Texas 15th State House District
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −55.6% |
| 2008 | −46.4% |
| 2012 | −53.4% |
| 2016 | −36.1% |
| 2020 | −25.2% |
| 2024 | −27.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35.8%Harris35,116 | 62.8%Trump61,581 | 1.3% | R+27.0 | R+1.8 | R+25.5 | 98,009 | |
| R | 36.7%Biden35,438 | 61.9%Trump59,767 | 1.4% | R+25.2 | D+10.9 | R+29.7 | 96,512 | |
| R | 28.8%Clinton21,842 | 64.9%Trump49,166 | 6.2% | R+36.1 | D+17.4 | R+38.2 | 75,737 | |
| R | 22.5%Obama14,889 | 76.0%Romney50,224 | 1.5% | R+53.4 | R+7.1 | R+57.3 | 66,117 | |
| R | 26.7%Obama16,493 | 73.0%McCain45,149 | 0.3% | R+46.4 | D+9.2 | R+53.6 | 61,816 | |
| R | 22.0%Kerry11,759 | 77.6%Bush41,539 | 0.5% | R+55.6 | — | R+53.1 | 53,559 |
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+27.0 in 2024, compared with R+46.4 in 2008. The district had about 68,700 residents, 66.8% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 55.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.0 points.
A population of 200,185, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $120,001 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 130 and State House District 3.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Texas 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.