state house districtNew York 31st State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+82.8
2008D+85.1
2012D+89.6
2016D+84.2
2020D+76.4
2024D+56.9
net swing · 2004→2024R+25.9D+82.8 → D+56.9
vs. U.S. · 2024D+58.4D+56.9 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 40.4% of 84,751 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
26,695
7,195
356
34,246
84,751
40.4%
2020
33,841
4,413
252
38,506
81,703†
47.1%
2016
31,898
2,484
568
34,950
80,740†
43.3%
2012
28,176
1,404
297
29,877
76,730†
38.9%
2008
31,576
2,479
153
34,208
77,073†
44.4%
2004
28,503
2,610
158
31,271
77,415†
40.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNY HD 31New YorkUnited States
African American†19.2%8.0%9.9%
Jamaican9.3%1.6%0.4%
Guyanese8.4%0.7%—
Haitian4.6%0.9%0.3%
Trinidadian and Tobagonian2.8%0.4%—
West Indian2.5%0.4%—
African1.2%0.6%0.5%
Nigerian1.2%0.2%0.2%
Ecuadorian4.0%1.6%—
Dominican3.6%4.6%0.7%
Mexican3.1%2.5%11.3%
Puerto Rican3.1%5.1%1.8%
Colombian2.4%0.9%0.4%
Salvadoran0.8%0.9%0.7%
Peruvian0.7%——
Guatemalan0.5%0.5%0.5%
Chinese4.3%3.6%1.3%
Asian Indian2.1%1.9%1.4%
Bangladeshi1.1%0.6%—
Korean0.8%0.6%0.4%
Filipino0.7%0.6%0.9%
Pakistani0.3%0.4%—
Nepalese0.2%——
Aztec1.5%——
Italian1.4%10.9%4.8%
Irish1.0%10.5%9.4%
American0.8%4.2%5.3%
German0.7%8.6%12.5%
Polish0.6%3.9%2.2%
Russian0.4%1.2%—
Greek0.4%——
English0.3%5.6%9.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NY HD 31
New York
United States
Median age
38
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
7.4%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.9%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NY HD 31
New York
United States
Median household income
$82,200
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
18.2%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
36.1%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NY HD 31
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
55.4%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
23.3%
14.8%
13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
3.1%
2.0%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
10.2%
4.0%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
9.6%
3.2%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
NY HD 31
New York
United States
Catholic
—
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New York 31st State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+82.8%
2008
+85.1%
2012
+89.6%
2016
+84.2%
2020
+76.4%
2024
+56.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
78.0%Harris26,695
21.0%Trump7,195
1.0%
D+56.9
R+19.5
D+58.4
34,246
D
87.9%Biden33,841
11.5%Trump4,413
0.7%
D+76.4
R+7.7
D+72.0
38,506
D
91.3%Clinton31,898
7.1%Trump2,484
1.6%
D+84.2
R+5.4
D+82.1
34,950
D
94.3%Obama28,176
4.7%Romney1,404
1.0%
D+89.6
D+4.5
D+85.8
29,877
D
92.3%Obama31,576
7.2%McCain2,479
0.4%
D+85.1
D+2.3
D+77.8
34,208
D
91.1%Kerry28,503
8.3%Bush2,610
0.5%
D+82.8
—
D+85.3
31,271
current representation
Current officeholders
DKhaleel AndersonState House · 31
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Assembly District 31 recorded a 0.5-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, making it among the most competitive state house districts in New York and a reliable bellwether for shifts in suburban or outer-borough voter sentiment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.6 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 19.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.9 points.
A population of 128,932, a 4% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,200 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 32 and Assembly District 29.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 31st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 31st State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 31st State House District voted Democratic by 56.9 points (D+56.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 34,246 votes cast, 26,695 went Democratic and 7,195 went Republican.
How many people live in New York 31st State House District?
New York 31st State House District has a population of 128,932 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 31st State House District?
Median household income in New York 31st State House District is $82,200 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 31st State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New York 31st State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
