HarrisDemocratic59.3%2,696TrumpRepublican37.1%1,685OtherAll other candidates3.6%165
D+22.2- Lead
- 1,011
- Total
- 4,546
- vs nation
- D+23.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District
Contests in this Place (48 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic62.9%2,782TrumpRepublican33.3%1,473OtherAll other candidates3.8%166
D+29.6- Lead
- 1,309
- Total
- 4,421
- vs nation
- D+25.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic50.6%1,930TrumpRepublican32.3%1,232OtherAll other candidates17.0%649
D+18.3- Lead
- 698
- Total
- 3,811
- vs nation
- D+16.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic67.0%2,457RomneyRepublican30.2%1,106OtherAll other candidates2.8%102
D+36.9- Lead
- 1,351
- Total
- 3,665
- vs nation
- D+33.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic67.9%2,612McCainRepublican30.1%1,157OtherAll other candidates2.0%78
D+37.8- Lead
- 1,455
- Total
- 3,847
- vs nation
- D+30.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic62.7%2,433BushRepublican34.8%1,351OtherAll other candidates2.5%96
D+27.9- Lead
- 1,082
- Total
- 3,880
- vs nation
- D+30.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic50.3%1,810BushRepublican39.3%1,415OtherAll other candidates10.4%374
D+11.0- Lead
- 395
- Total
- 3,599
- vs nation
- D+10.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic54.1%1,593DoleRepublican29.1%856OtherAll other candidates16.8%495
D+25.0- Lead
- 737
- Total
- 2,944
- vs nation
- D+16.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+22.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,5392024 5-year
- Population density
- 54 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 158 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,1152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+76.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lamoille-3 State House District, VT · twin score 99.3
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
67.9%
2,612 votes · D+37.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 67.0%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
87.3%
795 votes · R+76.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 84.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,782votes
62.9% of the vote · D+29.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,696 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,685votes
37.1% of the vote · D+22.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,485 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+41.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.8 · U.S. R+26.2 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +33.0 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+61.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.6 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +61.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DDan NoyesState House · Lamoille-2
RRichard BaileyState House · Lamoille-2
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Lamoille-2 covers a slice of north-central Vermont's hill towns and small villages, where a blend of longtime rural residents and Democratic-voting in-migrants has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins at the presidential level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.8 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 76.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.2 points.
A population of 8,539, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,115 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lamoille-3 State House District and Windham-8 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lamoille-3 State House District
Vermont
99.3twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Windham-8 State House District
Vermont
96.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Windham-4 State House District
Vermont
95.3twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50L-2/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District voted Democratic by 22.2 points (D+22.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,546 votes cast, 2,696 went Democratic and 1,685 went Republican.
When did Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District?
Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District has a population of 8,539 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District is $71,115 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.