New Hampshire 15th State Senate District
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +17.2% |
| 2008 | +26.4% |
| 2012 | +25.7% |
| 2016 | +20.5% |
| 2020 | +29.5% |
| 2024 | +25.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 62.1%Harris20,945 | 36.8%Trump12,408 | 1.1% | D+25.3 | R+4.2 | D+26.8 | 33,714 | |
| D | 64.0%Biden21,455 | 34.4%Trump11,550 | 1.6% | D+29.5 | D+9.0 | D+25.1 | 33,543 | |
| D | 56.8%Clinton17,794 | 36.3%Trump11,358 | 7.0% | D+20.5 | R+5.1 | D+18.5 | 31,330 | |
| D | 62.1%Obama18,967 | 36.4%Romney11,124 | 1.5% | D+25.7 | R+0.7 | D+21.8 | 30,559 | |
| D | 62.7%Obama19,250 | 36.3%McCain11,151 | 0.9% | D+26.4 | D+9.2 | D+19.1 | 30,681 | |
| D | 58.2%Kerry17,201 | 41.1%Bush12,135 | 0.7% | D+17.2 | — | D+19.6 | 29,534 |
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
New Hampshire Senate District 15's modest R+2.4 presidential margin places it firmly in battleground territory, making it a consistent target for both parties in state legislative cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.5 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.3 points.
A population of 58,119, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,211 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 4 and State Senate District 5.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/33015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.