Holmes County, Florida
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 9,132 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -6-NOMA6-NOMA | 144 | 1,785 | 10 | 1,939 | 7.4% | 92.1% | R+84.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -7-WEST BONIFAY7-WEST BONIFAY | 148 | 1,392 | 10 | 1,550 | 9.5% | 89.8% | R+80.3 |
| Precinct -4-BETHLEHEM4-BETHLEHEM | 141 | 1,186 | 5 | 1,332 | 10.6% | 89.0% | R+78.5 |
| Precinct -8-EAST BONIFAY8-EAST BONIFAY | 154 | 907 | 12 | 1,073 | 14.4% | 84.5% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -1-PONCE DE LEON1-PONCE DE LEON | 101 | 881 | 8 | 990 | 10.2% | 89.0% | R+78.8 |
| Precinct -2-PINE LOG2-PINE LOG | 88 | 854 | 5 | 947 | 9.3% | 90.2% | R+80.9 |
| Precinct -3-NEW HOPE3-NEW HOPE | 80 | 723 | 3 | 806 | 9.9% | 89.7% | R+79.8 |
| Precinct -5-GRITNEY5-GRITNEY | 26 | 465 | 4 | 495 | 5.3% | 93.9% | R+88.7 |
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | +68.7% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | +30.4% |
| 1908 | +11.7% |
| 1912 | +53.4% |
| 1916 | +22.7% |
| 1920 | +20.8% |
| 1924 | +23.9% |
| 1928 | −50.2% |
| 1932 | +72.6% |
| 1936 | +61.3% |
| 1940 | +50.3% |
| 1944 | +49.0% |
| 1948 | +40.9% |
| 1952 | +44.7% |
| 1956 | +41.7% |
| 1960 | +31.5% |
| 1964 | −46.0% |
| 1968 | −1.2% |
| 1972 | −85.0% |
| 1976 | +27.1% |
| 1980 | −7.4% |
| 1984 | −57.4% |
| 1988 | −43.8% |
| 1992 | −20.2% |
| 1996 | −13.8% |
| 2000 | −38.3% |
| 2004 | −55.4% |
| 2008 | −65.0% |
| 2012 | −68.3% |
| 2016 | −77.9% |
| 2020 | −78.9% |
| 2024 | −80.2% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 10,465 | 3,421 | 5,913 | 1,111 | 20 |
| 2018 | 10,790 | 3,185 | 6,349 | 1,218 | 38 |
| 2019 | 10,887 | 2,918 | 6,599 | 1,325 | 45 |
| 2020 | 11,645 | 2,631 | 7,511 | 1,419 | 84 |
| 2021 | 11,198 | 2,366 | 7,356 | 1,377 | 99 |
| 2023 | 11,683 | 2,035 | 7,954 | 1,516 | 178 |
| 2024 | 11,046 | 1,608 | 7,986 | 1,215 | 237 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+97 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,439 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,713 in average income, against $55,061 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+56.9 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Holmes County, FL itself (R+80.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washington County, FL96R+65.4
- Walton County, FL72R+57.8
- Bay County, FL60R+47.3
- Jackson County, FL35R+46.1
- Okaloosa County, FL27R+42.4
- Geneva County, AL23R+76.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washington County, FL76
- Walton County, FL56
- Jackson County, FL54
- Bay County, FL51
- Geneva County, AL28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +51 |
| 2012 | −92 |
| 2013 | −26 |
| 2014 | +50 |
| 2015 | −250 |
| 2016 | +178 |
| 2017 | +107 |
| 2018 | +63 |
| 2019 | +228 |
| 2021 | −146 |
| 2022 | +462 |
| 2023 | +421 |
| 2024 | +296 |
| 2025 | +97 |
Holmes County, tucked into Florida's western Panhandle, recorded an R+80.2 presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in the state—reflecting a rural, small-population electorate with deeply consolidated voting patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 85.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 80.2 points.
A population of 19,513, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,343 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brantley County and Glascock County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Holmes County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12059/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.