† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupCarlsbad-Artesia, NMNew MexicoUnited States
Mexican44.2%32.4%11.3%
Spanish1.8%4.2%—
Spaniard1.4%3.6%—
Cuban0.3%0.3%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.5%1.8%
Dominican0.2%0.2%0.7%
Guatemalan0.2%0.2%0.5%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
English9.8%8.5%9.5%
German7.5%8.7%12.5%
American6.7%3.9%5.3%
Irish6.1%6.9%9.4%
Italian1.1%2.4%4.8%
Scottish1.1%1.7%1.3%
French0.9%1.4%1.6%
Swedish0.6%——
Navajo0.5%5.8%—
African American†1.1%1.3%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
New Mexico
United States
Median age
36.2
39.7
39.1
Age 18–24
8.9%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.7%
19.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
New Mexico
United States
Median household income
$78,426
$64,059
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.8%
17.9%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
19.3%
30.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
New Mexico
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
28.3%
31.4%
22.3%
Spanish
27.1%
24.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
New Mexico
United States
Catholic
21.4%
29.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
21.0%
12.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
47.5%
47.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1912
+48.9%
1916
+50.6%
1920
+24.0%
1924
+37.3%
1928
−14.3%
1932
+61.6%
1936
+61.2%
1940
+50.6%
1944
+42.9%
1948
+52.8%
1952
+10.7%
1956
+7.7%
1960
+4.3%
1964
+24.8%
1968
−7.3%
1972
−31.8%
1976
+8.1%
1980
−16.1%
1984
−23.0%
1988
−6.8%
1992
+0.5%
1996
+2.2%
2000
−18.1%
2004
−31.5%
2008
−25.6%
2012
−33.4%
2016
−41.3%
2020
−51.8%
2024
−55.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
21.4%Harris5,032
77.3%Trump18,141
0.1%Kennedy23 +1
R+55.8
R+4.0
R+54.4
23,472
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican77.3%18,141
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic21.4%5,032
OtherAll other candidates1.2%276
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.1%23
R
23.4%Biden5,424
75.2%Trump17,454
1.5%
R+51.8
R+10.5
R+56.3
23,222
R
25.6%Clinton5,033
66.8%Trump13,147
7.6%
R+41.3
R+7.8
R+43.3
19,667
R
31.9%Obama6,142
65.3%Romney12,583
2.8%
R+33.4
R+7.8
R+37.3
19,269
R
36.6%Obama7,351
62.2%McCain12,500
1.2%
R+25.6
D+5.9
R+32.9
20,093
R
33.9%Kerry6,880
65.5%Bush13,268
0.6%
R+31.5
R+13.4
R+29.1
20,270
R
40.0%Gore7,108
58.1%Bush10,335
1.9%
R+18.1
R+20.4
R+18.7
17,787
D
47.2%Clinton8,959
44.9%Dole8,534
7.9%
D+2.2
D+1.7
R+6.3
18,998
D
40.7%Clinton7,409
40.2%Bush7,313
19.1%
D+0.5
D+7.3
R+5.0
18,202
R
46.1%Dukakis8,544
52.9%Bush9,805
1.0%
R+6.8
D+16.2
D+0.9
18,535
R
38.0%Mondale7,364
61.0%Reagan11,810
1.0%
R+23.0
R+6.9
R+4.7
19,365
R
40.5%Carter7,028
56.6%Reagan9,817
3.0%
R+16.1
R+24.2
R+6.3
17,359
D
53.7%Carter9,073
45.6%Ford7,698
0.7%
D+8.1
D+39.9
D+6.1
16,886
R
32.8%McGovern5,040
64.6%Nixon9,921
2.5%
R+31.8
R+24.5
R+8.7
15,346
R
40.4%Humphrey6,093
47.7%Nixon7,193
11.8%
R+7.3
R+32.1
R+6.6
15,066
D
62.2%Johnson11,216
37.4%Goldwater6,747
0.4%
D+24.8
D+20.5
D+2.2
18,032
D
51.9%Kennedy8,707
47.6%Nixon7,986
0.5%
D+4.3
R+3.4
D+4.1
16,780
D
53.5%Stevenson7,820
45.8%Eisenhower6,691
0.7%
D+7.7
R+3.0
D+23.1
14,618
D
55.1%Stevenson7,495
44.4%Eisenhower6,041
0.4%
D+10.7
R+42.1
D+21.5
13,591
D
75.8%Truman7,593
23.0%Dewey2,305
1.2%
D+52.8
D+9.8
D+48.3
10,021
D
71.4%Roosevelt5,228
28.4%Dewey2,083
0.2%
D+42.9
R+7.7
D+35.4
7,327
D
75.2%Roosevelt4,968
24.6%Willkie1,625
0.2%
D+50.6
R+10.6
D+40.7
6,604
D
80.2%Roosevelt4,349
18.9%Landon1,027
0.9%
D+61.2
R+0.4
D+37.0
5,425
D
80.0%Roosevelt3,565
18.3%Hoover818
1.7%
D+61.6
D+75.9
D+43.8
4,459
R
42.8%Smith1,212
57.1%Hoover1,618
0.1%
R+14.3
R+51.7
D+3.1
2,833
D
65.7%Davis1,524
28.4%Coolidge658
5.9%
D+37.3
D+13.4
D+62.5
2,320
D
61.4%Cox1,611
37.4%Harding982
1.2%
D+24.0
R+26.6
D+50.2
2,624
D
72.6%Wilson1,402
22.0%Hughes425
5.4%
D+50.6
D+1.7
D+47.4
1,932
D
57.8%Wilson936
9.0%Taft145
33.2%
D+48.9
—
D+29.3
1,618
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
26.3%5,979
73.7%16,775
22,754
2020
R
23.2%5,301
74.8%17,079
22,843
2018
R
30.7%4,834
56.0%8,826
15,755
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+33.6
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+55.8
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Democratic.
Domestic migration in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−38
2012
+115
2013
+815
2014
+668
2015
+531
2016
−427
2017
−864
2018
+326
2019
+428
2021
−1,499
2022
−715
2023
+26
2024
+330
2025
+334
Anchored by Carlsbad and Artesia along the Pecos River, this southeastern New Mexico corridor sits at the heart of the Permian Basin's New Mexico side, where petroleum-sector employment has long reinforced Republican-leaning margins in federal and statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 55.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.8 points.
A population of 61,105, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,426 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bay City, TX and Hobbs, NM.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/16100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico voted Republican by 55.8 points (R+55.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,472 votes cast, 5,032 went Democratic and 18,141 went Republican.
When did Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico?
Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico has a population of 61,105 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico?
Median household income in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico is $78,426 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Carlsbad-Artesia, NM, New Mexico from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.
