state senate districtFlorida 2nd State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+46.3
2008R+42.4
2012R+46.1
2016R+48.0
2020R+44.2
2024R+48.6
net swing · 2004→2024R+2.3R+46.3 → R+48.6
vs. U.S. · 2024R+47.1R+48.6 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 69.8% of 424,294 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
74,108
218,030
4,083
296,221
424,294
69.8%
2020
78,206
206,018
4,903
289,127
409,069†
70.7%
2016
60,802
184,908
12,630
258,340
394,524†
65.5%
2012
62,428
172,143
3,543
238,114
374,924†
63.5%
2008
67,819
169,973
3,369
241,161
357,996†
67.4%
2004
58,940
161,919
1,665
222,524
341,067†
65.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFL SD 2FloridaUnited States
English13.1%8.2%9.5%
Irish10.5%8.2%9.4%
German10.4%8.9%12.5%
American8.8%7.7%5.3%
Italian3.9%5.6%4.8%
Scottish2.3%1.3%1.3%
French2.1%1.7%1.6%
Polish1.6%2.1%2.2%
African American†9.1%9.5%9.9%
Jamaican0.5%1.5%0.4%
African0.3%0.5%0.5%
Haitian0.2%2.3%0.3%
Mexican2.7%3.3%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.7%5.6%1.8%
Honduran0.7%0.6%0.3%
Cuban0.6%7.3%0.7%
Guatemalan0.3%—0.5%
Venezuelan0.2%1.6%—
Colombian0.2%2.1%0.4%
Dominican0.2%1.3%0.7%
Filipino0.7%0.5%0.9%
Vietnamese0.3%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.2%—0.4%
Asian Indian0.2%0.9%1.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
FL SD 2
Florida
United States
Median age
40.8
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
7.6%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.4%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
FL SD 2
Florida
United States
Median household income
$72,987
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.2%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
28.6%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
FL SD 2
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.8%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
6.0%
22.6%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
FL SD 2
Florida
United States
Catholic
—
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Florida 2nd State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−46.3%
2008
−42.4%
2012
−46.1%
2016
−48.0%
2020
−44.2%
2024
−48.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
25.0%Harris74,108
73.6%Trump218,030
1.4%
R+48.6
R+4.4
R+47.1
296,221
R
27.0%Biden78,206
71.3%Trump206,018
1.7%
R+44.2
D+3.8
R+48.7
289,127
R
23.5%Clinton60,802
71.6%Trump184,908
4.9%
R+48.0
R+2.0
R+50.1
258,340
R
26.2%Obama62,428
72.3%Romney172,143
1.5%
R+46.1
R+3.7
R+49.9
238,114
R
28.1%Obama67,819
70.5%McCain169,973
1.4%
R+42.4
D+3.9
R+49.6
241,161
R
26.5%Kerry58,940
72.8%Bush161,919
0.7%
R+46.3
—
R+43.8
222,524
current representation
Current officeholders
RJay TrumbullState Senate · 2
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Florida's 2nd Senate District spans the western Panhandle, where a dense concentration of military installations and retirees has produced some of the state's most consistent Republican margins over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 48.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.6 points.
A population of 538,769, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,987 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 1 and State Senate District 6.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florida 2nd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/12002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Florida 2nd State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 2nd State Senate District voted Republican by 48.6 points (R+48.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 296,221 votes cast, 74,108 went Democratic and 218,030 went Republican.
How many people live in Florida 2nd State Senate District?
Florida 2nd State Senate District has a population of 538,769 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 2nd State Senate District?
Median household income in Florida 2nd State Senate District is $72,987 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 2nd State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Florida 2nd State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
