New Hampshire 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
58.4%
6,480 votes · D+16.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 50.4%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
73.3%
12,174 votes · R+47.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 70.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
15,812votes
47.6% of the vote · R+3.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 15,048 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
17,698votes
53.2% of the vote · R+8.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 16,814 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
−1.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+18.4 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · −1.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+43.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +30.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RKeith MurphyState Senate · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
53.0%17,418
47.0%15,435
32,853
2020
D
53.5%16,792
46.5%14,591
31,383
2018
D
54.9%12,486
45.1%10,248
22,734
New Hampshire Senate District 16 leans reliably toward Republican candidates in statewide contests, with its largely rural character and modest population of roughly 58,000 residents shaping a political environment that diverges from the state's more competitive urban corridors.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.6 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.0 points.
A population of 57,841, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $115,313 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 19 and State Senate District 14.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/33016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Hampshire 16th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire 16th State Senate District voted Republican by 8.0 points (R+8.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 33,286 votes cast, 15,048 went Democratic and 17,698 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire 16th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire 16th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in New Hampshire 16th State Senate District?
New Hampshire 16th State Senate District has a population of 57,841 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire 16th State Senate District?
Median household income in New Hampshire 16th State Senate District is $115,313 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire 16th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Hampshire 16th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 36 went Republican.