New York 78th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1916–2020 · 27 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
93.7%
26,930 votes · D+87.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 91.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
47.6%
5,970 votes · R+18.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 36.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
32,006votes
80.6% of the vote · D+61.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 30,961 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
14,487votes
34.6% of the vote · D+30.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 13,619 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+84.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+87.8 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +81.9 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
−7.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+18.6 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · −11.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DGeorge AlvarezState House · 78
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Assembly District 78 covers a dense stretch of the South Bronx where the 2024 presidential margin exceeded 36 points, reflecting a heavily Latino working-class electorate that has voted reliably Democratic for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.8 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 18.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 31.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.8 points.
A population of 134,873, a 7% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $42,572 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 86 and Assembly District 84.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 78th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 78th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 78th State House District voted Democratic by 36.8 points (D+36.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 26,511 votes cast, 18,035 went Democratic and 8,274 went Republican.
When did New York 78th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 78th State House District voted Republican was 1920.
How many people live in New York 78th State House District?
New York 78th State House District has a population of 134,873 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 78th State House District?
Median household income in New York 78th State House District is $42,572 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 78th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York 78th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 27 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.