Knoxville, TN · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Knoxville, TN, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Knoxville, TN
Year
Total registered
2016
563,997
2018
575,619
2020
585,102
2022
596,927
2024
638,382
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+8,855 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +109,178 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Knoxville, TN in Knoxville, TN: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+3,301
2012
+2,888
2013
+3,110
2014
+3,522
2015
+3,967
2016
+6,502
2017
+8,265
2018
+7,114
2019
+7,339
2021
+13,377
2022
+18,030
2023
+13,427
2024
+9,481
2025
+8,855
Knoxville's metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchored by a white working-class and college-educated suburban base that has shown little of the ticket-splitting volatility seen in Nashville or Memphis.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 53.6 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.5 points.
A population of 932,241, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,472 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chattanooga, TN-GA and Tulsa, OK.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Knoxville, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/28940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Knoxville, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 35.5 points (R+35.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 432,144 votes cast, 136,410 went Democratic and 289,889 went Republican.
When did Knoxville, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Knoxville, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Knoxville, TN, Tennessee has a population of 932,241 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee is $72,472 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Knoxville, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Knoxville, TN, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.
