HarrisDemocratic55.2%1,466TrumpRepublican41.3%1,095OtherAll other candidates3.5%93
D+14.0- Lead
- 371
- Total
- 2,654
- vs nation
- D+15.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Rutland-4 State House District
Contests in this Place (48 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic58.0%1,538TrumpRepublican38.8%1,029OtherAll other candidates3.3%87
D+19.2- Lead
- 509
- Total
- 2,654
- vs nation
- D+14.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic49.2%1,186TrumpRepublican39.8%961OtherAll other candidates11.0%266
D+9.3- Lead
- 225
- Total
- 2,413
- vs nation
- D+7.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic60.3%1,367RomneyRepublican36.4%825OtherAll other candidates3.3%74
D+23.9- Lead
- 542
- Total
- 2,266
- vs nation
- D+20.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic61.9%1,552McCainRepublican35.2%883OtherAll other candidates2.9%74
D+26.7- Lead
- 669
- Total
- 2,509
- vs nation
- D+19.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic48.6%1,183BushRepublican44.8%1,092OtherAll other candidates6.6%160
D+3.7- Lead
- 91
- Total
- 2,435
- vs nation
- D+6.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic41.2%1,036BushRepublican40.7%1,022OtherAll other candidates18.1%456
D+0.6- Lead
- 14
- Total
- 2,514
- vs nation
- Even
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic35.6%986DoleRepublican27.0%747OtherAll other candidates37.4%1,037
Other win- Lead
- 51
- Total
- 2,770
- vs nation
- D+0.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,5002024 5-year
- Population density
- 511 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,7502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutland-9 State House District, VT · twin score 98.2
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Rutland-4 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
65.0%
986 votes · D+30.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 61.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
74.1%
1,101 votes · R+48.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 71.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,552votes
61.9% of the vote · D+26.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,538 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,159votes
60.2% of the vote · R+23.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 1,101 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+20.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+23.9 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +19.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+47.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +40.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RChristopher HowlandState House · Rutland-4
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Rutland-4 covers a slice of one of Vermont's older industrial cities, where a D+19.2 margin in 2020 reflects a pattern common to Vermont's denser, more urban precincts despite the county's historically competitive statewide profile.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.
A population of 4,500, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,750 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland-9 State House District and Rutland-11 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Rutland-9 State House District
Vermont
98.2twin score
elasticitypopulation scale12-yr trend
Rutland-11 State House District
Vermont
98.1twin score
elasticitypopulation scalemedian age
Rutland-2 State House District
Vermont
97.6twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Rutland-4 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50R-4/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Rutland-4 State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Rutland-4 State House District voted Democratic by 14.0 points (D+14.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,654 votes cast, 1,466 went Democratic and 1,095 went Republican.
When did Vermont Rutland-4 State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Rutland-4 State House District voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Vermont Rutland-4 State House District?
Vermont Rutland-4 State House District has a population of 4,500 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Rutland-4 State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Rutland-4 State House District is $73,750 — below the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Rutland-4 State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Rutland-4 State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.