New York 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
40.2%
7,624 votes · R+14.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 40.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
90.2%
37,197 votes · R+85.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 89.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
12,082votes
29.3% of the vote · R+41.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 11,866 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
58,472votes
85.6% of the vote · R+71.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 56,729 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
−16.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+15.9 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −22.8 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+75.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+72.8 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +74.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMisha NovakhovState House · 45
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
77.4%29,016
22.6%8,491
37,507
2018
D
85.5%18,671
14.5%3,167
21,838
Anchored in Staten Island's mid-island neighborhoods, AD-45 backed the 2024 Republican presidential ticket by nearly 24 points — a margin that stands out sharply in a state where Democrats dominate the legislative map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 85.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 14.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.2 points.
A population of 132,611, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,920 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 48 and Assembly District 64.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 45th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 45th State House District voted Republican by 50.2 points (R+50.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 34,047 votes cast, 8,286 went Democratic and 25,392 went Republican.
How many people live in New York 45th State House District?
New York 45th State House District has a population of 132,611 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 45th State House District?
Median household income in New York 45th State House District is $64,920 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 45th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York 45th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 38 went Republican.