Duluth, MN-WI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.9%
104,318 votes · D+52.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 74.5%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
76.3%
16,419 votes · R+61.5
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 64.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
105,957votes
65.0% of the vote · D+31.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 104,682 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72,233votes
43.8% of the vote · D+10.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 69,731 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+55.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.1 · U.S. R+18.2
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +44.8 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+41.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.5 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +29.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Duluth, MN-WI · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Duluth, MN-WI, by party and cycle.
Party
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
Democratic
Obama2Clinton116,181 votes · 3 of 3 countiescaucus + primary
○no contest record
Sanders313,924 votes · 3 of 3 countiescaucus + primary
Biden344,873 votes · 3 of 3 countiesprimary
○no contest record
Republicannot ingested
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+779 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,047 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Duluth, MN-WI in Duluth, MN-WI: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−7
2012
−647
2013
−7
2014
+39
2015
−640
2016
−343
2017
−239
2018
+151
2019
−377
2021
−228
2022
+2,369
2023
+644
2024
+553
2025
+779
Anchored by Lake Superior's western tip, the Duluth metro has long blended union-household Democratic loyalty with rural conservative pressure from its Wisconsin and Minnesota hinterlands, producing competitive margins in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.3 points.
A population of 280,870, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,227 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Janesville-Beloit, WI and Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Democratic by 10.3 points (D+10.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 165,060 votes cast, 89,314 went Democratic and 72,233 went Republican.
When did Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Republican was 1928.
How many people live in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota has a population of 280,870 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota is $72,227 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.
