state senate districtVermont Orange Senatorial District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+11.7
2008D+31.3
2012D+31.9
2016D+17.3
2020D+24.0
2024D+20.0
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 70.0% of 18,431 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
7,460
4,878
561
12,899
18,431
70.0%
2020
7,521
4,516
461
12,497
17,732†
70.5%
2016
5,504
3,655
1,534
10,692
17,536†
61.0%
2012
6,625
3,349
284
10,257
17,264†
59.4%
2008
7,152
3,684
243
11,079
17,015†
65.1%
2004
5,955
4,687
230
10,872
16,767†
64.8%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
18922024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupOrange Senatorial DistrictVermontUnited States
English23.7%19.1%9.5%
Irish12.9%16.8%9.4%
German8.8%10.7%12.5%
American8.4%7.0%5.3%
French7.6%8.6%1.6%
French Canadian6.2%6.2%—
Italian5.8%7.4%4.8%
Scottish5.7%3.0%1.3%
Mexican0.5%0.6%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.5%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Orange Senatorial District
Vermont
United States
Median age
45.6
43.4
39.1
Age 18–24
7.3%
10.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
23.6%
21.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Orange Senatorial District
Vermont
United States
Median household income
$84,067
$81,203
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.0%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
38.4%
44.1%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Orange Senatorial District
Vermont
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
2.6%
5.5%
22.3%
Religious landscape
Measure
Orange Senatorial District
Vermont
United States
Catholic
—
20.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
7.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
62.4%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Vermont Orange Senatorial District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−36.1%
1896
−65.4%
1900
−53.2%
1904
−57.1%
1908
−52.5%
1912
−8.8%
1916
−21.3%
1920
−59.0%
1924
−70.0%
1928
−69.9%
1932
−39.8%
1936
−46.7%
1940
−38.0%
1944
−47.5%
1948
−55.4%
1952
−67.4%
1956
−67.9%
1960
−54.5%
1964
+18.0%
1968
−36.1%
1972
−39.2%
1976
−19.6%
1980
−16.8%
1984
−21.8%
1988
−10.4%
1992
+11.4%
1996
+16.8%
2000
−1.1%
2004
+11.7%
2008
+31.3%
2012
+31.9%
2016
+17.3%
2020
+24.0%
2024
+20.0%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
57.8%Harris7,460
37.8%Trump4,878
4.3%
D+20.0
R+4.0
D+21.5
12,899
D
60.2%Biden7,521
36.1%Trump4,516
3.7%
D+24.0
D+6.8
D+19.6
12,497
D
51.5%Clinton5,504
34.2%Trump3,655
14.3%
D+17.3
R+14.6
D+15.2
10,692
D
64.6%Obama6,625
32.7%Romney3,349
2.8%
D+31.9
D+0.6
D+28.1
10,257
D
64.6%Obama7,152
33.3%McCain3,684
2.2%
D+31.3
D+19.6
D+24.0
11,079
D
54.8%Kerry5,955
43.1%Bush4,687
2.1%
D+11.7
D+12.8
D+14.1
10,872
R
45.6%Gore4,886
46.7%Bush5,006
7.8%
R+1.1
R+18.0
R+1.6
10,726
D
49.8%Clinton4,458
33.0%Dole2,951
17.2%
D+16.8
D+5.5
D+8.3
8,953
D
43.1%Clinton4,214
31.7%Bush3,101
25.3%
D+11.4
D+21.7
D+5.8
9,788
R
44.0%Dukakis3,633
54.4%Bush4,490
1.7%
R+10.4
D+11.4
R+2.6
8,261
R
38.4%Mondale2,984
60.2%Reagan4,676
1.3%
R+21.8
R+5.0
R+3.6
7,763
R
32.7%Carter2,247
49.5%Reagan3,398
17.7%
R+16.8
D+2.8
R+7.0
6,863
R
39.0%Carter2,315
58.6%Ford3,480
2.4%
R+19.6
D+19.6
R+21.7
5,938
R
29.9%McGovern1,702
69.1%Nixon3,933
1.0%
R+39.2
R+3.1
R+16.0
5,691
R
30.1%Humphrey1,371
66.2%Nixon3,018
3.8%
R+36.1
R+54.1
R+35.4
4,562
D
59.0%Johnson2,860
41.0%Goldwater1,988
0.0%
D+18.0
D+72.4
R+4.6
4,848
R
22.8%Kennedy1,154
77.2%Nixon3,914
0.0%
R+54.5
D+13.5
R+54.6
5,068
R
16.0%Stevenson782
83.9%Eisenhower4,099
0.0%
R+67.9
R+0.5
R+52.5
4,883
R
16.1%Stevenson790
83.5%Eisenhower4,095
0.4%
R+67.4
R+12.0
R+56.6
4,904
R
21.6%Truman831
77.0%Dewey2,964
1.5%
R+55.4
R+7.9
R+59.9
3,851
R
26.2%Roosevelt1,069
73.8%Dewey3,005
0.0%
R+47.5
R+9.6
R+55.0
4,074
R
30.8%Roosevelt1,481
68.8%Willkie3,304
0.4%
R+38.0
D+8.8
R+47.9
4,802
R
26.6%Roosevelt1,311
73.3%Landon3,617
0.2%
R+46.7
R+6.9
R+71.0
4,936
R
29.5%Roosevelt1,336
69.3%Hoover3,142
1.2%
R+39.8
D+30.0
R+57.6
4,534
R
14.8%Smith667
84.7%Hoover3,812
0.5%
R+69.9
D+0.1
R+52.4
4,501
R
12.9%Davis528
82.8%Coolidge3,399
4.3%
R+70.0
R+11.0
R+44.8
4,103
R
20.0%Cox685
78.9%Harding2,710
1.1%
R+59.0
R+37.7
R+32.8
3,433
R
38.0%Wilson1,007
59.3%Hughes1,570
2.6%
R+21.3
R+12.4
R+24.4
2,647
O
25.4%Wilson698
34.2%Taft941
40.4%
Roosevelt +6.3
D+43.7
R+28.4
2,752
R
22.0%Bryan487
74.5%Taft1,651
3.6%
R+52.5
D+4.6
R+42.9
2,217
R
20.0%Parker428
77.1%Roosevelt1,649
2.9%
R+57.1
R+3.9
R+37.4
2,138
R
22.2%Bryan540
75.3%McKinley1,836
2.5%
R+53.2
D+12.2
R+45.6
2,437
R
14.8%Bryan414
80.2%McKinley2,239
4.9%
R+65.4
R+29.3
R+59.3
2,791
R
30.1%Cleveland794
66.2%Harrison1,748
3.8%
R+36.1
—
R+37.8
2,642
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current representation
Current officeholders
RLarry HartState Senate · Orange
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Despite its small population and rural character, Orange Senatorial District returned a D+17.8 margin in 2024, reflecting Vermont's broader trend of rural areas tracking differently from national rural patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.9 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 70.0 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.0 points.
A population of 21,950, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,067 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 11 and Windsor Senatorial District.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Orange Senatorial District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/50ORA/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Vermont Orange Senatorial District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Orange Senatorial District voted Democratic by 20.0 points (D+20.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 12,899 votes cast, 7,460 went Democratic and 4,878 went Republican.
When did Vermont Orange Senatorial District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Orange Senatorial District voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Vermont Orange Senatorial District?
Vermont Orange Senatorial District has a population of 21,950 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Orange Senatorial District?
Median household income in Vermont Orange Senatorial District is $84,067 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Orange Senatorial District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Orange Senatorial District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.
