Texas 15th State Senate District
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +3.6% |
| 2008 | +16.5% |
| 2012 | +11.6% |
| 2016 | +29.7% |
| 2020 | +31.3% |
| 2024 | +25.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 61.8%Harris207,427 | 36.5%Trump122,461 | 1.7% | D+25.3 | R+6.0 | D+26.8 | 335,712 | |
| D | 65.1%Biden230,801 | 33.8%Trump119,904 | 1.1% | D+31.3 | D+1.5 | D+26.8 | 354,656 | |
| D | 62.3%Clinton176,447 | 32.5%Trump92,224 | 5.2% | D+29.7 | D+18.1 | D+27.6 | 283,373 | |
| D | 55.2%Obama140,550 | 43.5%Romney110,952 | 1.3% | D+11.6 | R+4.9 | D+7.8 | 254,818 | |
| D | 58.0%Obama143,935 | 41.6%McCain103,065 | 0.4% | D+16.5 | D+12.9 | D+9.2 | 247,985 | |
| D | 51.5%Kerry115,892 | 47.9%Bush107,854 | 0.6% | D+3.6 | — | D+6.0 | 225,134 |
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+62.7, this West Texas district ranks among the most lopsided in the state senate map. Its sprawling rural geography and sparse population centers have produced some of the widest partisan gaps in statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.3 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.3 points.
A population of 947,818, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,979 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 16 and State Senate District 26.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Texas 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/48015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.