state house districtVermont Chittenden-15 State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+29.6
2008D+45.4
2012D+41.7
2016D+43.6
2020D+54.9
2024D+53.2
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 2.5% of 7,689 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
142
41
7
190
7,689
2.5%
2020
147
41
6
193
7,251†
2.7%
2016
107
36
20
163
7,046†
2.3%
2012
105
42
4
151
6,851†
2.2%
2008
117
43
3
163
6,511†
2.5%
2004
97
52
4
152
6,170†
2.5%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
18922024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupVT HD 15VermontUnited States
Irish17.9%16.8%9.4%
English17.6%19.1%9.5%
German12.7%10.7%12.5%
Italian8.2%7.4%4.8%
French7.8%8.6%1.6%
French Canadian6.8%6.2%—
American4.5%7.0%5.3%
Polish3.7%—2.2%
Asian Indian1.0%0.3%1.4%
Nepalese1.0%0.2%—
Chinese0.7%0.3%1.3%
Vietnamese0.4%—0.6%
Korean0.4%—0.4%
Filipino0.3%—0.9%
Burmese0.2%——
Mexican0.9%0.6%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.6%0.5%1.8%
Cuban0.3%—0.7%
Dominican0.3%—0.7%
Colombian0.3%—0.4%
Spaniard0.3%0.2%—
Spanish0.3%0.2%—
African American†2.6%0.4%9.9%
Nigerian0.5%—0.2%
Jamaican0.5%—0.4%
African0.3%—0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
VT HD 15
Vermont
United States
Median age
21.8
43.4
39.1
Age 18–24
15.2%
10.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.1%
21.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
VT HD 15
Vermont
United States
Median household income
$63,908
$81,203
$84,427
Poverty rate
35.8%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
56.8%
44.1%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
VT HD 15
Vermont
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.2%
5.5%
22.3%
Spanish
1.5%
1.3%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.6%
1.2%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
2.2%
0.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
VT HD 15
Vermont
United States
Catholic
—
20.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
7.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
62.4%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−27.3%
1896
−50.0%
1900
−36.4%
1904
−45.5%
1908
−36.4%
1912
−7.7%
1916
−15.4%
1920
−33.3%
1924
−50.0%
1928
+5.9%
1932
+12.5%
1936
+16.2%
1940
+18.9%
1944
+16.7%
1948
+0.0%
1952
−15.2%
1956
−16.7%
1960
+11.9%
1964
+41.7%
1968
+4.8%
1972
−16.7%
1976
−9.9%
1980
+1.1%
1984
−9.2%
1988
+2.7%
1992
+23.4%
1996
+27.2%
2000
+18.4%
2004
+29.6%
2008
+45.4%
2012
+41.7%
2016
+43.6%
2020
+54.9%
2024
+53.2%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
74.7%Harris142
21.6%Trump41
3.7%
D+53.2
R+1.8
D+54.6
190
D
76.2%Biden147
21.2%Trump41
2.6%
D+54.9
D+11.4
D+50.5
193
D
65.6%Clinton107
22.1%Trump36
12.3%
D+43.6
D+1.8
D+41.5
163
D
69.5%Obama105
27.8%Romney42
2.6%
D+41.7
R+3.7
D+37.9
151
D
71.8%Obama117
26.4%McCain43
1.8%
D+45.4
D+15.8
D+38.1
163
D
63.8%Kerry97
34.2%Bush52
2.0%
D+29.6
D+11.2
D+32.1
152
D
54.6%Gore77
36.2%Bush51
9.2%
D+18.4
R+8.8
D+17.9
141
D
56.8%Clinton71
29.6%Dole37
13.6%
D+27.2
D+3.8
D+18.7
125
D
50.4%Clinton69
27.0%Bush37
22.6%
D+23.4
D+20.7
D+17.8
137
D
50.9%Dukakis57
48.2%Bush54
0.9%
D+2.7
D+11.9
D+10.4
112
R
45.0%Mondale49
54.1%Reagan59
0.9%
R+9.2
R+10.3
D+9.0
109
D
40.2%Carter37
39.1%Reagan36
20.7%
D+1.1
D+11.0
D+10.8
92
R
43.2%Carter35
53.1%Ford43
3.7%
R+9.9
D+6.8
R+11.9
81
R
41.0%McGovern32
57.7%Nixon45
1.3%
R+16.7
R+21.4
D+6.5
78
D
50.8%Humphrey32
46.0%Nixon29
3.2%
D+4.8
R+36.9
D+5.5
63
D
71.7%Johnson43
30.0%Goldwater18
0.0%
D+41.7
D+29.8
D+19.1
60
D
55.9%Kennedy33
44.1%Nixon26
0.0%
D+11.9
D+28.5
D+11.7
59
R
41.7%Stevenson20
58.3%Eisenhower28
0.0%
R+16.7
R+1.4
R+1.3
48
R
41.3%Stevenson19
56.5%Eisenhower26
2.2%
R+15.2
R+15.2
R+4.5
46
O
48.6%Truman17
48.6%Dewey17
2.9%
Tied
R+16.7
R+4.5
35
D
58.3%Roosevelt21
41.7%Dewey15
0.0%
D+16.7
R+2.3
D+9.2
36
D
59.5%Roosevelt22
40.5%Willkie15
0.0%
D+18.9
D+2.7
D+9.0
37
D
56.8%Roosevelt21
40.5%Landon15
2.7%
D+16.2
D+3.7
R+8.0
37
D
56.3%Roosevelt18
43.8%Hoover14
0.0%
D+12.5
D+6.6
R+5.3
32
D
52.9%Smith18
47.1%Hoover16
0.0%
D+5.9
D+55.9
D+23.3
34
R
22.7%Davis5
72.7%Coolidge16
4.5%
R+50.0
R+16.7
R+24.8
22
R
33.3%Cox7
66.7%Harding14
0.0%
R+33.3
R+17.9
R+7.1
21
R
38.5%Wilson5
53.8%Hughes7
7.7%
R+15.4
R+7.7
R+18.5
13
R
30.8%Wilson4
38.5%Taft5
30.8%
R+7.7
D+28.7
R+27.2
13
R
27.3%Bryan3
63.6%Taft7
9.1%
R+36.4
D+9.1
R+26.8
11
R
27.3%Parker3
72.7%Roosevelt8
0.0%
R+45.5
R+9.1
R+25.8
11
R
36.4%Bryan4
72.7%McKinley8
0.0%
R+36.4
D+13.6
R+28.8
11
R
25.0%Bryan3
75.0%McKinley9
0.0%
R+50.0
R+22.7
R+43.9
12
R
36.4%Cleveland4
63.6%Harrison7
0.0%
R+27.3
—
R+28.9
11
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current representation
Current officeholders
DBrian CinaState House · Chittenden-15
ITroy HeadrickState House · Chittenden-15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Chittenden-15 recorded a 2024 presidential margin of D+74.2, placing it among the most lopsided legislative districts nationally — a figure that reflects the dense, university-adjacent concentration of voters typical of Burlington's urban core.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 54.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 50.0 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.2 points.
A population of 8,172, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,908 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chittenden-14 State House District and Chittenden-16 State House District.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50C15/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District voted Democratic by 53.2 points (D+53.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 190 votes cast, 142 went Democratic and 41 went Republican.
When did Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District?
Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District has a population of 8,172 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District is $63,908 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Chittenden-15 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.
