New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
86.5%
7,279 votes · D+73.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 84.7%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
52.3%
1,375 votes · R+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 50.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
7,718votes
84.6% of the vote · D+70.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 7,446 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
1,812votes
23.2% of the vote · D+52.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 1,704 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+72.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+70.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +69.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
−3.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+2.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · −7.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DEllen RockmoreState House · Grafton 12
DMary Hakken-PhillipsState House · Grafton 12
DRuss MuirheadState House · Grafton 12
DTerry SpahrState House · Grafton 12
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
60.5%4,846
39.5%3,167
8,013
Grafton 12 recorded a Democratic presidential margin of 70.8 points in 2024, an outlier even among New England legislative districts. Its small population of roughly 13,600 suggests a compact, heavily college-town-influenced electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 4.5 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 70.8 points.
A population of 13,615, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $164,539 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Grafton 15 and State House District 115.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33412/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12 voted Democratic by 70.8 points (D+70.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 8,370 votes cast, 7,093 went Democratic and 1,168 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12 last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12 voted Republican was 1956.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12?
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12 has a population of 13,615 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12 is $164,539 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 12 from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 35 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.