state house districtNew Jersey 10th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+20.5
2008R+17.4
2012R+14.7
2016R+30.9
2020R+22.0
2024R+27.8
net swing · 2004→2024R+7.3R+20.5 → R+27.8
vs. U.S. · 2024R+26.3R+27.8 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 72.4% of 179,342 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
45,724
81,817
2,280
129,821
179,342
72.4%
2020
52,107
81,784
1,136
135,027
167,972†
80.4%
2016
37,246
72,231
3,659
113,136
163,211†
69.3%
2012
41,902
56,596
1,233
99,731
160,540†
62.1%
2008
46,249
66,090
1,702
114,041
159,744†
71.4%
2004
41,904
63,860
1,416
107,180
158,948†
67.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNJ HD 10New JerseyUnited States
Italian20.4%13.7%4.8%
Irish18.0%12.1%9.4%
German12.3%8.6%12.5%
American7.4%3.3%5.3%
Polish7.2%4.6%2.2%
English6.4%4.9%9.5%
Russian1.5%1.3%—
Hungarian1.5%——
Puerto Rican3.6%5.1%1.8%
Mexican2.4%2.6%11.3%
Dominican0.9%4.0%0.7%
Colombian0.6%1.7%0.4%
Cuban0.4%0.9%0.7%
Peruvian0.4%0.8%—
Honduran0.4%—0.3%
Ecuadorian0.4%1.7%—
African American†2.3%8.6%9.9%
Jamaican0.2%0.8%0.4%
Filipino0.9%1.3%0.9%
Asian Indian0.5%4.6%1.4%
Chinese0.3%1.6%1.3%
Korean0.2%1.1%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NJ HD 10
New Jersey
United States
Median age
45
40.3
39.1
Age 18–24
7.3%
8.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
22.2%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NJ HD 10
New Jersey
United States
Median household income
$107,017
$103,556
$84,427
Poverty rate
5.5%
9.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
36.3%
43.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NJ HD 10
New Jersey
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
13.8%
33.2%
22.3%
Spanish
6.3%
17.2%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.5%
0.4%
0.5%
Other Indo-European
1.9%
5.6%
2.0%
Other languages
1.1%
1.1%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
NJ HD 10
New Jersey
United States
Catholic
—
32.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
47.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New Jersey 10th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−20.5%
2008
−17.4%
2012
−14.7%
2016
−30.9%
2020
−22.0%
2024
−27.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
35.2%Harris45,724
63.0%Trump81,817
1.8%
R+27.8
R+5.8
R+26.3
129,821
R
38.6%Biden52,107
60.6%Trump81,784
0.8%
R+22.0
D+8.9
R+26.4
135,027
R
32.9%Clinton37,246
63.8%Trump72,231
3.2%
R+30.9
R+16.2
R+33.0
113,136
R
42.0%Obama41,902
56.7%Romney56,596
1.2%
R+14.7
D+2.7
R+18.6
99,731
R
40.6%Obama46,249
58.0%McCain66,090
1.5%
R+17.4
D+3.1
R+24.7
114,041
R
39.1%Kerry41,904
59.6%Bush63,860
1.3%
R+20.5
—
R+18.0
107,180
current representation
Current officeholders
RGreg McGuckinState House · 10
RPaul KanitraState House · 10
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Anchored in South Jersey's rural and suburban communities, Assembly District 10 delivered a 27.8-point Republican margin in 2024, making it among the state's most reliably one-sided districts at the presidential level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 30.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.8 points.
A population of 225,447, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $107,017 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 09 and Assembly District 24.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Jersey 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/34010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Jersey 10th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Jersey 10th State House District voted Republican by 27.8 points (R+27.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 129,821 votes cast, 45,724 went Democratic and 81,817 went Republican.
How many people live in New Jersey 10th State House District?
New Jersey 10th State House District has a population of 225,447 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Jersey 10th State House District?
Median household income in New Jersey 10th State House District is $107,017 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of New Jersey 10th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New Jersey 10th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
