New Jersey 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.5%
17,003 votes · D+16.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 47.5%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
75.1%
3,827 votes · R+51.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 74.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
52,107votes
38.1% of the vote · R+21.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 46,391 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
82,402votes
63.1% of the vote · R+27.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 81,784 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
−1.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+0.8 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · −2.5 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1948
+44.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +40.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RGreg McGuckinState House · 10
RPaul KanitraState House · 10
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
31.2%35,094
68.8%77,362
112,456
2020
R
37.0%36,788
63.0%62,619
99,407
2018
R
37.3%20,650
62.7%34,765
55,415
Anchored in South Jersey's rural and suburban communities, Assembly District 10 delivered a 27.8-point Republican margin in 2024, making it among the state's most reliably one-sided districts at the presidential level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 51.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.7 points.
A population of 225,447, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $107,017 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 09 and Assembly District 24.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Jersey 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/34010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Jersey 10th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Jersey 10th State House District voted Republican by 27.7 points (R+27.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 130,597 votes cast, 46,225 went Democratic and 82,402 went Republican.
When did New Jersey 10th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Jersey 10th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in New Jersey 10th State House District?
New Jersey 10th State House District has a population of 225,447 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Jersey 10th State House District?
Median household income in New Jersey 10th State House District is $107,017 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of New Jersey 10th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Jersey 10th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 35 went Republican.