New Mexico 15th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
71.4%
858 votes · D+43.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 64.3%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
61.0%
1,968 votes · R+22.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 57.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
10,393votes
64.3% of the vote · D+31.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 9,761 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
5,662votes
43.1% of the vote · D+12.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 5,468 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+32.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+6.3 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +29.0 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
+6.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+22.0 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1968 · +6.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DDay Hochman-VigilState House · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
61.0%8,444
39.0%5,399
13,843
New Mexico 15th State House District sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 22.0 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.5 points.
A population of 31,025, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,521 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 11 and State House District 25.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Mexico 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/35015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Mexico 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Mexico 15th State House District voted Democratic by 27.5 points (D+27.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 15,594 votes cast, 9,761 went Democratic and 5,468 went Republican.
When did New Mexico 15th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Mexico 15th State House District voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in New Mexico 15th State House District?
New Mexico 15th State House District has a population of 31,025 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Mexico 15th State House District?
Median household income in New Mexico 15th State House District is $66,521 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of New Mexico 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Mexico 15th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.