state house districtNew York 49th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+3.7
2008D+9.0
2012D+24.4
2016D+14.2
2020D+12.5
2024R+19.9
net swing · 2004→2024R+16.2R+3.7 → R+19.9
vs. U.S. · 2024R+18.5R+19.9 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 40.2% of 57,799 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
9,060
13,689
472
23,221
57,799
40.2%
2020
14,550
11,279
352
26,181
55,908†
46.8%
2016
12,180
9,059
763
22,002
54,532†
40.3%
2012
12,084
7,303
212
19,599
51,435†
38.1%
2008
11,416
9,517
215
21,148
51,087†
41.4%
2004
9,740
10,507
230
20,477
50,738†
40.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNY HD 49New YorkUnited States
Chinese34.4%3.6%1.3%
Asian Indian5.2%1.9%1.4%
Pakistani3.8%0.4%—
Bangladeshi3.8%0.6%—
Filipino1.9%0.6%0.9%
Korean1.9%0.6%0.4%
Vietnamese0.9%—0.6%
Japanese0.9%0.2%0.2%
Italian3.3%10.9%4.8%
American3.0%4.2%5.3%
Irish2.9%10.5%9.4%
German2.0%8.6%12.5%
English1.7%5.6%9.5%
Russian1.7%1.2%—
Polish1.5%3.9%2.2%
Ukrainian1.2%——
Puerto Rican4.1%5.1%1.8%
Mexican3.2%2.5%11.3%
Dominican3.1%4.6%0.7%
Ecuadorian1.1%1.6%—
Guatemalan0.5%0.5%0.5%
Colombian0.5%0.9%0.4%
Panamanian0.4%——
Salvadoran0.4%0.9%0.7%
African American†0.7%8.0%9.9%
Aztec1.7%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NY HD 49
New York
United States
Median age
40.5
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
7.6%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.5%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NY HD 49
New York
United States
Median household income
$65,630
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
21.1%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
42.1%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NY HD 49
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
44.6%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
14.4%
14.8%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
4.6%
1.5%
0.5%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
6.1%
2.0%
0.7%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
6.7%
3.2%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
NY HD 49
New York
United States
Catholic
—
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New York 49th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−3.7%
2008
+9.0%
2012
+24.4%
2016
+14.2%
2020
+12.5%
2024
−19.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
39.0%Harris9,060
59.0%Trump13,689
2.0%
R+19.9
R+32.4
R+18.5
23,221
D
55.6%Biden14,550
43.1%Trump11,279
1.3%
D+12.5
R+1.7
D+8.0
26,181
D
55.4%Clinton12,180
41.2%Trump9,059
3.5%
D+14.2
R+10.2
D+12.1
22,002
D
61.7%Obama12,084
37.3%Romney7,303
1.1%
D+24.4
D+15.4
D+20.5
19,599
D
54.0%Obama11,416
45.0%McCain9,517
1.0%
D+9.0
D+12.7
D+1.7
21,148
R
47.6%Kerry9,740
51.3%Bush10,507
1.1%
R+3.7
—
R+1.3
20,477
current representation
Current officeholders
RLester ChangState House · 49
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Assembly District 49, covering part of Staten Island, delivered a 44-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 — an outlier in a state where most assembly districts lean Democratic by double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.4 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 19.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 32.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.9 points.
A population of 139,873, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,630 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 47 and Assembly District 25.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 49th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 49th State House District voted Republican by 19.9 points (R+19.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,221 votes cast, 9,060 went Democratic and 13,689 went Republican.
When did New York 49th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 49th State House District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in New York 49th State House District?
New York 49th State House District has a population of 139,873 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 49th State House District?
Median household income in New York 49th State House District is $65,630 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 49th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New York 49th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.
