153 |
| 2018 | 13,028 |
| 2020 | 14,381 |
| 2022 | 14,983 |
| 2024 | 14,800 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−35 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,641 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,751 in average income, against $54,063 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+40.1 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than McDonald County, MO itself (R+68.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Benton County, AR189R+27.0
- Newton County, MO110R+58.6
- Delaware County, OK38R+60.4
- Jasper County, MO37R+46.7
- Washington County, AR35R+6.7
- Barry County, MO25R+63.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Newton County, MO167
- Benton County, AR139
- Jasper County, MO86
- Delaware County, OK32
- Washington County, AR30
- Barry County, MO22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −312 |
| 2012 | −53 |
| 2013 | −449 |
| 2014 | +91 |
| 2015 | −273 |
| 2016 | −135 |
| 2017 | −143 |
| 2018 | +112 |
| 2019 | −293 |
| 2021 | +77 |
| 2022 | +36 |
| 2023 | +166 |
| 2024 | −430 |
| 2025 | −35 |
Tucked into Missouri's southwest corner where the Ozarks meet Oklahoma and Arkansas, McDonald County recorded an R+68.8 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided rural counties in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 68.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.8 points.
A population of 23,701, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,375 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brantley County and McCreary County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
McDonald County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29119/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.