† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupDuluth, MN-WIUnited States
German22.2%12.5%
Norwegian11.8%—
Swedish10.0%—
Finnish9.9%—
Irish9.5%9.4%
English7.1%9.5%
Polish5.7%2.2%
Italian3.1%4.8%
Mexican1.2%11.3%
African American†1.2%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Duluth, MN-WI
United States
Median age
41.5
39.1
Age 18–24
11.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Duluth, MN-WI
United States
Median household income
$72,227
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
31.9%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Duluth, MN-WI
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.1%
22.3%
Spanish
1.1%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Duluth, MN-WI
United States
Catholic
13.6%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
7.7%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
65.1%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
11.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Duluth, MN-WI
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−14.7%
1896
−18.3%
1900
−31.6%
1904
−61.5%
1908
−38.6%
1912
+7.1%
1916
+3.3%
1920
−31.0%
1924
−49.5%
1928
−26.4%
1932
+6.7%
1936
+50.8%
1940
+35.1%
1944
+37.4%
1948
+35.0%
1952
+20.9%
1956
+19.9%
1960
+26.0%
1964
+52.2%
1968
+44.1%
1972
+17.5%
1976
+34.3%
1980
+29.5%
1984
+37.1%
1988
+36.6%
1992
+32.7%
1996
+33.9%
2000
+26.7%
2004
+31.1%
2008
+32.0%
2012
+29.4%
2016
+9.9%
2020
+12.9%
2024
+10.3%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
54.1%Harris89,314
43.8%Trump72,233
0.8%Kennedy1,354 +9
D+10.3
R+2.6
D+11.8
165,060
All 12 candidates in 2024 · 10 minor / independent
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic54.1%89,314
Donald J TrumpRepublican43.8%72,233
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.8%1,354
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%677
OtherAll other candidates0.3%556
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%551
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.1%133
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%99
Cornel WestIndependent0.1%91
Randall TerryIndependent0.0%26
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%22
Peter Sonski Lauren OnakNonpartisan0.0%4
D
55.3%Biden91,020
42.4%Trump69,731
2.3%
D+12.9
D+3.1
D+8.5
164,577
D
50.7%Clinton77,588
40.8%Trump62,451
8.6%
D+9.9
R+19.6
D+7.8
153,169
D
63.5%Obama99,630
34.0%Romney53,422
2.5%
D+29.4
R+2.5
D+25.6
156,924
D
64.9%Obama104,682
32.9%McCain53,126
2.2%
D+32.0
D+0.8
D+24.7
161,329
D
65.0%Kerry105,957
33.8%Bush55,202
1.2%
D+31.1
D+4.4
D+33.6
163,086
D
59.9%Gore86,450
33.2%Bush47,928
6.8%
D+26.7
R+7.2
D+26.2
144,251
D
60.1%Clinton79,764
26.2%Dole34,754
13.7%
D+33.9
D+1.2
D+25.4
132,702
D
56.1%Clinton81,868
23.4%Bush34,180
20.4%
D+32.7
R+3.9
D+27.1
145,815
D
67.8%Dukakis93,041
31.2%Bush42,865
1.0%
D+36.6
R+0.5
D+44.3
137,246
D
68.1%Mondale101,163
31.0%Reagan46,105
0.8%
D+37.1
D+7.5
D+55.3
148,525
D
59.7%Carter89,928
30.1%Reagan45,425
10.2%
D+29.5
R+4.7
D+39.3
150,706
D
65.6%Carter97,765
31.3%Ford46,701
3.0%
D+34.3
D+16.7
D+32.2
148,983
D
58.0%McGovern79,273
40.5%Nixon55,299
1.5%
D+17.5
R+26.6
D+40.7
136,681
D
70.2%Humphrey93,311
26.1%Nixon34,653
3.7%
D+44.1
R+8.1
D+44.8
132,930
D
75.9%Johnson104,318
23.7%Goldwater32,605
0.3%
D+52.2
D+26.2
D+29.6
137,381
D
62.8%Kennedy89,756
36.7%Nixon52,540
0.5%
D+26.0
D+6.1
D+25.9
143,016
D
59.7%Stevenson79,950
39.8%Eisenhower53,253
0.5%
D+19.9
R+0.9
D+35.3
133,902
D
59.9%Stevenson81,002
39.0%Eisenhower52,752
1.1%
D+20.9
R+14.1
D+31.6
135,297
D
64.6%Truman81,798
29.6%Dewey37,484
5.9%
D+35.0
R+2.4
D+30.5
126,697
D
68.2%Roosevelt82,507
30.8%Dewey37,278
1.1%
D+37.4
D+2.3
D+29.9
121,061
D
66.8%Roosevelt91,327
31.7%Willkie43,338
1.6%
D+35.1
R+15.7
D+25.1
136,808
D
74.5%Roosevelt93,185
23.6%Landon29,574
1.9%
D+50.8
D+44.2
D+26.6
125,151
D
48.4%Roosevelt53,482
41.7%Hoover46,107
9.9%
D+6.7
D+33.1
R+11.1
110,516
R
35.0%Smith34,301
61.4%Hoover60,193
3.7%
R+26.4
D+23.1
R+8.9
98,107
R
4.1%Davis3,518
53.6%Coolidge46,062
42.3%
R+49.5
R+18.5
R+24.3
85,976
R
27.9%Cox18,030
58.9%Harding38,070
13.2%
R+31.0
R+34.3
R+4.8
64,615
D
45.1%Wilson16,111
41.8%Hughes14,937
13.2%
D+3.3
R+3.9
D+0.1
35,754
O
24.3%Wilson6,936
17.1%Taft4,894
58.6%
Roosevelt +34.4
D+45.7
R+12.4
28,599
R
24.8%Bryan6,685
63.4%Taft17,072
11.8%
R+38.6
D+22.9
R+29.0
26,938
R
14.8%Parker3,182
76.3%Roosevelt16,419
8.9%
R+61.5
R+29.9
R+41.8
21,526
R
32.6%Bryan7,321
64.1%McKinley14,420
3.3%
R+31.6
R+13.3
R+24.0
22,487
R
40.2%Bryan10,482
58.4%McKinley15,253
1.4%
R+18.3
R+3.6
R+12.2
26,102
R
36.0%Cleveland6,296
50.6%Harrison8,861
13.4%
R+14.7
—
R+16.3
17,500
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+779 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,047 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Duluth, MN-WI in Duluth, MN-WI: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−7
2012
−647
2013
−7
2014
+39
2015
−640
2016
−343
2017
−239
2018
+151
2019
−377
2021
−228
2022
+2,369
2023
+644
2024
+553
2025
+779
Anchored by Lake Superior's western tip, the Duluth metro has long blended union-household Democratic loyalty with rural conservative pressure from its Wisconsin and Minnesota hinterlands, producing competitive margins in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.3 points.
A population of 280,870, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,227 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Janesville-Beloit, WI and Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20260/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Democratic by 10.3 points (D+10.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 165,060 votes cast, 89,314 went Democratic and 72,233 went Republican.
When did Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota voted Republican was 1928.
How many people live in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota has a population of 280,870 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Median household income in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota is $72,227 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Duluth, MN-WI, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.
