New York 138th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.8%
37,161 votes · D+51.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 64.1%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
62.1%
27,132 votes · R+24.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 58.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
41,615votes
64.1% of the vote · D+31.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 37,550 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
29,031votes
57.0% of the vote · R+14.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 27,132 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+29.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+51.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +26.6 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+20.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+17.8 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +14.9 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DHarry BronsonState House · 138
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The district recorded a Democratic presidential margin of D+29.1 in 2024, compared with D+27.1 in 2008. The district had about 137,000 residents, 69.6% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 30.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.
A population of 138,326, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,924 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 129 and Assembly District 136.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 138th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36138/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 138th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 138th State House District voted Democratic by 29.1 points (D+29.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 62,175 votes cast, 39,937 went Democratic and 21,837 went Republican.
When did New York 138th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 138th State House District voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in New York 138th State House District?
New York 138th State House District has a population of 138,326 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 138th State House District?
Median household income in New York 138th State House District is $75,924 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 138th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York 138th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.