state house districtVermont Lamoille-2 State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+27.7
2008D+42.6
2012D+41.9
2016D+28.8
2020D+40.7
2024D+35.6
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 77.8% of 6,514 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
3,344
1,539
188
5,071
6,514
77.8%
2020
3,498
1,422
175
5,096
6,273†
81.2%
2016
2,474
1,220
667
4,360
6,133†
71.1%
2012
2,860
1,142
94
4,096
5,955†
68.8%
2008
3,045
1,201
82
4,328
6,224†
69.5%
2004
2,609
1,455
97
4,162
6,493†
64.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
18922024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupVT HD 2VermontUnited States
English18.2%19.1%9.5%
Irish16.1%16.8%9.4%
German11.1%10.7%12.5%
Italian7.0%7.4%4.8%
French6.4%8.6%1.6%
American6.3%7.0%5.3%
French Canadian6.0%6.2%—
Scottish4.7%3.0%1.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.5%1.8%
Mexican0.4%0.6%11.3%
Cuban0.2%—0.7%
Salvadoran0.2%—0.7%
Spaniard0.2%0.2%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
VT HD 2
Vermont
United States
Median age
37.5
43.4
39.1
Age 18–24
8.1%
10.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.6%
21.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
VT HD 2
Vermont
United States
Median household income
$71,115
$81,203
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.9%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
44.3%
44.1%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
VT HD 2
Vermont
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
4.9%
5.5%
22.3%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.6%
1.2%
0.7%
Religious landscape
Measure
VT HD 2
Vermont
United States
Catholic
—
20.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
7.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
62.4%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−46.7%
1896
−63.5%
1900
−60.1%
1904
−65.9%
1908
−62.2%
1912
−17.8%
1916
−37.9%
1920
−65.9%
1924
−75.6%
1928
−69.6%
1932
−40.3%
1936
−37.9%
1940
−27.4%
1944
−36.5%
1948
−48.0%
1952
−69.3%
1956
−67.2%
1960
−52.0%
1964
+7.7%
1968
−39.6%
1972
−42.2%
1976
−26.5%
1980
−11.8%
1984
−25.6%
1988
−10.7%
1992
+15.0%
1996
+25.0%
2000
+10.9%
2004
+27.7%
2008
+42.6%
2012
+41.9%
2016
+28.8%
2020
+40.7%
2024
+35.6%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
65.9%Harris3,344
30.3%Trump1,539
3.7%
D+35.6
R+5.1
D+37.1
5,071
D
68.6%Biden3,498
27.9%Trump1,422
3.5%
D+40.7
D+12.0
D+36.3
5,096
D
56.7%Clinton2,474
28.0%Trump1,220
15.3%
D+28.8
R+13.2
D+26.7
4,360
D
69.8%Obama2,860
27.9%Romney1,142
2.3%
D+41.9
R+0.7
D+38.1
4,096
D
70.4%Obama3,045
27.7%McCain1,201
1.9%
D+42.6
D+14.9
D+35.3
4,328
D
62.7%Kerry2,609
35.0%Bush1,455
2.4%
D+27.7
D+16.9
D+30.2
4,162
D
50.5%Gore1,939
39.6%Bush1,522
9.9%
D+10.9
R+14.1
D+10.3
3,842
D
54.4%Clinton1,707
29.4%Dole924
16.2%
D+25.0
D+9.9
D+16.4
3,138
D
44.0%Clinton1,523
28.9%Bush1,003
27.1%
D+15.0
D+25.7
D+9.4
3,465
R
43.8%Dukakis1,217
54.5%Bush1,514
1.7%
R+10.7
D+14.9
R+3.0
2,779
R
36.5%Mondale938
62.1%Reagan1,597
1.4%
R+25.6
R+13.8
R+7.4
2,571
R
35.0%Carter825
46.9%Reagan1,103
18.1%
R+11.8
D+14.6
R+2.1
2,354
R
35.1%Carter689
61.6%Ford1,208
3.3%
R+26.5
D+15.8
R+28.5
1,962
R
28.0%McGovern567
70.2%Nixon1,423
1.9%
R+42.2
R+2.6
R+19.1
2,028
R
28.4%Humphrey423
68.0%Nixon1,013
3.6%
R+39.6
R+47.3
R+38.9
1,489
D
53.9%Johnson812
46.2%Goldwater696
0.0%
D+7.7
D+59.7
R+14.9
1,507
R
24.0%Kennedy353
76.1%Nixon1,118
0.0%
R+52.0
D+15.2
R+52.2
1,470
R
16.4%Stevenson232
83.6%Eisenhower1,183
0.0%
R+67.2
D+2.1
R+51.8
1,415
R
15.2%Stevenson216
84.5%Eisenhower1,201
0.3%
R+69.3
R+21.3
R+58.6
1,421
R
25.7%Truman279
73.7%Dewey801
0.6%
R+48.0
R+11.6
R+52.5
1,087
R
31.8%Roosevelt352
68.2%Dewey756
0.0%
R+36.5
R+9.1
R+44.0
1,108
R
36.3%Roosevelt500
63.6%Willkie877
0.1%
R+27.4
D+10.5
R+37.3
1,378
R
30.9%Roosevelt437
68.8%Landon972
0.3%
R+37.9
D+2.5
R+62.1
1,413
R
29.4%Roosevelt374
69.7%Hoover888
0.9%
R+40.3
D+29.3
R+58.1
1,274
R
15.0%Smith197
84.6%Hoover1,114
0.5%
R+69.6
D+6.0
R+52.2
1,317
R
10.6%Davis104
86.2%Coolidge847
3.3%
R+75.6
R+9.7
R+50.4
983
R
16.2%Cox156
82.1%Harding790
1.7%
R+65.9
R+28.0
R+39.7
962
R
29.3%Wilson220
67.2%Hughes504
3.5%
R+37.9
R+20.0
R+41.0
750
O
18.2%Wilson147
36.0%Taft291
45.8%
Roosevelt +9.7
D+44.3
R+37.4
808
R
16.9%Bryan106
79.0%Taft497
4.1%
R+62.2
D+3.7
R+52.6
629
R
15.9%Parker101
81.8%Roosevelt520
2.4%
R+65.9
R+5.8
R+46.2
636
R
19.0%Bryan143
79.1%McKinley595
1.9%
R+60.1
D+3.4
R+52.6
752
R
17.2%Bryan150
80.7%McKinley704
2.1%
R+63.5
R+16.8
R+57.5
872
R
25.4%Cleveland177
72.1%Harrison502
2.4%
R+46.7
—
R+48.4
696
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current representation
Current officeholders
DDan NoyesState House · Lamoille-2
RRichard BaileyState House · Lamoille-2
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Lamoille-2 covers a slice of north-central Vermont's hill towns and small villages, where a blend of longtime rural residents and Democratic-voting in-migrants has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins at the presidential level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.6 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 75.6 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.6 points.
A population of 8,539, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,115 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lamoille-3 State House District and Windham-8 State House District.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50L-2/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District voted Democratic by 35.6 points (D+35.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 5,071 votes cast, 3,344 went Democratic and 1,539 went Republican.
When did Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District?
Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District has a population of 8,539 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District is $71,115 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Lamoille-2 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.
