state house districtNew York 78th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+71.9
2008D+81.6
2012D+87.5
2016D+83.9
2020D+67.7
2024D+36.7
net swing · 2004→2024R+35.2D+71.9 → D+36.7
vs. U.S. · 2024D+38.1D+36.7 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 38.0% of 69,640 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
17,944
8,242
274
26,460
69,640
38.0%
2020
27,853
5,257
274
33,384
69,063†
48.3%
2016
27,461
2,106
666
30,233
66,954†
45.2%
2012
25,407
1,636
129
27,172
63,015†
43.1%
2008
26,377
2,624
115
29,116
61,772†
47.1%
2004
22,140
3,567
131
25,838
60,529†
42.7%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNY HD 78New YorkUnited States
Dominican29.9%4.6%0.7%
Puerto Rican20.5%5.1%1.8%
Mexican7.3%2.5%11.3%
Ecuadorian2.6%1.6%—
Honduran1.8%0.3%0.3%
Cuban0.8%—0.7%
Colombian0.8%0.9%0.4%
Guatemalan0.6%0.5%0.5%
African American†13.2%8.0%9.9%
Jamaican2.9%1.6%0.4%
African1.9%0.6%0.5%
Ghanaian1.1%——
West Indian0.7%0.4%—
Guyanese0.6%0.7%—
Nigerian0.5%0.2%0.2%
Haitian0.3%0.9%0.3%
American5.0%4.2%5.3%
Italian3.7%10.9%4.8%
Irish2.5%10.5%9.4%
German1.3%8.6%12.5%
Russian0.7%1.2%—
English0.6%5.6%9.5%
Polish0.4%3.9%2.2%
French0.4%1.3%1.6%
Asian Indian1.2%1.9%1.4%
Bangladeshi0.9%0.6%—
Chinese0.5%3.6%1.3%
Filipino0.4%0.6%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%—0.6%
Pakistani0.2%0.4%—
Aztec14.3%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NY HD 78
New York
United States
Median age
34.1
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.5%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.6%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NY HD 78
New York
United States
Median household income
$42,572
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
30.3%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
22.4%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NY HD 78
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
57.0%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
45.1%
14.8%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.8%
1.5%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
3.5%
4.0%
2.0%
Other languages
4.3%
1.3%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
NY HD 78
New York
United States
Catholic
—
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New York 78th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+71.9%
2008
+81.6%
2012
+87.5%
2016
+83.9%
2020
+67.7%
2024
+36.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2012, 2016 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
67.8%Harris17,944
31.1%Trump8,242
1.0%
D+36.7
R+31.0
D+38.1
26,460
D
83.4%Biden27,853
15.7%Trump5,257
0.8%
D+67.7
R+16.2
D+63.2
33,384
D
90.8%Clinton27,461
7.0%Trump2,106
2.2%
D+83.9
R+3.6
D+81.8
30,233
D
93.5%Obama25,407
6.0%Romney1,636
0.5%
D+87.5
D+5.9
D+83.6
27,172
D
90.6%Obama26,377
9.0%McCain2,624
0.4%
D+81.6
D+9.7
D+74.3
29,116
D
85.7%Kerry22,140
13.8%Bush3,567
0.5%
D+71.9
—
D+74.3
25,838
current representation
Current officeholders
DGeorge AlvarezState House · 78
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Assembly District 78 covers a dense stretch of the South Bronx where the 2024 presidential margin exceeded 36 points, reflecting a heavily Latino working-class electorate that has voted reliably Democratic for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.5 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 31.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.7 points.
A population of 134,873, a 7% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $42,572 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 86 and Assembly District 84.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 78th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 78th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 78th State House District voted Democratic by 36.7 points (D+36.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 26,460 votes cast, 17,944 went Democratic and 8,242 went Republican.
How many people live in New York 78th State House District?
New York 78th State House District has a population of 134,873 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 78th State House District?
Median household income in New York 78th State House District is $42,572 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 78th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New York 78th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
