state house districtNew York 12th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+4.6
2008D+0.5
2012R+3.7
2016R+5.6
2020D+3.1
2024R+6.8
net swing · 2004→2024R+2.2R+4.6 → R+6.8
vs. U.S. · 2024R+5.3R+6.8 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 75.2% of 97,311 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
33,467
38,456
1,244
73,167
97,311
75.2%
2020
37,275
34,977
1,072
73,324
94,430†
77.6%
2016
29,609
33,267
2,756
65,632
92,329†
71.1%
2012
27,687
29,874
791
58,352
89,982†
64.8%
2008
31,441
31,143
689
63,273
90,844†
69.7%
2004
28,629
31,446
1,317
61,392
91,706†
66.9%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNY HD 12New YorkUnited States
Italian24.5%10.9%4.8%
Irish19.3%10.5%9.4%
German13.1%8.6%12.5%
English5.0%5.6%9.5%
Polish4.8%3.9%2.2%
American4.6%4.2%5.3%
Russian1.8%1.2%—
Greek1.4%——
Salvadoran3.3%0.9%0.7%
Puerto Rican2.8%5.1%1.8%
Dominican1.7%4.6%0.7%
Ecuadorian1.3%1.6%—
Mexican1.0%2.5%11.3%
Colombian1.0%0.9%0.4%
Guatemalan0.7%0.5%0.5%
Honduran0.7%0.3%0.3%
Asian Indian1.7%1.9%1.4%
Chinese1.3%3.6%1.3%
Pakistani0.8%0.4%—
Filipino0.5%0.6%0.9%
Korean0.4%0.6%0.4%
Bangladeshi0.3%0.6%—
African American†3.3%8.0%9.9%
Haitian0.7%0.9%0.3%
Jamaican0.5%1.6%0.4%
Guyanese0.2%0.7%—
African0.2%0.6%0.5%
Trinidadian and Tobagonian0.2%0.4%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NY HD 12
New York
United States
Median age
44.3
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.0%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.9%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NY HD 12
New York
United States
Median household income
$157,758
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
5.1%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
40.2%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NY HD 12
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
24.8%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
16.1%
14.8%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.1%
1.5%
0.7%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
1.1%
2.0%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
3.3%
4.0%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
NY HD 12
New York
United States
Catholic
—
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New York 12th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−4.6%
2008
+0.5%
2012
−3.7%
2016
−5.6%
2020
+3.1%
2024
−6.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
45.7%Harris33,467
52.6%Trump38,456
1.7%
R+6.8
R+10.0
R+5.3
73,167
D
50.8%Biden37,275
47.7%Trump34,977
1.5%
D+3.1
D+8.7
R+1.3
73,324
R
45.1%Clinton29,609
50.7%Trump33,267
4.2%
R+5.6
R+1.8
R+7.7
65,632
R
47.4%Obama27,687
51.2%Romney29,874
1.4%
R+3.7
R+4.2
R+7.6
58,352
D
49.7%Obama31,441
49.2%McCain31,143
1.1%
D+0.5
D+5.1
R+6.8
63,273
R
46.6%Kerry28,629
51.2%Bush31,446
2.1%
R+4.6
—
R+2.1
61,392
current representation
Current officeholders
RKeith BrownState House · 12
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Assembly District 12 sits in New York's suburban ring, where a 6.8-point Republican lean in the 2024 presidential race reflects broader shifts among working- and middle-class voters that have reshaped competitive state legislative maps across the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 3.1 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 6.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.8 points.
A population of 128,271, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $157,758 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 10 and Assembly District 8.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 12th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 12th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 12th State House District voted Republican by 6.8 points (R+6.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 73,167 votes cast, 33,467 went Democratic and 38,456 went Republican.
When did New York 12th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 12th State House District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in New York 12th State House District?
New York 12th State House District has a population of 128,271 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 12th State House District?
Median household income in New York 12th State House District is $157,758 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 12th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New York 12th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
