state house districtWashington 15th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+31.1
2008R+21.5
2012R+25.2
2016R+27.0
2020R+20.6
2024R+23.5
net swing · 2004→2024D+7.6R+31.1 → R+23.5
vs. U.S. · 2024R+22.0R+23.5 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 65.1% of 108,073 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
25,860
42,375
2,081
70,316
108,073
65.1%
2020
28,645
44,014
1,949
74,608
103,266†
72.2%
2016
20,259
36,662
3,769
60,690
99,203†
61.2%
2012
21,462
36,467
1,601
59,530
96,746†
61.5%
2008
23,001
35,910
1,189
60,100
92,256†
65.1%
2004
19,372
37,128
644
57,144
87,766†
65.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWA HD 15WashingtonUnited States
German15.6%14.5%12.5%
English11.6%12.1%9.5%
Irish9.0%9.8%9.4%
American7.5%3.8%5.3%
Norwegian2.8%4.0%—
French2.5%—1.6%
Italian2.2%3.1%4.8%
Scottish2.1%2.6%1.3%
Mexican32.4%10.8%11.3%
Salvadoran0.4%0.4%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.5%1.8%
Spanish0.3%0.3%—
Spaniard0.2%0.4%—
Honduran0.2%—0.3%
Aztec2.2%——
Filipino0.6%1.5%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%1.1%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
WA HD 15
Washington
United States
Median age
36.7
38.5
39.1
Age 18–24
9.4%
8.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.6%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
WA HD 15
Washington
United States
Median household income
$80,764
$98,141
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.4%
9.9%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
21.4%
39.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
WA HD 15
Washington
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
39.0%
21.5%
22.3%
Spanish
36.6%
9.1%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
WA HD 15
Washington
United States
Catholic
—
10.7%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
20.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
58.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Washington 15th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−31.1%
2008
−21.5%
2012
−25.2%
2016
−27.0%
2020
−20.6%
2024
−23.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
36.8%Harris25,860
60.3%Trump42,375
3.0%
R+23.5
R+2.9
R+22.0
70,316
R
38.4%Biden28,645
59.0%Trump44,014
2.6%
R+20.6
D+6.4
R+25.1
74,608
R
33.4%Clinton20,259
60.4%Trump36,662
6.2%
R+27.0
R+1.8
R+29.1
60,690
R
36.1%Obama21,462
61.3%Romney36,467
2.7%
R+25.2
R+3.7
R+29.1
59,530
R
38.3%Obama23,001
59.8%McCain35,910
2.0%
R+21.5
D+9.6
R+28.8
60,100
R
33.9%Kerry19,372
65.0%Bush37,128
1.1%
R+31.1
—
R+28.6
57,144
current representation
Current officeholders
RChris CorryState House · 15
RJeremie DufaultState House · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Its Republican presidential margin was R+23.5 in 2024 and R+21.5 in 2008. The district had about 149,000 residents, 50.4% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 31.1 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.5 points.
A population of 156,795, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,764 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 32 and State House District 118.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Washington 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/53015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Washington 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Washington 15th State House District voted Republican by 23.5 points (R+23.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 70,316 votes cast, 25,860 went Democratic and 42,375 went Republican.
How many people live in Washington 15th State House District?
Washington 15th State House District has a population of 156,795 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Washington 15th State House District?
Median household income in Washington 15th State House District is $80,764 — above the national median of $80,734. The Washington state median is $98,141.
What is the political history of Washington 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Washington 15th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
